{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff8865f8-f5f6-45e4-a3c5-d402b4e803eb", "symbol": "PDM", "name": "Piedmont Office Realty Trust Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.745, "architecture_energy": 54.459, "architecture_maturity": 32.135, "architecture_confidence": 84.083, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.72, "rotation_up": 56.71, "upward_expansion": 82.2, "deceleration": 60.07, "rotation_down": 23.19, "downward_expansion": 8.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.630667, 9.540727, 9.079381, 8.665656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.48, "trend_reference": 8.320667, "distance_from_trend": 0.139332, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.598794, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247566, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.277844, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.069977, "excess_performance": -0.055647, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139332, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043518, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247566, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095024, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012778, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059175, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069977, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.467881, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4340789, "relative_activity": 0.811778, "balance": 1.467881, "dry_up": 0.685475, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062601, "annualized_volatility": 0.345618, "from_high_reference": -0.063704, "from_low_reference": 0.501188 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.320667, "fair_value_reference": 7.598794, "structural_low": 6.315, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.009071, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.008912, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.12196, "worst_return": -0.125258, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.031877, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.030483, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.32749, "worst_return": -0.139476, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.019608, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.111934, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.308023, "worst_return": -0.317117, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"relative_strength": 9.383302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.363517, "energy": 80.88798, "activity_lines": [ 9.536667, 9.251636, 8.682952, 8.391634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.79, "volume": 2865455, "typical_volume": 5438004.05, "trend": 8.238333, "fair_value": 7.557387, "relative_strength": 9.683554, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.276782, "energy": 74.000856, "activity_lines": [ 9.656, 9.406, 8.841, 8.494903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.69, "volume": 4212319, "typical_volume": 5421566.35, "trend": 8.285, "fair_value": 7.578735, "relative_strength": 7.203861, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.13455, "energy": 60.177534, "activity_lines": [ 9.685333, 9.506, 8.977476, 8.588559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.48, "volume": 4340789, "typical_volume": 5347260.05, "trend": 8.320667, "fair_value": 7.598794, "relative_strength": 1.277844, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.745083, "energy": 54.458973, "activity_lines": [ 9.630667, 9.540727, 9.079381, 8.665656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }