{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ffd7aedd-2fce-4ad6-9290-86a4936a565e", "symbol": "3040", "name": "Global View Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.566, "architecture_energy": 44.606, "architecture_maturity": 92.844, "architecture_confidence": 91.242, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.31, "rotation_up": 26.11, "upward_expansion": 6.1, "deceleration": 56.66, "rotation_down": 47.14, "downward_expansion": 77.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.126666, 37.308182, 38.378096, 40.16957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.549999, "trend_reference": 42.433334, "distance_from_trend": -0.115083, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 42.86094, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.123911, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.095582, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.14756, "excess_performance": -0.588932, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115083, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132627, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.123911, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054517, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.490956, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038418, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14756, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.442633, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 316044, "relative_activity": 0.336806, "balance": 0.442633, "dry_up": 1.188716, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072519, "annualized_volatility": 0.431185, "from_high_reference": -0.512338, "from_low_reference": 0.120895 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.433334, "fair_value_reference": 42.86094, "structural_low": 33.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.010387, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.023973, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.506721, "worst_return": -0.231141, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.052976, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.051967, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.384617, "worst_return": -0.212185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.103658, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.12682, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.377705, "worst_return": -0.287072, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.581241, "energy": 47.987148, "activity_lines": [ 38.083334, 38.242728, 40.31881, 42.005484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.849998, "volume": 792992, "typical_volume": 1024081.6, "trend": 44.136667, "fair_value": 42.702777, "relative_strength": -52.395132, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.867199, "energy": 54.26719, "activity_lines": [ 37.35, 37.759091, 39.692858, 41.427097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.0, "volume": 2813468, "typical_volume": 1053343.95, "trend": 43.413333, "fair_value": 42.741962, "relative_strength": -51.817508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.040795, "energy": 57.707243, "activity_lines": [ 36.503333, 37.181819, 39.004524, 40.837635 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.450001, "volume": 539254, "typical_volume": 1003694.5, "trend": 42.941667, "fair_value": 42.805102, "relative_strength": -47.155722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.304118, "energy": 45.951701, "activity_lines": [ 36.973334, 37.315455, 38.709286, 40.51742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 37.549999, "volume": 316044, "typical_volume": 938356.6, "trend": 42.433334, "fair_value": 42.86094, "relative_strength": -49.095582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.566303, "energy": 44.606018, "activity_lines": [ 37.126666, 37.308182, 38.378096, 40.16957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }