{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"IBTR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"002ca8b9-3262-4250-a3ce-e20183c50b0c","symbol":"IBTR","name":"iShares iBonds Dec 2036 Term Treasury ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":22,"displayedObservations":22,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[24.744461,24.794128,24.833863,24.903397,25.062334,24.853369,24.698782,24.768356,24.450303,24.644116,24.61095,24.56111,24.755485,24.700662,24.881645,24.702276,24.542714,24.592577,24.423042,24.4,24.43,24.41],"highs":[24.744461,24.913331,24.992799,25.087168,25.062334,24.853369,24.917443,24.768356,24.50795,24.753447,24.740533,24.750501,24.815293,24.945176,24.901527,24.717235,24.667372,24.592577,24.5477,24.52,24.57,24.535],"lows":[24.615325,24.779228,24.749427,24.869127,24.874391,24.673355,24.628313,24.385698,24.241581,24.588457,24.551042,24.516254,24.680227,24.66079,24.672358,24.487864,24.457946,24.313342,24.273452,24.375,24.3748,24.375],"closes":[24.620291,24.898431,24.898431,25.057367,24.958032,24.740228,24.798173,24.385698,24.499999,24.703552,24.556126,24.691391,24.76346,24.945176,24.707262,24.557673,24.604943,24.376968,24.321121,24.4865,24.435,24.375],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"24.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"24.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"24.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"24.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":22,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-03-27","price":24.620291}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-04-03","price":24.898431}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[24.6203,24.8984,24.8984,25.0574,24.958,24.7402,24.7982,24.3857,24.5,24.7036,24.5561,24.6914,24.7635,24.9452,24.7073,24.5577,24.6049,24.377,24.3211,24.4865,24.435,24.375],"consensus":[-92.3089,77.7783,22.4496,42.1456,46.6942,-32.7913,0.0,-78.2566,0.0,26.4842,-47.9112,39.909,30.6058,64.9267,-21.8426,-47.013,0.0,-63.4838,-46.7851,10.1333,-28.5699,-35.0113],"supportDates":["2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-33.3771,0.0,-69.3172,0.0,26.7663,-42.2586,26.4084,22.3002,57.6605,-34.5775,-40.858,0.0,-58.102,-44.5384,14.4327,-24.2094,-41.0058],"force":[-92.3089,77.7783,22.4496,42.1456,11.6718,-38.1508,0.0,-98.9102,0.0,65.6422,-59.1743,78.0192,30.4755,83.4924,-50.8956,-63.7873,0.0,-86.5358,-40.3929,51.3416,-26.66,-37.6633],"direction":[null,null,null,null,88.3842,-28.2937,0.0,-73.7204,0.0,1.8083,-46.3261,28.1168,40.1912,59.9697,-13.4637,-42.0656,0.0,-53.1686,-53.9185,24.2147,-34.9175,-26.2663],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,80.0,16.6667,100.0,75.0,88.8889,40.0,36.3636,58.3333,61.5385,71.4286,60.0,6.25,70.5882,11.1111,52.6316,10.0,19.0476],"confirmation":[52.2055,47.5557,29.8505,36.1532,16.009,78.6476,49.1689,93.8078,13.4715,55.3831,83.761,82.1381,77.9165,89.4531,33.2199,83.6492,5.8746,89.0994,82.8106,32.2655,77.1506,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,60.0,33.3333,28.5714,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,25.717,19.2392,30.918,10.675,46.7884,21.9927,17.6735,25.7402,28.8498,10.4567,44.6502,7.082,34.351,18.0194,25.2027,23.1476,26.1078,16.845],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-35.0,"control":-41.0,"force":-37.7,"direction":-26.3,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":16.8,"intensity":19.0,"evidenceDepth":85},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-35.0","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-41.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-37.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-26.3","detail":"Downward 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}