{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff64c45b-d9bb-4555-8a22-fcf6bef414bb", "symbol": "3623", "name": "Transtouch Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 81.031, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.01, "architecture_energy": 57.144, "architecture_maturity": 11.14, "architecture_confidence": 85.801, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.78, "rotation_up": 11.5, "upward_expansion": 11.94, "deceleration": 38.62, "rotation_down": 64.62, "downward_expansion": 85.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.026667, 21.750909, 22.462143, 22.880537 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.65, "trend_reference": 23.771666, "distance_from_trend": -0.089252, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.6, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.154297, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.757361, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.149312, "excess_performance": -0.590684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089252, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00253, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.154297, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059761, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.337574, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030973, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.149312, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.536621, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 187096, "relative_activity": 0.328117, "balance": 1.536621, "dry_up": 0.42692, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110144, "annualized_volatility": 0.371785, "from_high_reference": -0.366032, "from_low_reference": 0.148541 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.771666, "fair_value_reference": 25.6, "structural_low": 19.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.022652, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.007778, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.351499, "worst_return": -0.258772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.004786, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026158, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.27027, "worst_return": -0.219409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.034161, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.167424, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.199357, "worst_return": -0.265873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-31", "close": 19.65, "volume": 189001, "typical_volume": 610769.05, "trend": 24.226666, "fair_value": 25.558013, "relative_strength": -37.954264, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.853933, "energy": 67.32353, "activity_lines": [ 21.32, 22.247273, 22.758333, 23.244193 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.0, "volume": 432580, "typical_volume": 581593.2, "trend": 24.06, "fair_value": 25.576282, "relative_strength": -34.43268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.338766, "energy": 63.70096, "activity_lines": [ 20.936667, 21.921818, 22.571666, 23.036021 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.65, "volume": 187096, "typical_volume": 570211.7, "trend": 23.771666, "fair_value": 25.6, "relative_strength": -33.757361, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.010268, "energy": 57.144433, "activity_lines": [ 21.026667, 21.750909, 22.462143, 22.880537 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }