{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AMBAN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"05fc8c83-02fe-4f37-a119-b8fad8237b8f","symbol":"AMBAN","name":"Ambarella, Inc.","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Technology","industry":"Semiconductor Equipment & Materials"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":9},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":9},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":9},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":9},{"week":5,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":8},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":8},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":8},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":8},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":8},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":8},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":7},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":7},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":7},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":7},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":7},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":7},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":7},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":7},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":7},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":7},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":7},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":7},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":7},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":7},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":7},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":7}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":25.0,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":12},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 25.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 6.9% across 12 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 8.7% across 12 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":1150.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":1140.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[1019.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,997.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1430.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1343.0,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1294.97,1400.0,1400.0,1400.0,1290.0,1290.0,1290.0,1270.0,1188.0,1188.0,1188.0,1188.0,1100.0,1100.0,1227.0,992.0,992.0,962.0,910.0,910.0,910.0,1004.0,1150.0,1150.0,1150.0,1367.0,1367.0,1565.0,1140.0,1190.33,1190.33,1121.3,1422.01,1422.01,1016.41,1016.41,1016.41,1016.41,1016.41],"consensus":[0.0,-59.5291,-43.501,-45.0766,-45.7227,-34.0991,-33.3863,-32.2103,-30.6741,-28.8962,-27.0219,-25.2016,-23.5499,-22.1209,-20.9107,85.1628,55.4992,55.6881,55.5363,43.745,43.363,42.897,42.3315,41.6246,40.6944,39.4028,37.5651,-58.2602,-26.2164,-27.1557,-27.5603,-16.1092,-15.9268,-15.6166,-15.2364,-14.8219,-14.3948,-13.9687,-13.5515,-13.1482,-12.7617,-12.3933,-12.0438,-11.7132,-83.3617,-49.0916,-48.776,-48.3551,-36.3665,-35.8213,-35.2196,-34.5539,-33.814,-32.9883,-32.0655,-31.0366,-29.896,-28.6429,-27.2816,-25.8225,-24.2816,-22.6792,-21.0386,-19.384,-17.739,-16.125,83.4787,53.9072,54.2322,-59.0557,-37.7594,-39.0101,-82.3809,-80.7633,-48.2657,-48.3981,-48.1501,-84.5411,-50.4349,40.3019,-79.1761,-46.1401,-73.3978,-89.5432,-47.204,-46.7252,27.1204,69.4682,37.2048,38.2,83.394,47.3543,94.4599,-44.5692,0.0,-10.2377,-37.9286,54.9363,38.6724,-68.7336,-33.1773,-35.5216,-37.2395,-25.2821],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-33.1852,-32.46,-31.6689,-30.8079,-29.8759,-28.8755,-27.8121,-26.6939,-25.5316,-24.3369,-23.1224,-21.9006,-20.6836,-19.4822,69.7053,42.3886,42.0291,-61.2179,-34.4183,-33.799,-87.3058,-94.0291,-39.7751,-39.2736,-38.7676,-96.7705,-40.6914,48.1258,-93.6306,-38.5467,-83.1387,-90.8978,-38.8059,-38.2989,26.9379,62.6685,32.9126,32.1626,83.6178,38.6605,96.3309,-52.4294,0.0,-4.3696,-38.9576,55.8884,33.3012,-63.7344,-31.9155,-31.0758,-30.1652,-29.1851],"force":[-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,100.0,18.0,18.0,-87.5268,-18.0,-18.0,-93.3039,-57.9877,-10.4398,-10.4399,-10.4396,-57.9842,-10.4382,56.9431,-56.3997,-10.364,-45.7409,-95.3598,-10.2198,-10.2842,97.4552,99.8809,10.4398,10.4399,86.6047,10.4374,99.9129,-76.1128,0.0,-10.2178,-32.1356,40.7344,10.3413,-99.0179,-8.0901,-10.4362,-17.9966,-0.0],"direction":[-58.6856,-57.155,-55.4225,-53.467,-51.2734,-48.8362,-46.1621,-43.2713,-40.1972,-36.9842,-33.6846,-30.3535,-27.0445,-23.8061,87.419,92.7194,94.0588,-36.2483,-55.6917,-59.9729,-68.9504,-81.8707,-84.9879,-85.9391,-85.809,-89.534,-90.1393,19.4739,-78.9256,-80.3725,-82.0202,-83.8404,-83.2193,-82.3845,22.9101,55.5158,61.228,64.9286,80.845,83.6592,88.4267,-13.055,0.0,-16.9583,-40.8904,63.9922,65.0474,-52.8154,-52.539,-58.5205,-59.0693,-38.8803],"intensity":[86.5385,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,88.4615,92.3077,94.2308,88.4615,96.1538,96.1538,84.6154,84.6154,88.4615,88.4615,78.8462,78.8462,88.4615,88.4615,98.0769,100.0,80.7692,75.0,78.8462,78.8462,67.3077,88.4615,98.0769,98.0769,61.5385,98.0769,59.6154,96.1538,100.0,69.2308,51.9231,67.3077,98.0769,51.9231,98.0769,94.2308,48.0769,48.0769,48.0769],"confirmation":[55.1329,54.8923,54.6231,54.3227,53.9893,53.6226,53.2239,52.7963,52.3444,51.8743,51.3927,50.9071,50.4243,49.9507,95.4266,84.3315,84.436,87.7326,79.5317,79.9223,94.6197,92.948,82.4216,82.4696,82.4017,94.0575,83.0687,81.2846,92.422,81.7902,90.496,96.8105,82.1061,81.9699,38.379,91.2603,79.1552,79.47,94.7805,82.1608,98.3649,83.1037,25.7292,48.6982,79.9449,85.1323,79.5936,90.9939,77.8714,78.6701,79.438,60.5936],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[16.907,16.4941,16.0327,15.5183,14.948,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,8.2057,22.9914,22.8289,23.6636,30.5802,29.9548,8.5896,8.2684,24.5172,24.451,22.8482,4.4632,21.5163,9.9465,9.6221,20.4118,10.4925,5.1994,15.5615,15.7057,9.851,14.6918,30.8235,30.3258,8.1954,24.6689,2.7048,18.9924,40.585,36.0353,30.7435,19.0512,24.5386,0.0608,7.3183,30.4859,29.627,12.6411],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-25.3,"control":-29.2,"force":-0.0,"direction":-38.9,"confirmation":60.6,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":12.6,"intensity":48.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-25.3","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-29.2","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-0.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-38.9","detail":"Downward 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