{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff315ed8-b378-4b82-ab8a-925c2337dc87", "symbol": "4974", "name": "Asia Tech Image Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.457, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.353, "architecture_energy": 18.871, "architecture_maturity": 10.274, "architecture_confidence": 58.975, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.55, "rotation_up": 22.07, "upward_expansion": 8.71, "deceleration": 53.79, "rotation_down": 46.34, "downward_expansion": 45.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.406667, 68.827644, 69.747244, 69.696393 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 69.5, "trend_reference": 69.738449, "distance_from_trend": -0.003419, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.496681, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.041335, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.924189, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.018249, "excess_performance": -0.459621, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003419, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012955, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.041335, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036129, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.309242, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051445, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.018249, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.081123, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 430230, "relative_activity": 0.406945, "balance": 1.081123, "dry_up": 0.461363, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054565, "annualized_volatility": 0.203779, "from_high_reference": -0.260216, "from_low_reference": 0.097946 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.738449, "fair_value_reference": 72.496681, "structural_low": 63.299999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.007262, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021243, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.07457, "worst_return": -0.120379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.035096, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.11473, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.070028, "worst_return": -0.192825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.006254, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.129789, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.284895, "worst_return": -0.1747, "sufficient": true 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-31.123744, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.871276, "energy": 26.760499, "activity_lines": [ 67.899999, 69.179961, 69.827787, 69.751754 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.800003, "volume": 334312, "typical_volume": 1059260.65, "trend": 69.6107, "fair_value": 72.414816, "relative_strength": -30.273662, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.646558, "energy": 27.719673, "activity_lines": [ 67.946667, 68.892727, 69.75667, 69.703534 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 69.5, "volume": 430230, "typical_volume": 1057217.75, "trend": 69.738449, "fair_value": 72.496681, "relative_strength": -30.924189, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.352738, "energy": 18.87079, "activity_lines": [ 68.406667, 68.827644, 69.747244, 69.696393 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }