{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ff7f43ae-5620-4e87-b442-439c208e87e2",
    "symbol": "BNC",
    "name": "Purpose Canadian Financial Income Fund Series ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.02,
    "architecture_energy": 69.527,
    "architecture_maturity": 95.112,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.317,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.66,
        "rotation_up": 61.0,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.82,
        "rotation_down": 29.07,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.453032,
        43.088829,
        41.448921,
        39.840576
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 43.580002,
    "trend_reference": 37.8867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.150272,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.279556,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.597533,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.592546,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.259628,
    "excess_performance": 0.139207,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150272,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089855,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.597533,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114832,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105925,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044463,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.259628,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.827586,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 900,
      "relative_activity": 0.769231,
      "balance": 2.827586,
      "dry_up": 0.555556,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019655,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.136742,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012687,
      "from_low_reference": 0.544771
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.8867,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.279556,
      "structural_low": 33.006977,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.019409,
        "positive_rate": 0.72973,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.72973,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001818,
        "regime_survival": 0.783784,
        "best_return": 0.079898,
        "worst_return": -0.093887,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.036803,
        "positive_rate": 0.846154,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002213,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.218591,
        "worst_return": -0.027045,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.089858,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.045014,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.127913,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.035672,
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        "worst_return": -0.042934,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.580781,
        "energy": 91.985571,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.371048,
          35.315008,
          34.814013,
          34.356239
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 37.702858,
        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 1930.0,
        "trend": 33.789723,
        "fair_value": 25.36721,
        "relative_strength": 6.643535,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.773351,
        "energy": 93.189774,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.062138,
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          35.117893,
          34.623104
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 1600,
        "typical_volume": 1930.0,
        "trend": 34.024084,
        "fair_value": 25.482119,
        "relative_strength": 6.146272,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.730081,
        "energy": 91.813545,
        "activity_lines": [
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          34.880695
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 37.871841,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 1955.0,
        "trend": 34.256566,
        "fair_value": 25.596767,
        "relative_strength": 7.005825,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.395487,
        "energy": 90.232174,
        "activity_lines": [
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          35.693849,
          35.128938
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 39.223698,
        "volume": 1400,
        "typical_volume": 1950.0,
        "trend": 34.519203,
        "fair_value": 25.721676,
        "relative_strength": 8.581502,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.922543,
        "energy": 94.121629,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.240085,
          37.381513,
          36.088206,
          35.449398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 38.847721,
        "volume": 2500,
        "typical_volume": 2005.0,
        "trend": 34.763062,
        "fair_value": 25.843493,
        "relative_strength": 6.47358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.282787,
        "energy": 84.839181,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.422172,
          35.728657
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 39.725185,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1955.0,
        "trend": 35.041374,
        "fair_value": 25.971721,
        "relative_strength": 9.769922,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.235857,
        "energy": 87.887046,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.014264,
          38.334548,
          36.818691,
          36.048794
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 40.92173,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1885.0,
        "trend": 35.339728,
        "fair_value": 26.105942,
        "relative_strength": 11.089503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.348711,
        "energy": 94.008856,
        "activity_lines": [
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          37.304488,
          36.428172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 42.357578,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1825.0,
        "trend": 35.683666,
        "fair_value": 26.253299,
        "relative_strength": 14.5115,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.638724,
        "energy": 97.612435,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.7713,
          39.678583,
          37.894223,
          36.880936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 42.360352,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 1740.0,
        "trend": 36.006759,
        "fair_value": 26.396447,
        "relative_strength": 14.143308,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.27633,
        "energy": 96.063867,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.486357,
          40.308354,
          38.442712,
          37.31169
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 42.829029,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 1630.0,
        "trend": 36.328822,
        "fair_value": 26.542863,
        "relative_strength": 14.159043,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.868857,
        "energy": 95.332741,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.148529,
          40.931161,
          38.998871,
          37.751837
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 43.237873,
        "volume": 1500,
        "typical_volume": 1585.0,
        "trend": 36.644269,
        "fair_value": 26.690477,
        "relative_strength": 14.670129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.412518,
        "energy": 94.857706,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.681562,
          41.526731,
          39.554019,
          38.197582
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 43.8661,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 1500.0,
        "trend": 36.973475,
        "fair_value": 26.839642,
        "relative_strength": 16.025753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.566627,
        "energy": 95.953349,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.189824,
          42.135887,
          40.129262,
          38.663506
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.028465,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1410.0,
        "trend": 37.268555,
        "fair_value": 26.982944,
        "relative_strength": 13.091483,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.598598,
        "energy": 86.718113,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.222584,
          42.482134,
          40.582543,
          39.054151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.459999,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1315.0,
        "trend": 37.581853,
        "fair_value": 27.130548,
        "relative_strength": 14.276377,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.565751,
        "energy": 69.705418,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.354462,
          42.813084,
          41.033539,
          39.453599
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.580002,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 1170.0,
        "trend": 37.8867,
        "fair_value": 27.279556,
        "relative_strength": 10.592546,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.019629,
        "energy": 69.527052,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.453032,
          43.088829,
          41.448921,
          39.840576
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}