{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AGX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"0860e782-21b4-4f9d-86cf-a93e4f5c99bf","symbol":"AGX","name":"Argan Inc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Engineering & Construction"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":20},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":20},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":20},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":20},{"week":5,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":20},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":20},{"week":7,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":20},{"week":8,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":20},{"week":9,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":20},{"week":10,"averageReturn":11.1,"sample":19},{"week":11,"averageReturn":11.5,"sample":19},{"week":12,"averageReturn":14.2,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":16.4,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":20.0,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":21.1,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":25.7,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":27.1,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":31.7,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":32.1,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":33.7,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":38.4,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":38.6,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":38.8,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":43.2,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":46.1,"sample":18},{"week":26,"averageReturn":44.9,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-25.4,"medianReturn":-25.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-14.7,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-25.4,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-22.9,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-22.7,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-19.1,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-21.7,"sample":1},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":31.6,"averageReturn":18.7,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 31.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 18.7% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 83.3% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 12.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.4% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-11-08","price":153.658959},{"date":"2024-11-22","price":156.963879},{"date":"2025-01-03","price":147.454814},{"date":"2025-02-07","price":160.24549},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":187.443075}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-05-22","price":656.35},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":641.68},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":629.797173}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":738.237152}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[75.2743,78.2336,88.7489,89.8636,94.5886,99.0669,106.8203,113.5773,127.042,124.7854,135.4423,153.659,135.1949,156.9639,154.3021,145.5748,141.4585,137.8666,141.4486,147.4548,157.7456,176.0216,167.1273,135.6534,160.2455,147.3445,132.5099,129.2773,112.8461,118.9942,119.5891,136.9623,119.0735,146.9281,144.7762,150.7102,162.8517,169.3252,187.4431,202.1203,209.1208,241.7469,216.9467,202.2198,218.5079,209.9064,211.0599,205.4714,234.9941,224.3954,238.0921,223.1204,221.2975,227.334,210.6889,229.4159,259.6281,265.6945,261.2418,255.1556,282.8377,295.9336,305.5736,310.9324,350.9091,334.633,394.3786,313.048,319.2451,324.9133,324.4642,325.2825,311.2218,382.8626,363.601,346.8439,351.8201,409.6357,437.2745,450.904,413.8825,457.9586,473.4867,566.1856,574.719,603.3771,597.4216,652.99,702.27,680.26,722.31,656.35,667.02,694.72,641.68,738.2372,764.8251,705.5643,629.7972,550.8027,568.92,570.43,597.33,578.22],"consensus":[36.2693,56.1023,65.3115