{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ffa4329a-12b5-4c27-a7d4-784b4dcbb584", "symbol": "WETP", "name": "WISDOMTREE ISSUER X LIMITED WIS", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.869, "architecture_energy": 23.149, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 66.609, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.99, "rotation_up": 29.37, "upward_expansion": 20.39, "deceleration": 46.95, "rotation_down": 20.57, "downward_expansion": 54.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 1373.766667, 1331.236364, 1387.035714, 1438.047849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1403.75, "trend_reference": 1536.175, "distance_from_trend": -0.086204, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2094.182609, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.329691, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.511743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.046365, "excess_performance": -0.097601, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.086204, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173744, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.329691, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083489, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.375117, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064783, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.046365, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.707557, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29767, "relative_activity": 0.848417, "balance": 0.707557, "dry_up": 1.221372, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077024, "annualized_volatility": 0.460731, "from_high_reference": -0.590982, "from_low_reference": 0.2319 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1536.175, "fair_value_reference": 2094.182609, "structural_low": 1139.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.037822, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.040758, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.088997, "worst_return": -0.383803, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.255545, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.273513, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.248455, "worst_return": -0.262635, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.445837, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.481508, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.445837, "worst_return": -0.445837, "sufficient": false }, 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"activity_lines": [ 1351.383333, 1312.872727, 1392.603571, 1448.51129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1403.75, "volume": 29767, "typical_volume": 35085.35, "trend": 1536.175, "fair_value": 2094.182609, "relative_strength": -37.511743, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.868656, "energy": 23.148686, "activity_lines": [ 1373.766667, 1331.236364, 1387.035714, 1438.047849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }