{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"LXFR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"04bd1d10-eafd-4541-b1f1-cd3cfb86fe01","symbol":"LXFR","name":"Luxfer Holdings PLC","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Specialty Industrial Machinery"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":15},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":15},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":15},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":8.7,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":14},{"week":9,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":14},{"week":10,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":14},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":14},{"week":12,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":14},{"week":13,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":14},{"week":14,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":10.0,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":12.1,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":9.1,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":14},{"week":19,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":7.2,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":5.1,"sample":13},{"week":26,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":52.9,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.9% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.2% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 8.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 12.7% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-03","price":17.006094}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[9.9595,10.4436,9.9316,10.7507,11.635,11.9887,11.7467,12.1004,12.24,11.6195,13.4433,13.5937,13.4809,13.3681,13.4997,13.0015,12.8135,12.3904,12.3058,12.334,11.5255,12.9075,13.4527,13.4257,13.3309,13.4922,13.4447,11.5755,11.5186,11.4996,10.9873,10.9683,9.5546,9.6115,9.4692,9.6326,10.8727,11.1419,11.5745,10.7478,10.9881,11.3726,11.1035,10.8727,11.6995,12.1898,11.7956,11.6322,11.7196,11.5059,11.8557,12.0501,12.7789,13.0413,13.3134,12.9441,13.6826,13.6049,13.4105,12.2153,12.5554,13.3309,11.9762,12.1136,11.8486,11.7602,12.2707,12.6634,13.4389,13.537,13.8119,13.3505,14.0475,14.9114,15.0586,14.9893,15.3457,15.4645,15.4942,12.7419,11.8607,11.4845,11.3954,12.0984,12.0192,12.9498,12.93,13.14,15.35,15.57,15.47,16.23,17.03,16.94,17.9387,18.9309,18.4249,17.0061,16.9267,16.51,17.05,17.03,17.1,17.08],"consensus":[-14.97,17.3047,-29.1181,41.9237,58.8076,48.2082,18.7127,47.7042,38.6381,-18.5103,67.7754,35.2905,15.4124,27.5483,18.5995,-15.6712,-11.5481,-30.8797,-22.6525,-9.4618,-51.7745,46.6914,45.6682,21.0025,25.407,17.553,0.0,-59.6314,-32.281,-29.0478,-55.2351,-41.2422,-71.5482,-31.7252,-50.9517,-24.4175,37.851,24.3152,24.398,-20.9698,0.0,28.836,-17.1131,-19.144,45.0255,47.1057,0.0,0.0,15.2987,-15.4581,27.4524,21.1739,54.1061,40.9536,50.1931,0.0,53.0069,20.1061,0.0,-44.0976,0.0,34.6571,-52.4479,-9.0194,-38.756,-23.4647,19.6655,28.3723,53.524,36.6872,46.8404,0.0,56.8292,65.8668,41.9006,32.6086,49.5921,33.67,32.7829,-65.5645,-69.2059,-58.4578,-47.9636,-8.6942,-21.1538,34.897,0.0,24.2936,71.6804,45.7765,34.1789,62.1738,62.6321,27.1364,66.874,69.7021,19.7487,-16.7383,0.0,-23.2364,19.3424,0.0,16.3501,0.6031],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[56.9018,36.0225,54.2492,0.0,45.8547,14.5133,0.0,-45.8546,0.0,45.4465,-48.2578,-10.3229,-42.7161,-14.2344,24.288,29.3546,51.9195,35.4553,51.176,0.0,64.1787,65.0816,37.3291,28.279,47.2263,31.0778,34.3083,-57.1223,-69.9276,-53.7618,-44.9445,-6.9223,-23.8818,33.3601,0.0,24.0778,67.8908,44.481,30.4404,63.2529,64.9632,16.5194,68.2026,72.1094,14.8871,-25.5201,0.0,-19.418,31.7181,0.0,19.7006,11.3474],"force":[58.1711,32.4287,37.0855,0.0,66.3559,4.5664,0.0,-67.9921,0.0,45.7725,-79.1111,-6.3479,-37.3269,-11.8467,40.2938,41.1768,68.2693,24.5167,34.7288,0.0,60.8632,76.2849,26.426,5.1589,41.2891,13.6175,10.3137,-98.0993,-79.4001,-57.1483,-28.1655,-41.0541,-3.2393,68.2798,0.0,31.8659,97.6172,28.574,6.6945,59.7674,55.7311,3.726,63.9036,65.9688,31.1453,-60.9523,0.0,-40.8524,28.1563,0.0,12.1802,7.8065],"direction":[48.0075,52.6781,54.9201,0.0,51.6459,44.1211,0.0,-25.0221,0.0,14.3868,-38.1916,-18.5063,-35.2509,-42.3123,0.3519,18.1035,44.8255,46.7884,50.5365,0.0,45.5483,59.3226,58.1786,57.1635,58.2266,50.9557,47.0891,-51.9736,-61.0995,-64.7601,-65.5556,-46.2538,-30.832,12.8085,0.0,19.1314,57.485,59.5444,58.0831,62.6595,64.8973,61.3146,67.4772,69.6176,61.6576,-24.8795,0.0,-15.0173,1.0971,0.0,15.4996,20.2675],"intensity":[61.5385,48.0769,17.3077,32.6923,76.9231,38.4615,25.0,82.6923,25.0,61.5385,88.4615,73.0769,13.4615,42.3077,42.3077,38.4615,65.3846,55.7692,17.3077,36.5385,57.6923,82.6923,53.8462,32.6923,25.0,15.3846,3.8462,100.0,98.0769,75.0,7.6923,73.0769,38.4615,80.7692,63.4615,5.7692,96.1538,94.2308,3.8462,67.3077,90.3846,69.2308,80.7692,78.8462,48.0769,92.3077,78.8462,26.9231,40.3846,69.2308,9.6154,1.9231],"confirmation":[85.3952,80.9205,83.6005,7.7251,85.478,52.0748,5.5038,82.8127,25.0044,79.2646,85.6598,49.0856,80.298,75.2953,52.2596,77.4544,85.6015,79.3878,82.5537,30.2786,86.1963,89.4068,81.0063,54.9975,83.6525,78.2028,77.7825,90.1008,90.4456,86.7381,82.791,10.0512,51.515,80.2078,25.0155,76.008,91.7859,82.1439,55.4899,87.8058,87.7964,54.0331,89.2889,90.1542,34.1536,34.5442,2.5856,76.0307,51.837,2.7823,73.0539,12.205],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[22.5762,29.4929,24.8613,45.6328,22.4319,35.6375,9.2643,23.2396,45.7759,41.3765,22.5642,3.2865,20.4647,37.6819,12.0986,20.8923,22.4364,31.3052,25.8162,39.5239,11.0947,16.0659,27.7759,33.6736,25.0763,28.6223,25.6739,16.6247,15.3526,20.7602,26.0101,26.5009,19.3966,28.7526,44.1779,29.5541,13.9606,26.3742,32.0547,18.5728,17.6405,34.8365,16.5166,15.1295,38.3715,12.2442,43.527,38.0198,55.6824,1.3748,4.53,34.4266],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":0.6,"control":11.3,"force":7.8,"direction":20.3,"confirmation":12.2,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":34.4,"intensity":1.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+0.6","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+11.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+7.8","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+20.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"12/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"60.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"32.5","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"73%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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