{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff841ffd-545c-4cca-9e12-e3c131de85bf", "symbol": "LINK", "name": "LINK Mobility Group Holding ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 95.237, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 18.566, "architecture_energy": 20.883, "architecture_maturity": 13.092, "architecture_confidence": 45.722, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.24, "rotation_up": 47.29, "upward_expansion": 42.88, "deceleration": 21.39, "rotation_down": 26.09, "downward_expansion": 24.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.538667, 25.261454, 25.277143, 24.865484 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.120001, "trend_reference": 25.148, "distance_from_trend": 0.038651, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.201539, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.125787, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.345503, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002687, "excess_performance": -0.122307, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038651, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078198, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.125787, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016589, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.173455, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061475, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002687, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.164195, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3184387, "relative_activity": 0.457661, "balance": 3.164195, "dry_up": 0.432775, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067322, "annualized_volatility": 0.434166, "from_high_reference": -0.278453, "from_low_reference": 0.319858 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.148, "fair_value_reference": 23.201539, "structural_low": 19.790001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.030442, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.00812, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.322011, "worst_return": -0.206963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.081114, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.061014, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.405063, "worst_return": -0.1902, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.448808, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.385107, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.531646, "worst_return": -0.500967, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07907, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.281188, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.083882, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007508, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.159309, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.307434, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.016179, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.002302, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 13.42, "volume": 13031843, "typical_volume": 5631701.2, "trend": 10.809167, "fair_value": 23.000182, "relative_strength": 37.086293, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": 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"relative_strength": -23.936425, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.996731, "energy": 14.177565, "activity_lines": [ 25.281332, 25.056727, 25.036904, 24.837312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.440001, "volume": 2582993, "typical_volume": 7353717.35, "trend": 25.430666, "fair_value": 23.123974, "relative_strength": -20.028108, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.545887, "energy": 10.868135, "activity_lines": [ 25.369333, 25.078545, 25.132476, 24.821011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.120001, "volume": 3184387, "typical_volume": 6957955.35, "trend": 25.148, "fair_value": 23.201539, "relative_strength": -17.345503, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.565533, "energy": 20.882749, "activity_lines": [ 25.538667, 25.261454, 25.277143, 24.865484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }