{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"MBAP Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"08f4da9b-ff91-4647-a5e0-3eb8a5020a7d","symbol":"MBAP","name":"Manulife Balanced ETF Portfolio","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CAD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional pressure and rotation, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":16,"displayedObservations":16,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[9.92081,9.970613,10.110062,10.030376,10.269433,10.249512,10.319236,10.398921,10.349118,10.36,10.39,10.4,10.29,10.29,10.31,10.45],"highs":[10.040338,10.070219,10.129984,10.169827,10.757505,10.309276,10.428804,10.398921,10.349118,10.36,10.39,10.47,10.36,10.34,10.52,10.49],"lows":[9.890928,9.960652,10.040338,10.000495,10.239551,10.229591,10.319236,10.398921,10.349118,10.36,10.39,10.32,10.27,10.23,10.31,10.45],"closes":[9.970613,10.030376,10.06026,10.169827,10.239551,10.279393,10.319236,10.398921,10.349118,10.36,10.39,10.32,10.31,10.31,10.45,10.49],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"9.92","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.89","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.97","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Reversal warning","className":"is-caution","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.97","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.96","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Reversal danger","className":"is-negative","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[9.93945,10.521163],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"steady","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Little changed this week","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Upper positioning zone","detail":"Price is in the area labelled as the distribution zone on the chart. With limited Market Dynamics history, the label describes location and extension only.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":16,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-01","price":9.970613}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":10.030376}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[9.9706,10.0304,10.0603,10.1698,10.2396,10.2794,10.3192,10.3989,10.3491,10.36,10.39,10.32,10.31,10.31,10.45,10.49],"consensus":[0.0,27.2719,-55.5541,58.0,50.6072,42.7018,28.4218,45.8612,25.8289,30.6722,33.7834,-22.038,0.0,9.6428,56.0459,55.1356],"supportDates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,38.9874,12.757,40.6191,19.3631,27.5854,31.928,-16.1993,0.0,16.7429,52.3291,59.5936],"force":[0.0,27.2719,-55.5541,58.0,3.8309,19.7899,3.0424,23.1485,3.1306,7.6092,11.6273,-74.3886,0.0,3.5865,70.0942,34.4489],"direction":[null,null,null,null,84.0189,63.3126,64.4527,68.0756,53.9037,50.6736,51.7296,-8.6827,0.0,5.8544,50.2593,64.817],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,80.0,66.6667,28.5714,12.5,11.1111,20.0,63.6364,75.0,23.0769,85.7143,80.0],"confirmation":[2.1332,31.3937,40.444,41.2267,36.7226,81.0229,53.8936,82.0633,53.4824,54.4926,78.1637,33.2555,48.1276,25.4596,86.4195,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,0.0,25.0,40.0,50.0,57.1429,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,24.6964,28.6491,35.7891,27.0694,36.4096,32.3728,30.0506,34.7512,35.8069,43.5642,11.215,22.1825],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":55.1,"control":59.6,"force":34.4,"direction":64.8,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":22.2,"intensity":80.0,"evidenceDepth":62},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+55.1","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+59.6","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+34.4","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+64.8","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"88.1","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.2%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"-","detail":"Developing","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"69%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[9.9706,10.0304,10.0603,10.1698,10.2396,10.2794,10.3192,10.3989,10.3491,10.36,10.39,10.32,10.31,10.31,10.45,10.49],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,10.066,10.1048,10.1438,10.1902,10.2191,10.2447,10.2711,10.28,10.2855,10.2899,10.319,10.3501],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10.1642,10.175,10.1954,10.2172],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10.5063,10.5258,10.5246,10.5213,10.5179,10.5407,10.5675],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.9292,9.941,9.9566,9.9706,9.9831,9.987,9.9884],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"returns","eyebrow":"Observed return path","title":"Completed returns and cumulative progression","description":"Period returns are shown beside the total move recorded across the available tape.","reason":"Selected because direct returns remain fully observable while longer indicators develop.","series":[{"label":"Period return","values":[null,0.5994,0.2979,1.0891,0.6856,0.3891,0.3876,0.7722,-0.4789,0.1051,0.2896,-0.6737,-0.0969,0.0,1.3579,0.3828],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Cumulative progression","values":[0.0,0.5994,0.8991,1.998,2.6973,3.0969,3.4965,4.2957,3.7962,3.9053,4.2062,3.5042,3.4039,3.4039,4.808,5.2092],"stroke":"#07865c","width":2.0}],"guides":[{"label":"Starting level","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"bar_range","eyebrow":"Completed-bar anatomy","title":"Range expansion and closing direction","description":"The completed range and open-to-close direction expose expansion, compression and control.","reason":"Selected because these measures use every completed bar and do not require a long history.","series":[{"label":"Completed range","values":[1.4985,1.0924,0.8911,1.665,5.0584,0.7752,1.0618,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.4535,0.8729,1.0669,2.0096,0.3813],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.8},{"label":"Open-to-close direction","values":[0.502,0.5994,-0.4926,1.3903,-0.291,0.2915,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.7692,0.1944,0.1944,1.3579,0.3828],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.8}],"guides":[{"label":"Unchanged close","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,1.4587,0.0,0.0,216.0797,52.2321,48.2759,82.0722,19.3214],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,135.0,134.9269,134.9269,134.9269,125.0261,122.7244,122.7244,126.1587,126.9259],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"momentum","eyebrow":"Momentum pressure","title":"Directional pressure and rotation","description":"Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}