{"ticker": {"uuid": "02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c", "symbol": "1880", "name": "China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited", "exchange": "HKG", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-06-12", "summary": "1880 closed the latest completed week at 55.85 HKD. The 4-week return is -2.2% and the 12-week return is -19.6%. Trend Signal is inactive, Activity pressure is -1.30.", "description": "China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in duty-free tourism retail business in China. The company engages in the wholesale and retail of duty-free commodities, such as tobacco, alcohol, cosmetics, watches and jewelry, apparel and bags, and electronic products, as well as food. It is also involved in the investment and development of commercial complexes for duty-free businesses. The company was formerly known as China International Travel Service Corporation Limited and changed its name to China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited in June 2020. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Beijing, China. China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Tourism Group Co., Ltd.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "27", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "55.85 HKD", "hint": "2026-06-12"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "0.1%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-2.2%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-19.6%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "75.0%", "hint": "39 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.1x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "HKG", "country": "HK", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Specialty Retail", "currency": "HKD", "market_cap": "118.6B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "72.72 HKD", "fair_value": "66.47 HKD", "vs_trend": "-23.2%", "vs_fair_value": "-16.0%", "high_52": "107.0 HKD", "low_52": "49.77 HKD", "drawdown": "-47.8%", "range_position": "10.6%", "markers": [{"label": "Close", "value": 55.849998, "value_label": "55.85", "position": 10.63127357733423, "left": "10.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend", "value": 72.719876, "value_label": "72.72", "position": 40.10614069006177, "left": "40.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair", "value": 66.471701, "value_label": "66.47", "position": 29.18939737857686, "left": "29.2%", "tone": "neutral"}], "insights": [{"label": "Range location", "value": "10.6%", "detail": "Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend distance", "value": "-23.2%", "detail": "Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Fair-value gap", "value": "-16.0%", "detail": "Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "High-water gap", "value": "-47.8%", "detail": "Distance from the latest 52-week high.", "tone": "negative"}]}, "momentum": {"returns": [{"label": "1W", "value": 0.08960394425813463, "value_label": "0.1%", "tone": "positive", "width": 4}, {"label": "4W", "value": -2.18914193306977, "value_label": "-2.2%", "tone": "negative", "width": 6.2546912373421995}, {"label": "12W", "value": -19.640290647482015, "value_label": "-19.6%", "tone": "negative", "width": 56.1151161356629}, {"label": "26W", "value": -21.778716476786656, "value_label": "-21.8%", "tone": "negative", "width": 62.22490421939044}, {"label": "52W", "value": 11.446090600706219, "value_label": "11.4%", "tone": "positive", "width": 32.703116002017765}], "trend_streak": 0, "active_weeks": 39, "active_breadth": "75.0%", "peer": {"scope": "HK Consumer Cyclical", "count": 443, "rank": 157, "percentile": 64.70588235294117, "avg_weekly_return": -0.8320728342207028}}, "setup": {"scores": [{"label": "Trend", "value": 41.25, "value_label": "41", "width": 41.25, "tone": "neutral", "description": "Persistence of 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"volume_height": 18.59996548670184, "volume": "5.3M"}, {"week": "1 May", "return": -1.321931509085627, "return_label": "-1.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 21.180220555416483, "volume": "6.1M"}, {"week": "8 May", "return": -7.88022052198234, "return_label": "-7.9%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 37.818353353990766, "volume": "10.9M"}, {"week": "15 May", "return": -2.309671474599292, "return_label": "-2.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 33.33818712815347, "volume": "9.6M"}, {"week": "22 May", "return": -4.640975644167272, "return_label": "-4.6%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 18.331617985782497, "volume": "5.3M"}, {"week": "29 May", "return": 2.7548208860455303, "return_label": "2.8%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 52.96344518669906, "volume": "15.2M"}, {"week": "5 Jun", "return": -0.2681000845737262, "return_label": "-0.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 41.68731007513563, "volume": "12.0M"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": 0.08960394425813463, "return_label": "0.1%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 32.22517499570671, "volume": "9.3M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "1.1x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "8.4M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "15.4M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "3.1%", "volatility_52": "6.2%", "downside_weeks": 24, "upside_weeks": 28, "downside_breadth": "46.2%", "average_gain": "4.8%", "average_loss": "-4.7%", "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "3.1%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "6.2%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "28/24", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "4.8% / -4.7%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-23.2%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.1x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "The Expectancy Model is negative at 37.36%, which weighs against the setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "55.85 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "72.72 HKD", "fair_value": "66.47 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.30", "relative_leadership": "-13.83", "volume": "9.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "55.80 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "73.42 HKD", "fair_value": "66.92 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.28", "relative_leadership": "-14.65", "volume": "12.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "55.95 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "73.91 HKD", "fair_value": "67.29 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.22", "relative_leadership": "-15.06", "volume": "15.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "54.45 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.26 HKD", "fair_value": "67.69 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.21", "relative_leadership": "-18.62", "volume": "5.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "57.10 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.47 HKD", "fair_value": "68.15 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.18", "relative_leadership": "-15.79", "volume": "9.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "58.45 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.63 HKD", "fair_value": "68.61 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.21", "relative_leadership": "-15.17", "volume": "10.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "63.45 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.65 HKD", "fair_value": "69.09 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.28", "relative_leadership": "-5.67", "volume": "6.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "64.30 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.64 HKD", "fair_value": "69.61 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.29", "relative_leadership": "-5.03", "volume": "5.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-17", "close": "65.65 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.54 HKD", "fair_value": "70.21 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.33", "relative_leadership": "-3.56", "volume": "6.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-10", "close": "64.95 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.55 HKD", "fair_value": "70.86 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.33", "relative_leadership": "-3.55", "volume": "5.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-03", "close": "66.55 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.43 HKD", "fair_value": "71.55 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.32", "relative_leadership": "1.88", "volume": "6.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-27", "close": "65.10 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.25 HKD", "fair_value": "72.26 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-1.19", "relative_leadership": "0.72", "volume": "8.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-20", "close": "69.50 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.17 HKD", "fair_value": "73.01 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.80", "relative_leadership": "6.57", "volume": "8.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-13", "close": "69.00 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "73.87 HKD", "fair_value": "73.74 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.17", "relative_leadership": "5.56", "volume": "7.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Caution", "rating_tone": "negative", "overall_score": "28", "primary_driver": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 12.208333333333332, "score_label": "12", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers", "metric": "12/100", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 28.17910643426317, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "28/100", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 12.208333333333332, "score_label": "12", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers", "metric": "12/100", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 31.32135, "score_label": "31", "tone": "negative", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is negative with a 37.36% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Negative 37.36%", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 12.208333333333332, "score_label": "12", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers", "metric": "12/100", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 28.17910643426317, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "28/100", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 31.32135, "score_label": "31", "tone": "negative", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is negative with a 37.36% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Negative 37.36%", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is patient capital: Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.1%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -2.2%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "41/26", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "value": "Negative 37.36%", "detail": "The Expectancy Model contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/", "api_path": "/terminal/02f57283-f52a-4557-bb96-38efd7ed4d2c/report/api/"}