{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ONDG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"052f01d5-e742-449f-b588-0c90273eee94","symbol":"ONDG","name":"Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":32,"displayedObservations":32,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.027872,-0.015814,0.06514,0.089633],"opens":[2.88,2.42,3.88,3.505],"highs":[3.0672,3.6646,4.28,3.67],"lows":[2.045,2.31,3.28,2.81],"closes":[2.4718,3.6,3.63,3.2],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"2.88","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"3.07","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.04","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"2.47","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"2.42","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"3.66","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.31","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"3.60","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"3.88","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.28","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.28","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"3.63","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"3.50","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"3.67","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.81","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"3.20","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[2.402308,3.699492],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[12.556,12.4484,8.6956,7.03,6.4342,7.22,7.1925,6.7,7.1425,6.94,5.1533,5.95,5.3632,6.3538,6.9949,6.56,5.01,6.48,4.69,9.41,5.52,4.39,4.27,2.96,2.66,2.51,2.0,2.81,2.4718,3.6,3.63,3.2],"consensus":[-97.7165,-77.7962,-88.0993,-19.5568,-52.0196,-23.1551,-20.0139,-28.3138,0.0,-19.7157,-46.2284,0.0,-31.6883,0.0,8.3925,0.0,-30.3534,15.3204,-41.5549,55.1489,-38.8572,-35.1272,-19.3229,-45.4164,-38.8295,-34.2233,-36.4254,0.0,-20.8099,25.8437,0.0,-12.3077],"supportDates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-13.8719,-19.1515,-31.6256,0.0,-22.8534,-43.8165,0.0,-34.5412,0.0,1.8946,0.0,-37.1592,11.4389,-44.375,50.2564,-41.6908,-37.9458,-25.4556,-45.1291,-44.0945,-41.3283,-39.603,0.0,-24.3349,24.4648,0.0,-15.088],"force":[-97.7165,-77.7962,-88.0993,-19.5568,-18.6368,-5.6184,-5.4955,-26.8605,0.0,-15.1886,-58.3012,0.0,-23.4582,0.0,18.33,0.0,-36.3913,45.0506,-55.8227,88.605,-79.8719,-41.5701,-9.7907,-48.5323,-29.3888,-20.0734,-25.8552,0.0,-15.143,58.4508,0.0,-19.9851],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-75.8645,-46.2906,-31.3697,-25.5671,0.0,-19.3634,-40.3614,0.0,-34.3063,0.0,8.7204,0.0,-18.2624,1.4794,-28.1408,36.8431,-6.3225,-27.3038,-19.1229,-43.5191,-39.5558,-36.2103,-40.3439,0.0,-20.8289,4.1287,0.0,-3.6464],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,40.0,33.3333,71.4286,75.0,22.2222,50.0,81.8182,25.0,15.3846,50.0,13.3333,56.25,58.8235,66.6667,100.0,95.0,100.0,22.7273,39.1304,12.5,8.0,11.5385,22.2222,3.5714,37.931,26.6667,6.4516],"confirmation":[53.9359,47.5615,50.8584,28.9249,60.4535,52.35,51.3085,76.9657,26.4851,74.1232,83.1978,28.7682,77.8459,4.6212,48.4208,24.3931,77.7934,51.5167,81.6894,86.7418,58.9744,79.3941,73.7994,82.6326,80.0575,78.4119,79.2856,6.1852,74.4327,54.6181,2.2414,49.4634],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,23.9741,38.3006,28.4716,2.3614,26.4652,0.8831,23.0468,26.6277,28.8959,22.9936,40.3784,33.2855,4.5739,0.9664,28.1478,19.2886,32.0187,21.4951,0.7185,27.1494,25.5413,20.2323,23.2392,4.7378,5.5256,12.7352,34.8762,16.7324],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-12.3,"control":-15.1,"force":-20.0,"direction":-3.6,"confirmation":49.5,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":16.7,"intensity":6.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-12.3","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-15.1","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-20.0","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-3.6","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"49/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"40.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"70.1%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"13.2","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"16%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[12.556,12.4484,8.6956,7.03,6.4342,7.22,7.1925,6.7,7.1425,6.94,5.1533,5.95,5.3632,6.3538,6.9949,6.56,5.01,6.48,4.69,9.41,5.52,4.39,4.27,2.96,2.66,2.51,2.0,2.81,2.4718,3.6,3.63,3.2],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,10.1403,9.6094,9.1699,8.7208,8.4339,8.1623,7.6152,7.3124,6.958,6.8482,6.8748,6.8176,6.4889,6.4873,6.1605,6.7513,6.5275,6.1388,5.799,5.2829,4.806,4.3885,3.9542,3.7462,3.5145,3.53,3.5482,3.4849],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.1132,8.9088,8.767,8.6035,8.3373,8.1997,7.9398,8.0487,7.8614,7.6042,7.3572,7.0315,6.7077,6.3968,6.0711,5.8295,5.5808,5.4341,5.3004,5.1449],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.6484,12.5209,12.2978,12.1231,11.9166,11.7406,11.5718,11.4628,11.3169,11.2335,11.3681,10.2727,8.9018,8.6322,8.7905,8.9608,8.977,8.9807,8.892,8.7167,8.4734,8.424,8.2921],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower 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tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-0.857,-30.7455,-44.0108,-48.756,-42.4976,-42.7166,-46.6391,-43.1148,-44.7276,-58.9575,-52.6123,-57.2858,-49.3963,-44.2904,-47.7541,-60.0988,-48.3912,-62.6473,-25.0558,-56.037,-65.0366,-65.9924,-76.4256,-78.8149,-80.0096,-84.0714,-77.6203,-80.3138,-71.3284,-71.0895,-74.5142],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.131,11.0084,7.8611,0.0,15.46,4.0731,23.2958,35.7363,27.2971,0.0,29.3413,0.0,100.6397,17.6972,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.5,23.59,80.0,81.5,60.0],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus 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activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own 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