{"ticker": {"uuid": "078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec", "symbol": "P1GR34", "name": "The Progressive Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "P1GR34 closed the latest completed week at 54.55 BRL. The 4-week return is -6.8% and the 12-week return is 11.0%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.84.", "description": "The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. The company also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, it offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provides related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "45", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "54.55 BRL", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "0.9%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-6.8%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "11.0%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "7.7%", "hint": "4 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.9x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Insurance - Property & Casualty", "currency": "BRL", "market_cap": "564.7B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "50.66 BRL", "fair_value": "51.99 BRL", "vs_trend": "7.7%", "vs_fair_value": "4.9%", "high_52": "62.54 BRL", "low_52": "45.92 BRL", "drawdown": "-12.8%", "range_position": "51.9%", "markers": [{"label": "Close", "value": 54.549999, "value_label": "54.55", "position": 51.91538059210272, "left": "51.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Trend", "value": 50.660131, "value_label": "50.66", "position": 28.519513416812288, "left": "28.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair", "value": 51.986312, "value_label": "51.99", "position": 36.49591635038068, "left": "36.5%", "tone": "neutral"}], "insights": [{"label": "Range location", "value": "51.9%", "detail": "Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Trend distance", "value": "7.7%", "detail": "Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair-value gap", "value": "4.9%", "detail": "Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "High-water gap", "value": "-12.8%", "detail": "Distance from the latest 52-week high.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "momentum": {"returns": [{"label": "1W", "value": 0.9250693973185828, "value_label": "0.9%", "tone": "positive", "width": 4}, {"label": "4W", "value": -6.7648869687032, "value_label": "-6.8%", "tone": "negative", "width": 19.328248482009144}, {"label": "12W", "value": 11.039498266745655, "value_label": "11.0%", "tone": "positive", "width": 31.541423619273303}, {"label": "26W", "value": 10.56284393177694, "value_label": "10.6%", "tone": "positive", "width": 30.179554090791257}, {"label": "52W", "value": -9.462435399454812, "value_label": "-9.5%", "tone": "negative", "width": 27.035529712728035}], "trend_streak": 4, "active_weeks": 4, "active_breadth": "7.7%", "peer": {"scope": "BR Financial Services", "count": 109, "rank": 45, "percentile": 59.25925925925925, "avg_weekly_return": 0.18183850342199417}}, "setup": {"scores": [{"label": "Trend", "value": 18.076923076923077, "value_label": "18", "width": 18.076923076923077, "tone": "negative", "description": 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"neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "4.8%", "volatility_52": "3.7%", "downside_weeks": 27, "upside_weeks": 25, "downside_breadth": "51.9%", "average_gain": "2.8%", "average_loss": "-2.8%", "distribution_scale": "10%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "13 of 26", "detail": "13 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+9.7%", "detail": "Week of 26 Jun.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-8.3%", "detail": "Week of 17 Jul.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+0.9%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 7, "share": 26.923076923076923, "share_label": "26.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.8%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "3.7%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "25/27", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "2.8% / -2.8%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "7.7%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.9x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.16% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "54.55 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.66 BRL", "fair_value": "51.99 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.84", "relative_leadership": "-1.98", "volume": "896", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "54.05 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.65 BRL", "fair_value": "51.79 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.96", "relative_leadership": "-6.58", "volume": "41", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "51.48 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.65 BRL", "fair_value": "51.60 BRL", "activity_pressure": "1.12", "relative_leadership": "-9.80", "volume": "300", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "53.66 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.81 BRL", "fair_value": "51.42 BRL", "activity_pressure": "1.38", "relative_leadership": "-6.73", "volume": "1.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "58.51 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.88 BRL", "fair_value": "51.22 BRL", "activity_pressure": "1.37", "relative_leadership": "-1.57", "volume": "130", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "57.20 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.83 BRL", "fair_value": "51.01 BRL", "activity_pressure": "1.25", "relative_leadership": "-2.45", "volume": "20", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "55.43 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.74 BRL", "fair_value": "50.81 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.86", "relative_leadership": "-5.61", "volume": "2.9K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "50.54 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.72 BRL", "fair_value": "50.60 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.51", "relative_leadership": "-12.24", "volume": "1.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "49.82 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "50.88 BRL", "fair_value": "50.42 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.35", "relative_leadership": "-15.54", "volume": "240", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "46.82 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "51.01 BRL", "fair_value": "50.25 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.31", "relative_leadership": "-20.43", "volume": "50", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "46.92 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "51.17 BRL", "fair_value": "50.10 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.26", "relative_leadership": "-23.39", "volume": "1.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "48.23 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "51.27 BRL", "fair_value": "49.95 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.32", "relative_leadership": "-23.36", "volume": "2.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "49.13 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "51.42 BRL", "fair_value": "49.79 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.31", "relative_leadership": "-23.34", "volume": "2.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "45.92 BRL", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "51.61 BRL", "fair_value": "49.63 BRL", "activity_pressure": "0.08", "relative_leadership": "-31.84", "volume": "470", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "54", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.07865, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.16% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.16%", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 44.09164249458582, "score_label": "44", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "44/100", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 44.09164249458582, "score_label": "44", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "44/100", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 44.99999999999999, "score_label": "45", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.40; No reversal markers", "metric": "45/100", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.07865, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.16% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.16%", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 63.0, "score_label": "63", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.", "detail": "Is Brown Advisory\u2019s Bet on Progressive\u2019s Data Edge Reframing the PGR Investment Narrative?", "metric": "63/100", "url": "/sentiment/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.07865, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.16% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.16%", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.16% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.9%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -6.8%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "18/62", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.16%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "63/100", "detail": "9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "45", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -6.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 63/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -6.8% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -6.8% over four weeks, 11.0% over 12 weeks, and -9.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.9%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -6.8%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "18/62", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.16%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "63/100", "detail": "9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 44.09164249458582, "score_label": "44", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "44/100", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 44.99999999999999, "score_label": "45", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.40; No reversal markers", "metric": "45/100", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.07865, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.16% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.16%", "url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 63.0, "score_label": "63", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.", "detail": "Is Brown Advisory\u2019s Bet on Progressive\u2019s Data Edge Reframing the PGR Investment Narrative?", "metric": "63/100", "url": "/sentiment/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/", "api_path": "/terminal/078ee834-a7c8-42ec-944c-ab1c86f5f6ec/report/api/"}