{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"RIOY Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"00aa30d9-539a-4ca4-9efe-e4e4f6734e02","symbol":"RIOY","name":"IncomeShares Riot (RIOT) Options ETP","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":21,"displayedObservations":21,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[7.320241,8.308994,8.195845,8.584028,8.563319,8.435643,9.603266,11.42,10.601667,11.365766,11.417408,12.238973,12.196721,9.835,9.53,7.9775,8.47875,8.92375,7.3325,7.5425,7.1125],"highs":[7.320241,9.303765,9.020232,9.120279,8.585863,9.827483,10.402833,12.2825,11.650835,11.647446,11.417408,12.238973,12.234278,9.835,9.53,8.055,10.015,8.93,8.16125,8.2875,7.57625],"lows":[6.582889,8.308994,8.16383,8.584028,7.064079,8.435643,9.603266,10.9,10.601667,11.365766,11.417408,12.238973,12.196721,9.835,9.1125,7.9775,8.47875,7.41,7.3325,6.7825,7.04875],"closes":[7.171364,9.363717,8.728095,8.966207,8.334111,9.340974,9.72595,12.375,11.234129,11.647446,11.417408,12.238973,12.227237,9.835,9.28375,8.0275,9.6475,8.38125,7.685,6.7825,7.48],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"7.32","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"7.32","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"6.58","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"7.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[6.44695,12.71055],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"steady","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Little changed this week","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":21,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-22","price":12.375}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-05-29","price":11.234129}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[7.1714,9.3637,8.7281,8.9662,8.3341,9.341,9.7259,12.375,11.2341,11.6474,11.4174,12.239,12.2272,9.835,9.2837,8.0275,9.6475,8.3812,7.685,6.7825,7.48],"consensus":[59.6185,100.0,31.7757,24.6717,34.8548,43.7099,35.1366,88.1305,29.9356,64.832,35.4852,40.2415,46.7377,-41.6627,-45.1628,-51.6799,13.6314,-45.9065,-52.2922,-66.6307,-6.175],"supportDates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,54.5639,25.3856,88.2138,24.8022,65.6917,25.951,48.4232,46.6342,-37.5798,-40.9259,-44.1049,29.184,-41.5191,-40.5761,-69.3375,-1.5654],"force":[59.6185,100.0,31.7757,24.6717,0.0759,30.7678,10.1809,95.5959,22.8621,49.9971,2.9422,19.136,15.5396,-39.6636,-30.6011,-31.8857,56.7557,-41.7281,-59.8237,-67.5985,-55.439],"direction":[null,null,null,null,59.6969,40.5497,64.106,82.7029,73.515,74.4459,69.6264,45.9664,69.1404,-47.7566,-60.4062,-74.4757,34.946,-53.9052,-60.3024,-62.8459,-59.0311],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,60.0,50.0,100.0,37.5,33.3333,10.0,45.4545,8.3333,92.3077,35.7143,73.3333,81.25,58.8235,38.8889,47.3684,25.0],"confirmation":[41.7446,54.6667,32.8349,30.5616,32.2303,81.4274,78.6317,96.428,35.5924,88.281,55.8421,80.1094,82.0068,81.3333,82.0729,84.0497,35.5611,82.6296,85.1416,89.3101,12.3771],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,20.807,22.9162,20.9274,5.6047,33.9711,15.448,27.0627,26.1826,12.9779,23.6329,25.0124,24.0759,55.1235,17.2879,16.1831,3.9875,45.4071],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-6.2,"control":-1.6,"force":-55.4,"direction":-59.0,"confirmation":12.4,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":45.4,"intensity":25.0,"evidenceDepth":81},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-6.2","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-1.6","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-55.4","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-59.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"12/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"65.7","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"15.6%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"-","detail":"Developing","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"16%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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