{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AEE Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"038fc08f-b6a4-4cbc-8f99-f76e3c3f7f41","symbol":"AEE","name":"Ameren Corp","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Utilities","industry":"Utilities - Regulated Electric"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":22},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":22},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":22},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":22},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":22},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":22},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":22},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":22},{"week":9,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":22},{"week":10,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":22},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":22},{"week":12,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":22},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":22},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":22},{"week":15,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":21},{"week":16,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":21},{"week":17,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":21},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":21},{"week":19,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":21},{"week":20,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":21},{"week":21,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":21},{"week":22,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":20},{"week":23,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":20},{"week":24,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":20},{"week":25,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":20},{"week":26,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":20}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-3.8,"medianReturn":-3.8,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.7,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":40.0,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 40.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.5% across 20 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 83.3% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.3% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":118.32}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[77.4233,77.8574,78.4707,79.888,81.4384,82.2659,83.4549,82.2279,84.5012,83.512,81.6857,85.7852,86.7649,89.2284,89.7801,87.3071,86.0895,85.5625,86.3578,85.1409,84.3647,90.2388,90.1909,90.2675,93.0369,93.976,94.4263,97.3203,94.4743,95.6712,95.4685,96.231,92.457,94.1365,95.2175,94.8604,96.0187,94.011,94.6095,92.9493,93.5091,92.6983,93.0559,92.0738,92.6767,93.3671,93.5421,95.973,97.3343,99.2888,98.5887,97.7816,99.1332,97.0232,97.8497,98.7067,97.081,99.9896,101.5957,101.5272,103.339,102.1246,99.9113,102.4869,102.8493,102.3694,104.1518,97.7959,95.9472,97.1408,98.4527,99.4884,98.5513,102.5857,100.9286,101.8755,103.6609,109.4609,108.5534,111.7395,110.0035,111.2672,105.3285,107.9701,110.9097,112.6675,111.9326,110.3536,112.7768,108.3177,105.6264,110.5224,107.2253,108.5163,109.0,108.67,118.32,115.02,112.94,111.55,113.78,109.61,108.84,109.74],"consensus":[26.2877,35.6385,37.7656,52.0675,59.8884,50.8172,57.5136,15.0993,67.5349,13.4485,-16.9629,70.3781,44.9569,66.5258,41.839,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.7595,-23.7189,-18.5206,62.1972,22.2057,33.7507,66.9716,42.0485,46.7601,70.9096,0.0,40.8164,14.6295,28.6722,-40.2841,22.2983,16.9974,0.0,31.8962,-19.8252,13.2168,-24.4656,0.0,-21.0315,0.0,-22.4167,0.0,9.9226,8.2281,45.8212,37.0131,51.2182,13.0486,0.0,35.1386,-23.2114,18.9235,31.1745,-20.3929,50.6832,48.6178,19.9768,55.2254,0.0,-26.742,46.677,21.4244,0.0,47.9925,-61.4726,-54.0349,-15.1287,0.0,15.6671,0.0,56.0402,0.0,22.4953,44.7028,74.6551,23.6415,70.7742,19.1904,47.7095,-42.5526,23.1398,43.962,40.3651,28.6823,0.0,39.1708,-38.5884,-49.6029,38.879,-42.5141,14.3136,13.5856,-10.0989,71.5314,9.9657,0.0,0.0,18.8094,-37.1202,-20.461,-3.9282],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[35.545,-22.2368,27.2402,36.7573,-16.7721,51.7849,48.4431,13.2736,55.0823,0.0,-26.6486,47.6351,28.6755,0.0,49.9193,-54.7358,-53.0937,-12.6112,0.0,17.0223,0.0,55.9367,0.0,18.7544,41.163,73.6914,15.0742,74.4661,12.5198,53.239,-40.3532,35.8671,51.727,43.0563,26.641,0.0,39.4518,-33.7274,-47.9667,43.1711,-39.2902,18.5177,10.93,-7.1174,68.6144,5.3346,0.0,0.0,30.9303,-31.7694,-14.9933,-12.3562],"force":[33.4007,-50.7314,20.0038,32.0531,-40.1621,65.7693,50.7699,1.3824,57.404,0.0,-55.823,69.4048,11.0142,0.0,49.7809,-96.2267,-54.9909,-24.9166,0.0,28.6105,0.0,78.0337,0.0,21.0653,51.533,96.1729,11.0374,74.3802,23.57,37.269,-85.775,31.4784,44.0187,35.8429,5.748,0.0,43.8951,-70.3905,-63.5549,70.4091,-64.0629,31.7285,19.2798,-13.3768,98.661,29.8282,0.0,0.0,25.03,-58.6996,-16.3164,-19.7297],"direction":[35.9154,-4.668,8.6471,24.1667,-10.4101,38.6482,47.2804,42.8943,53.833,0.0,-6.0767,29.3481,20.5733,0.0,44.5129,-44.3475,-54.4276,-46.6097,0.0,4.8731,0.0,40.4488,0.0,27.7922,43.8695,60.3866,58.2034,63.9791,57.3571,48.8476,-14.1931,2.6383,35.0472,40.5196,47.397,0.0,35.475,-21.428,-41.5072,11.4524,-30.8066,2.9303,12.5534,-11.1648,55.4867,43.6827,0.0,0.0,0.5136,-27.8216,-29.6702,-16.9907],"intensity":[25.0,55.7692,7.6923,9.6154,34.6154,76.9231,78.8462,21.1538,44.2308,21.1538,59.6154,69.2308,90.3846,11.5385,40.3846,100.0,96.1538,23.0769,28.8462,34.6154,19.2308,90.3846,51.9231,11.5385,48.0769,98.0769,90.3846,76.9231,46.1538,30.7692,98.0769,88.4615,73.0769,78.8462,61.5385,44.2308,67.3077,92.3077,80.7692,92.3077,76.9231,61.5385,44.2308,38.4615,100.0,76.9231,46.1538,23.0769,53.8462,82.6923,82.6923,5.7692],"confirmation":[79.1852,53.6145,73.9617,77.9176,75.1834,84.6616,83.626,51.472,85.7407,8.2112,54.7785,83.6147,74.4281,4.0702,83.3827,88.8331,85.3346,31.6413,30.9319,50.7206,47.7539,86.6047,29.4483,75.2119,82.567,92.5601,31.6603,90.7014,32.6343,82.8646,82.9676,52.7983,81.9512,80.738,53.8438,4.8754,80.6743,81.3916,84.3231,81.3368,82.3104,51.0055,72.5614,48.7103,91.7613,8.4102,6.171,28.3017,51.3572,80.6177,74.5045,27.9015],"persistence":[87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[29.206,35.7169,36.3756,16.1582,35.7127,22.9437,25.0367,37.7443,22.3695,43.1453,26.1227,2.3446,25.0465,4.2733,25.5927,17.3091,22.6429,41.1254,49.7456,23.7026,44.3876,20.6984,40.4177,26.1908,26.2309,11.874,37.6936,14.4918,40.0195,10.573,19.2535,54.6355,7.1435,2.0994,34.7332,32.0262,9.111,24.6837,24.0433,16.7566,25.9229,3.9954,32.9059,25.2062,14.0204,42.1098,38.877,35.9759,51.1805,25.6408,29.9762,25.1146],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-3.9,"control":-12.4,"force":-19.7,"direction":-17.0,"confirmation":27.9,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":25.1,"intensity":5.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-3.9","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-12.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-19.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-17.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"28/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"50.8","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.4%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"21.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"39%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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