,42.5586,66.5061,62.3091,76.4615,73.4272,79.6932,33.6311,80.4468,84.1199,0.0,79.2668,23.3192,0.0,0.0,-8.2065,16.5405,37.9261,55.5353,71.7177,0.0,-48.6521,46.0207,-30.8505,-49.1566,-21.9703,-59.8454,-8.9624,-19.4288,30.6718,-35.6605,53.691,0.0,32.1299,47.4148,41.8794,63.9127,65.4932,51.3027,81.1025,0.0,0.0,51.3794,0.0,17.8705,0.0,58.1669,0.0,47.6859,0.0,0.0,14.6328,-30.5596,35.1085,58.8291,44.6886,13.302,0.0,43.5733,47.6215,44.9303,37.1482,66.8007,10.7651,74.9546,-27.2958,0.0,15.3714,-10.356,17.9757,-19.6719,63.3281,0.0,0.0,16.7505,56.3337,56.4525,51.1995,0.0,57.4981,41.6134,72.0415,49.6005,57.9422,29.4552,64.0621,68.2526,14.3806,59.4996,0.0,19.1024,32.1607,-20.679,60.559,44.3435,-11.7808,-36.3501,-53.6692,-27.3614,-19.0288,0.0,-16.6535],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,14.8361,-21.1502,37.3816,60.2815,47.2802,0.1269,0.0,38.3182,48.7645,44.5112,32.6683,66.8365,0.4112,83.2341,-30.3882,0.0,21.752,-5.3631,22.8406,-21.0644,60.4893,0.0,0.0,9.89,52.8129,61.1627,53.3127,0.0,54.5773,37.6557,64.3229,49.9004,59.8377,19.3104,66.212,74.3629,1.3052,60.2524,0.0,28.1598,30.977,-14.8617,64.4458,43.6924,-17.7266,-39.8673,-47.9249,-22.6515,-7.8455,0.0,-21.1761],"force":[0.0,11.7595,-57.2624,56.2364,70.8489,33.4725,13.105,0.0,48.5268,41.7035,32.2076,19.4602,72.6701,30.1556,75.4349,-77.1126,0.0,14.1458,-21.9522,13.7447,-34.9261,87.0625,0.0,0.0,12.2532,79.6456,49.4268,37.3475,0.0,71.4287,36.2795,95.2657,28.4618,43.9415,2.3766,60.2662,59.4365,25.9387,51.4815,0.0,3.162,30.7084,-51.1099,72.7518,36.9224,-46.1805,-59.6951,-65.1572,-6.8726,-3.0383,0.0,-13.0879],"direction":[0.0,16.4528,-22.2397,17.4194,48.5835,49.7383,47.2213,0.0,46.0411,50.5424,54.4969,54.9023,62.5675,51.8272,65.1492,-11.8216,0.0,8.9546,-7.7792,15.438,-7.1846,49.6193,0.0,0.0,27.8035,43.7062,56.0879,58.6787,0.0,50.8858,49.9463,64.274,64.3569,65.7765,63.7863,64.3166,67.5667,61.1067,64.3664,0.0,20.1372,34.551,-5.5909,47.4079,50.3883,-19.5855,-15.6553,-52.0285,-47.3788,-43.2317,0.0,-14.0318],"intensity":[51.9231,63.4615,84.6154,73.0769,96.1538,11.5385,75.0,9.6154,100.0,65.3846,78.8462,28.8462,100.0,94.2308,100.0,100.0,88.4615,32.6923,86.5385,32.6923,21.1538,98.0769,94.2308,84.6154,59.6154,96.1538,90.3846,59.6154,84.6154,88.4615,86.5385,100.0,100.0,88.4615,61.5385,90.3846,82.6923,94.2308,75.0,90.3846,46.1538,96.1538,92.3077,98.0769,78.8462,75.0,88.4615,100.0,65.3846,86.5385,63.4615,30.7692],"confirmation":[24.1991,72.5918,78.7362,79.844,87.1695,81.919,6.4483,6.4688,82.1745,83.0411,81.9963,79.4166,89.5546,8.7887,91.8739,35.3944,24.0533,72.7843,26.4101,73.5491,52.072,89.0316,7.7373,29.5239,73.3276,86.7909,85.7789,83.9295,33.0916,86.8685,81.214,91.8787,83.2234,86.0859,54.4505,88.3514,89.479,9.4241,86.784,9.2059,50.8223,78.2652,52.9667,87.6912,81.9737,31.5725,80.2899,85.6118,53.5363,28.439,4.6122,73.1516],"persistence":[37.5,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[36.0866,1.3307,32.3232,3.2014,19.8952,27.0465,43.2393,44.1369,22.9017,24.5339,27.3437,31.3912,16.5853,43.6683,12.4974,16.9068,40.0928,22.6184,43.6412,9.5108,2.5237,14.4479,37.3986,28.5532,31.4895,1.714,19.583,24.0984,48.8323,17.1784,20.6319,13.7776,25.1833,20.9999,35.2125,17.4368,15.8404,41.7281,20.197,5.8372,44.4265,2.136,37.5469,16.6483,26.8107,17.1925,6.9327,23.0376,36.2479,39.9492,26.8184,33.0135],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-16.7,"control":-21.2,"force":-13.1,"direction":-14.0,"confirmation":73.2,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":33.0,"intensity":30.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-16.7","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-21.2","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-13.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-14.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"73/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"50.3","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"15.3%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"35.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"44%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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