{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff43ecbe-738a-4d18-b5d1-0d1586fdf82b", "symbol": "ARRY", "name": "Array Technologies\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.322, "architecture_energy": 75.936, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.262, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.23, "rotation_up": 9.45, "upward_expansion": 17.6, "deceleration": 37.43, "rotation_down": 76.11, "downward_expansion": 93.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.545333, 6.127091, 6.968857, 7.328892 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.55, "trend_reference": 8.032167, "distance_from_trend": -0.309028, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.932212, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.441212, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.66819, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.53204, "excess_performance": -0.719494, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.309028, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07547, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.441212, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212756, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.416682, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.28368, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.53204, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.496767, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55800728, "relative_activity": 1.919954, "balance": 0.496767, "dry_up": 1.337903, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.207264, "annualized_volatility": 0.705507, "from_high_reference": -0.546198, "from_low_reference": 0.163522 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.032167, "fair_value_reference": 9.932212, "structural_low": 4.77, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.001493, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.044278, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.402426, "worst_return": -0.396259, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.117875, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.161898, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.693732, "worst_return": -0.300892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.250746, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.256685, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.156695, "worst_return": -0.502229, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 10.218301, "relative_strength": -34.166691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.888387, "energy": 72.390537, "activity_lines": [ 6.612, 7.207455, 7.579571, 7.897441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.32, "volume": 35042492, "typical_volume": 26942936.35, "trend": 8.295833, "fair_value": 10.130224, "relative_strength": -41.371181, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.634413, "energy": 79.00831, "activity_lines": [ 6.080667, 6.775455, 7.364429, 7.694892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.22, "volume": 32969045, "typical_volume": 27450490.95, "trend": 8.147167, "fair_value": 10.047853, "relative_strength": -42.504649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.050589, "energy": 80.287048, "activity_lines": [ 5.694667, 6.391636, 7.146857, 7.496452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.55, "volume": 55800728, "typical_volume": 29063576.0, "trend": 8.032167, "fair_value": 9.932212, "relative_strength": -41.66819, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.321753, "energy": 75.936006, "activity_lines": [ 5.545333, 6.127091, 6.968857, 7.328892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }