{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff881d4b-9085-4ce8-9412-a38dafff90af", "symbol": "ASOL", "name": "21Shares Solana Staking ETP", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.162, "architecture_energy": 35.583, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.329, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.84, "rotation_up": 24.81, "upward_expansion": 10.45, "deceleration": 65.27, "rotation_down": 43.68, "downward_expansion": 69.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.975014, 49.885933, 51.229319, 52.83425 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 48.986301, "trend_reference": 56.817017, "distance_from_trend": -0.137823, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 87.950202, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.443022, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.281183, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.137831, "excess_performance": -0.254493, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.137823, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.189696, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.443022, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085895, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.472812, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045008, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.137831, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.298327, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16, "relative_activity": 0.027135, "balance": 0.298327, "dry_up": 0.438396, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07376, "annualized_volatility": 0.484365, "from_high_reference": -0.693678, "from_low_reference": 0.142306 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.817017, "fair_value_reference": 87.950202, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.5798, "volume": 695, "typical_volume": 601.65, "trend": 58.252674, "fair_value": 88.209961, "relative_strength": -47.079732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.42942, "energy": 28.371223, "activity_lines": [ 50.745913, 49.96508, 51.623905, 53.432081 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.986301, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 589.65, "trend": 56.817017, "fair_value": 87.950202, "relative_strength": -47.281183, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.16154, "energy": 35.582593, "activity_lines": [ 49.975014, 49.885933, 51.229319, 52.83425 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }