{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ffa103f6-07b6-4a71-a8ae-3fa5e279efbe", "symbol": "300377", "name": "Shenzhen Ysstech Info-Tech Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.249, "architecture_energy": 46.539, "architecture_maturity": 55.649, "architecture_confidence": 92.955, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.0, "rotation_up": 19.83, "upward_expansion": 6.27, "deceleration": 51.09, "rotation_down": 54.72, "downward_expansion": 77.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.817333, 14.235455, 14.907, 15.941462 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.38, "trend_reference": 17.555, "distance_from_trend": -0.18086, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.232088, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.1141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.458215, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.312291, "excess_performance": -0.319691, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.18086, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093358, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.1141, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249003, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.284582, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057592, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.312291, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.674422, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 177596905, "relative_activity": 1.238249, "balance": 0.674422, "dry_up": 1.454555, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128597, "annualized_volatility": 0.501634, "from_high_reference": -0.484218, "from_low_reference": 0.151321 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.555, "fair_value_reference": 16.232088, "structural_low": 12.49, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.036638, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": -0.006716, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.414925, "worst_return": -0.215222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.034568, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.011789, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.352212, "worst_return": -0.238512, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.115574, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.023111, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 3.642478, "worst_return": -0.279101, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -37.068183, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.44151, "energy": 64.254182, "activity_lines": [ 13.719333, 14.307636, 15.24881, 16.422323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.14, "volume": 186416405, "typical_volume": 142998802.45, "trend": 17.827333, "fair_value": 16.188997, "relative_strength": -27.070215, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.504032, "energy": 57.767462, "activity_lines": [ 13.665333, 14.232, 15.054191, 16.163871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.38, "volume": 177596905, "typical_volume": 143425846.2, "trend": 17.555, "fair_value": 16.232088, "relative_strength": -28.458215, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.248898, "energy": 46.538994, "activity_lines": [ 13.817333, 14.235455, 14.907, 15.941462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }