{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"4240 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"096edc4d-c0e2-4fb8-9ee9-1b32803decfc","symbol":"4240","name":"AFG International Company","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Apparel Retail"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":66.7,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 66.7% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 5.6% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 16.3% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 8.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-09-06","price":11.04},{"date":"2024-10-11","price":12.22}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[10.18,10.16,11.04,10.7,10.98,10.8,10.24,12.22,13.76,12.86,13.08,12.8,12.64,13.68,12.72,12.22,12.18,12.18,11.96,14.44,13.84,15.86,15.42,15.34,14.94,16.34,15.12,14.74,12.32,12.82,11.62,12.16,12.44,11.04,12.52,12.96,13.36,16.0,17.18,16.72,16.22,17.92,19.84,18.52,20.36,29.0,31.38,33.4,30.38,28.84,27.36,25.44,23.99,24.2,24.1,22.88,29.28,26.88,27.2,26.5,24.58,23.52,24.11,23.13,23.67,23.31,21.04,20.12,19.46,19.45,19.87,19.15,19.0,18.02,17.94,17.29,17.17,17.98,17.09,16.44,15.24,14.72,13.99,14.35,15.99,16.0,16.15,16.0,16.11,15.95,14.05,13.37,13.37,14.05,14.33,14.22,13.86,13.19,13.02,12.46,12.36,12.13,12.26,13.69],"consensus":[0.0,23.5051,68.3548,0.0,40.2711,14.1749,-27.052,67.6262,72.8771,0.0,35.801,16.7605,0.0,55.469,-13.4293,-18.8969,-9.2774,-13.4311,-17.7924,66.4421,0.0,74.0057,17.1844,24.7706,9.5993,62.7632,-14.4975,-11.7197,-60.7469,-11.6539,-57.5408,-13.4396,0.0,-49.0584,22.8605,22.4464,17.4074,66.2786,65.9475,15.2462,14.7496,66.2928,72.0898,0.0,74.4148,88.1065,78.8135,71.3749,10.4928,0.0,-9.1468,-25.9772,-29.8038,-13.2064,-9.7834,-34.5364,60.9012,0.0,20.429,0.0,-38.3953,-39.5251,-9.9544,-39.5599,0.0,-15.1486,-55.6155,-40.4828,-46.5154,-40.0208,-20.7764,-34.3052,-24.6722,-50.8254,-35.9494,-49.5678,-26.4829,0.0,-45.2914,-36.8154,-40.933,-50.6285,-51.1678,-27.3592,24.078,0.0,0.0,-9.5257,0.0,-12.3968,-59.2061,-46.4666,-30.6994,0.0,0.0,-15.9751,-25.7793,-44.2347,-35.9577,-47.5158,-35.834,-33.5211,-23.6529,-46.7251],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-19.6243,-6.6981,-0.0407,-34.1124,52.8052,0.0,15.2687,0.0,-36.1126,-41.2168,-0.1892,-41.0578,0.0,-14.6093,-60.7123,-36.0306,-46.7187,-38.6134,-18.2232,-35.2287,-24.6328,-58.9157,-36.0342,-55.6566,-18.3453,0.0,-53.2684,-39.5326,-35.2967,-55.2721,-55.645,-21.4779,19.8431,0.0,0.0,-21.6241,0.0,-18.3184,-64.4869,-38.8711,-27.6042,0.0,0.0,-29.8665,-40.2549,-41.9363,-38.7474,-54.4185,-39.1031,-35.7101,-25.3242,-40.0884],"force":[-53.2008,-9.6909,-6.3678,-35.7015,92.7826,0.0,17.7049,0.0,-51.1455,-37.3219,-5.2933,-33.862,0.0,-6.7098,-52.6066,-27.8054,-29.0254,-18.7618,-5.4604,-19.4258,-5.8387,-39.9356,-14.9122,-35.7187,-5.3158,0.0,-39.9657,-25.323,-32.7089,-32.722,-31.7018,-0.8031,74.8829,0.0,0.0,-14.2007,0.0,-12.858,-70.8213,-54.7401,-9.7512,0.0,0.0,-12.1658,-23.7872,-61.7661,-28.31,-39.3159,-19.2478,-18.1115,-4.3742,-89.2965],"direction":[-24.7252,-23.1554,-23.4507,-34.1889,47.3814,0.0,28.2721,0.0,-31.897,-39.1655,-32.4382,-41.918,0.0,-21.7926,-51.9398,-54.6264,-58.7759,-56.8143,-42.4349,-43.878,-38.1697,-49.3577,-50.879,-52.5016,-50.9022,0.0,-39.979,-41.9191,-53.2489,-58.1119,-59.9554,-54.1967,7.3714,0.0,0.0,-7.6404,0.0,-5.2998,-44.8744,-49.2377,-49.1999,0.0,0.0,-2.8202,-10.6588,-34.3389,-38.2322,-45.4841,-43.9451,-42.0261,-35.5135,-23.9018],"intensity":[90.3846,51.9231,53.8462,48.0769,96.1538,90.3846,13.4615,69.2308,67.3077,55.7692,17.3077,23.0769,36.5385,15.3846,75.0,73.0769,17.3077,1.9231,9.6154,19.2308,11.5385,25.0,21.1538,17.3077,34.6154,28.8462,23.0769,51.9231,61.5385,13.4615,28.8462,3.8462,80.7692,55.7692,3.8462,36.5385,3.8462,21.1538,71.1538,67.3077,50.0,30.7692,59.6154,9.6154,19.2308,38.4615,26.9231,38.4615,5.7692,13.4615,3.8462,75.0],"confirmation":[78.4054,49.5514,25.8517,79.0936,88.5834,31.6707,74.5329,27.2563,80.7099,80.5551,26.7115,80.4627,4.789,49.9319,85.6276,80.636,82.3488,80.1802,52.386,78.5101,52.6551,83.809,78.8614,83.3469,53.2868,7.7918,82.2094,79.3893,80.9338,83.5846,83.7122,53.491,56.2237,24.2956,48.3146,49.9696,1.0522,49.2241,87.2195,83.2372,77.2326,33.4332,26.5242,50.1176,75.9681,82.7244,79.2309,82.85,78.9116,78.2238,52.2893,84.3506],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,100.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[33.8349,39.4039,35.5171,18.0719,15.6862,36.8167,32.4893,45.1233,29.282,25.9992,39.6579,26.1246,19.0843,2.5035,16.7978,24.0225,24.8336,29.9584,33.1526,23.8117,12.3877,22.2371,31.4179,24.7314,36.2523,4.0831,18.3414,27.7132,29.4356,24.685,24.4148,36.2745,25.646,47.2977,46.9043,53.6168,10.0307,2.7726,19.797,26.613,34.5368,51.6759,18.8684,48.3198,41.2954,22.4946,30.7951,25.9806,31.4507,30.6746,31.0058,25.4327],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-46.7,"control":-40.1,"force":-89.3,"direction":-23.9,"confirmation":84.4,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":25.4,"intensity":75.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-46.7","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-40.1","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-89.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-23.9","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"84/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"42.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"9.5%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"28.3","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"28%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[10.18,10.16,11.04,10.7,10.98,10.8,10.24,12.22,13.76,12.86,13.08,12.8,12.64,13.68,12.72,12.22,12.18,12.18,11.96,14.44,13.84,15.86,15.42,15.34,14.94,16.34,15.12,14.74,12.32,12.82,11.62,12.16,12.44,11.04,12.52,12.96,13.36,16.0,17.18,16.72,16.22,17.92,19.84,18.52,20.36,29.0,31.38,33.4,30.38,28.84,27.36,25.44,23.99,24.2,24.1,22.88,29.28,26.88,27.2,26.5,24.58,23.52,24.11,23.13,23.67,23.31,21.04,20.12,19.46,19.45,19.87,19.15,19.0,18.02,17.94,17.29,17.17,17.98,17.09,16.44,15.24,14.72,13.99,14.35,15.99,16.0,16.15,16.0,16.11,15.95,14.05,13.37,13.37,14.05,14.33,14.22,13.86,13.19,13.02,12.46,12.36,12.13,12.26,13.69],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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