{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff64dcd4-eb68-4b27-ad3e-32e2f771d84a", "symbol": "OLP", "name": "One Liberty Properties Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.595, "architecture_energy": 33.454, "architecture_maturity": 49.509, "architecture_confidence": 54.729, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.42, "rotation_up": 47.02, "upward_expansion": 67.29, "deceleration": 61.46, "rotation_down": 22.6, "downward_expansion": 14.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.567333, 24.590438, 24.041828, 23.618792 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.16, "trend_reference": 23.031892, "distance_from_trend": 0.04898, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.238343, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.137565, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.812317, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.099246, "excess_performance": -0.026378, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070613, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.137565, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020257, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.018123, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033419, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099246, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.992807, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 615242, "relative_activity": 1.741307, "balance": 0.992807, "dry_up": 1.279536, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0492, "annualized_volatility": 0.191003, "from_high_reference": -0.066461, "from_low_reference": 0.285319 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.031892, "fair_value_reference": 21.238343, "structural_low": 21.2901, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.004822, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.019965, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.141176, "worst_return": -0.108963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.028251, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.011084, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.196041, "worst_return": -0.114354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.089085, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.067841, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.233029, "worst_return": -0.236633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 24.6, "volume": 360754, "typical_volume": 345972.1, "trend": 22.402792, "fair_value": 21.024001, "relative_strength": 2.078232, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.610254, "energy": 65.947057, "activity_lines": [ 24.582173, 24.095998, 23.490271, 23.089961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.24, "volume": 371475, "typical_volume": 346670.55, "trend": 22.57956, "fair_value": 21.078634, "relative_strength": 6.436046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.232586, "energy": 71.409222, "activity_lines": [ 24.860309, 24.380759, 23.693439, 23.273006 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.13, "volume": 418303, "typical_volume": 352221.0, "trend": 22.758388, "fair_value": 21.134266, "relative_strength": 6.631443, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.33732, "energy": 65.656647, "activity_lines": [ 25.028667, 24.605059, 23.875497, 23.437551 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.31, "volume": 403332, "typical_volume": 348174.95, "trend": 22.902374, "fair_value": 21.187224, "relative_strength": 2.108409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.391462, "energy": 44.66679, "activity_lines": [ 24.818, 24.623607, 23.970563, 23.537655 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.16, "volume": 615242, "typical_volume": 353321.9, "trend": 23.031892, "fair_value": 21.238343, "relative_strength": -1.812317, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.59523, "energy": 33.453896, "activity_lines": [ 24.567333, 24.590438, 24.041828, 23.618792 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }