{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ffc89b25-85fd-44c0-b11e-dc073f3711d4", "symbol": "JCHI", "name": "JP MORGAN ETF TRUST ACTIVE CHINA ETF USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 68.739, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 15.337, "architecture_energy": 21.632, "architecture_maturity": 16.841, "architecture_confidence": 44.323, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.29, "rotation_up": 55.57, "upward_expansion": 26.79, "deceleration": 38.68, "rotation_down": 15.61, "downward_expansion": 27.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.606647, 53.777522, 53.90401, 53.954132 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 55.6942, "trend_reference": 54.28731, "distance_from_trend": 0.025916, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.280863, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.203396, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.682342, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.01533, "excess_performance": -0.140955, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.025916, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013344, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.203396, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029563, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096823, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027873, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.01533, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.119885, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6331, "relative_activity": 1.63368, "balance": 1.119885, "dry_up": 0.949281, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030896, "annualized_volatility": 0.165623, "from_high_reference": -0.064988, "from_low_reference": 0.104535 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.28731, "fair_value_reference": 46.280863, 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"volume": 5321, "typical_volume": 3857.65, "trend": 54.33325, "fair_value": 46.12877, "relative_strength": -9.351283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.930856, "energy": 30.101116, "activity_lines": [ 52.88128, 52.972211, 53.547355, 53.7984 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.3554, "volume": 949, "typical_volume": 3695.0, "trend": 54.30251, "fair_value": 46.196579, "relative_strength": -7.268237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.49973, "energy": 11.690901, "activity_lines": [ 53.815227, 53.350713, 53.712544, 53.864345 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.6942, "volume": 6331, "typical_volume": 3875.3, "trend": 54.28731, "fair_value": 46.280863, "relative_strength": -9.682342, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.337173, "energy": 21.632223, "activity_lines": [ 54.606647, 53.777522, 53.90401, 53.954132 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }