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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.484, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.304, "architecture_energy": 42.662, "architecture_maturity": 3.849, "architecture_confidence": 58.24, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.92, "rotation_up": 70.2, "upward_expansion": 72.09, "deceleration": 50.5, "rotation_down": 6.42, "downward_expansion": 10.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 492.899994, 486.071084, 489.767562, 485.396784 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 492.899994, "trend_reference": 481.767255, "distance_from_trend": 0.023108, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 403.360465, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.221984, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.103562, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.032121, "excess_performance": 0.022546, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023108, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027443, "read": "Rising" 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491.184755, 485.271528 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 447.079987, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1886.75, "trend": 473.772756, "fair_value": 403.186891, "relative_strength": 0.651373, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.7484, "energy": 26.748372, "activity_lines": [ 485.986656, 498.373624, 487.882134, 483.660673 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 447.079987, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1886.75, "trend": 475.497259, "fair_value": 402.712493, "relative_strength": 0.573226, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.919356, "energy": 53.143318, "activity_lines": [ 469.381989, 488.310533, 484.875597, 481.938558 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 457.049988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1886.75, "trend": 477.554096, "fair_value": 402.302005, "relative_strength": 3.002714, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.545217, "energy": 58.422925, "activity_lines": [ 460.685989, 480.592533, 483.114669, 480.748412 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 492.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 962.35, "trend": 480.805934, "fair_value": 402.121324, "relative_strength": 10.578749, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.056255, "energy": 40.772214, "activity_lines": [ 467.860657, 480.461989, 485.016634, 481.73847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 492.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 962.35, "trend": 481.182577, "fair_value": 402.323414, "relative_strength": 10.762699, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.790092, "energy": 25.643699, "activity_lines": [ 476.565991, 480.748899, 486.597114, 482.518732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 492.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 962.35, "trend": 481.559221, "fair_value": 402.525504, "relative_strength": 9.804027, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.834708, "energy": 25.467154, "activity_lines": [ 485.065326, 481.453264, 487.856109, 483.274694 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 492.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 962.35, "trend": 481.935865, "fair_value": 402.727594, "relative_strength": 9.459319, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.36817, "energy": 47.125927, "activity_lines": [ 490.509994, 482.575083, 488.793619, 484.006357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 492.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 666.2, "trend": 482.312509, "fair_value": 402.929684, "relative_strength": 7.840514, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.285379, "energy": 45.960922, "activity_lines": [ 492.899994, 484.114356, 489.409644, 484.71372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 492.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 666.2, "trend": 481.767255, "fair_value": 403.360465, "relative_strength": 7.103562, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.303714, "energy": 42.661992, "activity_lines": [ 492.899994, 486.071084, 489.767562, 485.396784 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }