{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ff6015e2-e6da-4f51-a80c-93b0f701b384",
    "symbol": "EEMA",
    "name": "ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ASIA ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.218,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.518,
    "architecture_energy": 20.186,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.183,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.398,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.4,
        "rotation_up": 24.69,
        "upward_expansion": 53.76,
        "deceleration": 90.38,
        "rotation_down": 29.43,
        "downward_expansion": 17.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        112.170667,
        113.000886,
        112.810742,
        110.294672
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 114.66,
    "trend_reference": 107.166694,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.069922,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 79.667495,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.439232,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.536911,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125752,
    "excess_performance": -0.061701,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069922,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068785,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.439232,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097811,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005369,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048161,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125752,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.787675,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 115063,
      "relative_activity": 0.130596,
      "balance": 0.787675,
      "dry_up": 0.612659,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053159,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.268583,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065754,
      "from_low_reference": 0.381147
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 107.166694,
      "fair_value_reference": 79.667495,
      "structural_low": 91.720535,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.015217,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020434,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.163741,
        "worst_return": -0.054999,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.054786,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044127,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.226383,
        "worst_return": -0.006517,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.042141,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.122328,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.206906,
        "worst_return": -0.009342,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.115115,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.274857,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.208306,
        "worst_return": 0.021924,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
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        "return": -0.058961,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.03045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.07928,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.1931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1283975.4,
        "trend": 105.568786,
        "fair_value": 78.748835,
        "relative_strength": 0.506668,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 38.361856,
        "energy": 21.595899,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 110.22,
        "volume": 757495,
        "typical_volume": 930782.0,
        "trend": 106.120372,
        "fair_value": 79.031584,
        "relative_strength": 2.459407,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "direction": 32.134029,
        "energy": 20.12055,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 111.03,
        "volume": 1001787,
        "typical_volume": 900513.4,
        "trend": 106.603475,
        "fair_value": 79.332285,
        "relative_strength": 2.477893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.070555,
        "energy": 18.22304,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.244,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 114.66,
        "volume": 115063,
        "typical_volume": 881063.3,
        "trend": 107.166694,
        "fair_value": 79.667495,
        "relative_strength": 0.536911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.518187,
        "energy": 20.185818,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}