{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ff76d739-2887-4190-a89f-123e1d5ef908",
    "symbol": "PAXJ",
    "name": "Amundi MSCI Pacific Ex Japan UCITS ETF Dist",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.16,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.675,
    "architecture_energy": 91.836,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.866,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.756,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.48,
        "rotation_up": 85.74,
        "upward_expansion": 95.61,
        "deceleration": 41.84,
        "rotation_down": 8.14,
        "downward_expansion": 19.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        126.051001,
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        122.492097,
        121.71099
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 129.485001,
    "trend_reference": 120.638668,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.073329,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 99.352648,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.303287,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.752026,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.090538,
    "excess_performance": 0.039302,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073329,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035046,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303287,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02266,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02752,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008697,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090538,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.806363,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3191,
      "relative_activity": 1.090716,
      "balance": 0.806363,
      "dry_up": 0.685671,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018368,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.161681,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.224684
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 120.638668,
      "fair_value_reference": 99.352648,
      "structural_low": 114.334999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.002443,
        "positive_rate": 0.521739,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.521739,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000814,
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        "best_return": 0.056925,
        "worst_return": -0.05372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.05095,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
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        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 122.235001,
        "volume": 9221,
        "typical_volume": 2775.15,
        "trend": 114.973805,
        "fair_value": 95.920386,
        "relative_strength": 1.628997,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.50629,
        "energy": 68.882116,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 123.160004,
        "volume": 3225,
        "typical_volume": 2912.75,
        "trend": 115.424287,
        "fair_value": 96.171686,
        "relative_strength": 3.621686,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.694779,
        "energy": 65.292896,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 121.105003,
        "volume": 3900,
        "typical_volume": 3054.3,
        "trend": 115.806268,
        "fair_value": 96.409361,
        "relative_strength": 2.21421,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.407065,
        "energy": 40.087412,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 121.035004,
        "volume": 13199,
        "typical_volume": 3690.25,
        "trend": 116.151937,
        "fair_value": 96.66086,
        "relative_strength": -0.487495,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.06315,
        "energy": 35.161053,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 122.285004,
        "volume": 1896,
        "typical_volume": 3613.2,
        "trend": 116.553912,
        "fair_value": 96.914195,
        "relative_strength": 1.064051,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.311243,
        "energy": 34.032676,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 117.849998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3613.2,
        "trend": 116.838352,
        "fair_value": 97.135377,
        "relative_strength": -2.149587,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.413836,
        "energy": 14.429977,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.457669,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 120.82,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3541.15,
        "trend": 117.2089,
        "fair_value": 97.355515,
        "relative_strength": -0.63435,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.518511,
        "energy": 16.421721,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 119.925003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3339.95,
        "trend": 117.68209,
        "fair_value": 97.59767,
        "relative_strength": -0.314358,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 118.790001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2611.75,
        "trend": 118.015269,
        "fair_value": 97.824681,
        "relative_strength": -2.504045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.817991,
        "energy": 12.974021,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.606334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 119.925003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2611.75,
        "trend": 118.360334,
        "fair_value": 98.070193,
        "relative_strength": -3.022109,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.922219,
        "energy": 11.289515,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 122.07,
        "volume": 3868,
        "typical_volume": 2582.8,
        "trend": 118.769334,
        "fair_value": 98.300176,
        "relative_strength": 0.464229,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.310373,
        "energy": 15.898224,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.472668,
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          120.119087
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 122.940002,
        "volume": 3951,
        "typical_volume": 2773.5,
        "trend": 119.190501,
        "fair_value": 98.541942,
        "relative_strength": 0.260661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.105406,
        "energy": 31.174821,
        "activity_lines": [
          121.350668,
          120.800729,
          120.799382,
          120.388162
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 124.050003,
        "volume": 582,
        "typical_volume": 2802.5,
        "trend": 119.583501,
        "fair_value": 98.782615,
        "relative_strength": -0.067986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.363009,
        "energy": 61.577551,
        "activity_lines": [
          122.457335,
          121.414456,
          121.168692,
          120.701679
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 125.809998,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 2817.5,
        "trend": 120.067167,
        "fair_value": 99.049548,
        "relative_strength": 0.128795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.892409,
        "energy": 77.643853,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.875667,
          122.294637,
          121.677025,
          121.103388
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 129.485001,
        "volume": 3191,
        "typical_volume": 2925.6,
        "trend": 120.638668,
        "fair_value": 99.352648,
        "relative_strength": 2.752026,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.675139,
        "energy": 91.835649,
        "activity_lines": [
          126.051001,
          123.756183,
          122.492097,
          121.71099
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}