{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ffdac642-07d0-4930-9511-92c5101f0b05",
    "symbol": "OVV",
    "name": "Ovintiv Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.937,
    "architecture_energy": 71.868,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.263,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.787,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.13,
        "rotation_up": 73.08,
        "upward_expansion": 89.22,
        "deceleration": 44.97,
        "rotation_down": 8.93,
        "downward_expansion": 15.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        84.756666,
        81.913926,
        80.353467,
        78.81105
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 82.769997,
    "trend_reference": 75.021192,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.103288,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 60.098351,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.377242,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 12.029008,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.317522,
    "excess_performance": 0.197101,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103288,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131885,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.377242,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007645,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.12029,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064408,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.317522,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.471224,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 878900,
      "relative_activity": 1.021579,
      "balance": 1.471224,
      "dry_up": 1.533414,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059904,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.366664,
      "from_high_reference": -0.089739,
      "from_low_reference": 0.681431
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 75.021192,
      "fair_value_reference": 60.098351,
      "structural_low": 60.260094,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.005196,
        "positive_rate": 0.458333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.458333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00398,
        "regime_survival": 0.541667,
        "best_return": 0.298183,
        "worst_return": -0.260522,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.016847,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044453,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.195169,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005903,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.005783,
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        "worst_return": -0.129559,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 889360.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 89.010002,
        "volume": 2074400,
        "typical_volume": 916050.0,
        "trend": 72.953945,
        "fair_value": 59.772185,
        "relative_strength": 24.951895,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "direction": 79.475088,
        "energy": 64.188839,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 87.489998,
        "volume": 1212000,
        "typical_volume": 878790.0,
        "trend": 74.03672,
        "fair_value": 59.954149,
        "relative_strength": 22.706058,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.69252,
        "energy": 75.96414,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.591334,
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          80.045339,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 82.769997,
        "volume": 878900,
        "typical_volume": 860335.0,
        "trend": 75.021192,
        "fair_value": 60.098351,
        "relative_strength": 12.029008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.93694,
        "energy": 71.867572,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.756666,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}