{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ff44bbe4-9896-434c-8692-ad583e076f3b",
    "symbol": "000819",
    "name": "Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.074,
    "architecture_energy": 55.33,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.475,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.53,
        "rotation_up": 23.25,
        "upward_expansion": 9.35,
        "deceleration": 56.51,
        "rotation_down": 56.7,
        "downward_expansion": 82.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.640667,
        11.822182,
        13.050571,
        13.773075
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.93,
    "trend_reference": 14.679333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.187293,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.20783,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.263936,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -27.34573,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.302339,
    "excess_performance": -0.309739,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187293,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10154,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.263936,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.263199,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.273457,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097143,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.302339,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.088851,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 19083189,
      "relative_activity": 0.659224,
      "balance": 0.088851,
      "dry_up": 0.892341,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.104327,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.305083,
      "from_high_reference": -0.431905,
      "from_low_reference": 0.137274
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.679333,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.20783,
      "structural_low": 10.49,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.003858,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011119,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.215468,
        "worst_return": -0.170588,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.159845,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037228,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.049824,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "best_return": 0.120888,
        "worst_return": -0.174903,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 31140014.0,
        "trend": 14.973333,
        "fair_value": 16.304293,
        "relative_strength": -31.034865,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -72.404915,
        "energy": 86.507699,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.01,
        "volume": 25461560,
        "typical_volume": 29604931.5,
        "trend": 14.822667,
        "fair_value": 16.254037,
        "relative_strength": -23.706058,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.111098,
        "energy": 64.96024,
        "activity_lines": [
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          13.251476,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.93,
        "volume": 19083189,
        "typical_volume": 28947952.7,
        "trend": 14.679333,
        "fair_value": 16.20783,
        "relative_strength": -27.34573,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.074347,
        "energy": 55.3296,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}