{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff3a296a-5ade-40f6-a819-967c31c065e0", "symbol": "300923", "name": "Yeal Electric Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.93, "architecture_energy": 46.467, "architecture_maturity": 39.814, "architecture_confidence": 88.722, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.74, "rotation_up": 22.21, "upward_expansion": 6.68, "deceleration": 58.83, "rotation_down": 51.69, "downward_expansion": 77.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.318667, 21.520182, 23.011486, 24.137196 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.98, "trend_reference": 25.392635, "distance_from_trend": -0.095013, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.000837, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.044506, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.973345, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.165666, "excess_performance": -0.173066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.095013, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046034, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.044506, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.262441, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.129733, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027274, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.165666, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.29264, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6943925, "relative_activity": 1.065337, "balance": 0.29264, "dry_up": 1.097725, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100121, "annualized_volatility": 0.372484, "from_high_reference": -0.231405, "from_low_reference": 0.312393 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.392635, "fair_value_reference": 22.000837, "structural_low": 17.51, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.007894, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.00968, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.554118, "worst_return": -0.109049, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.059884, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.024262, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.093908, "worst_return": -0.110714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.139047, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.117467, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.159415, "worst_return": -0.096875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.200001, "volume": 7915600, "typical_volume": 6605172.4, "trend": 25.575697, "fair_value": 21.996592, "relative_strength": -25.547193, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.283728, "energy": 78.706893, "activity_lines": [ 20.443333, 21.490978, 23.466623, 24.56027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.5, "volume": 7332620, "typical_volume": 6614078.3, "trend": 25.461953, "fair_value": 21.989748, "relative_strength": -14.807736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.599074, "energy": 58.45489, "activity_lines": [ 20.632667, 21.328056, 23.151666, 24.297322 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.98, "volume": 6943925, "typical_volume": 6518057.05, "trend": 25.392635, "fair_value": 22.000837, "relative_strength": -12.973345, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.929545, "energy": 46.466742, "activity_lines": [ 21.318667, 21.520182, 23.011486, 24.137196 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }