{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"MBBA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"09977950-2346-4a8a-8394-d819b7a40e76","symbol":"MBBA","name":"iShares MortgageBacked Securities Active ETF","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":30,"displayedObservations":30,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.465553,-0.621626],"opens":[48.9,48.76],"highs":[49.19,49.17],"lows":[48.8248,48.76],"closes":[48.9382,48.81],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"48.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"49.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"48.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"48.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"48.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"49.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"48.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"48.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[48.802308,48.945892],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"easing","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has moved from the upper positioning area into the lower accumulation zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to classify the move.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the accumulation zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying conditions are repairing or continuing to weaken.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has moved from the upper positioning area into the lower accumulation zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to classify the move.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Accumulation zone","detail":"Price is in the lower accumulation area. With limited Market Dynamics history, the zone describes location rather than a completed positioning signal.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":22,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[49.1965,49.3387,49.8691,49.7997,50.1041,49.587,49.157,48.8015,48.688,49.3772,49.4489,49.71,49.6401,49.2696,49.3887,48.8478,48.9471,49.3688,49.1843,49.4185,49.5231,49.7124,49.2737,49.0795,49.1094,48.701,48.6592,49.04,48.9382,48.81],"consensus":[31.2497,40.9013,-75.0562,21.8275,63.1939,0.0,-38.8809,-53.015,-44.2343,25.2613,17.2499,44.7875,23.1391,-20.6286,12.6408,-58.515,0.0,23.9801,-17.6093,29.4574,19.254,34.8628,-18.7283,-30.7056,0.0,-45.2768,-32.0985,13.3338,-18.8473,-19.4412],"supportDates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,0.0,-36.43,-45.6183,-39.4177,38.0964,14.5454,40.5358,16.0242,-20.5401,17.421,-55.7074,0.0,25.9353,-15.7865,19.9667,12.2987,35.6183,-21.5672,-30.6243,0.0,-41.921,-29.74,12.6469,-16.1432,-25.7201],"force":[31.2497,40.9013,-75.0562,21.8275,33.9201,0.0,-38.3316,-58.9153,-30.2679,42.0657,15.0013,47.6252,8.1105,-31.1072,25.8465,-68.81,0.0,44.1556,-27.4168,54.3659,18.381,39.145,-38.4567,-39.0626,0.0,-49.2825,-20.4632,44.8971,-25.0646,-18.7912],"direction":[null,null,null,null,84.1037,0.0,-42.0742,-57.2538,-59.715,1.4105,21.947,47.6197,42.0053,-13.245,2.255,-54.3702,0.0,7.3346,-12.6871,22.5122,27.8266,30.9407,-1.3923,-24.8292,0.0,-46.2508,-43.105,8.4264,-17.4968,-12.7295],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,60.0,50.0,42.8571,62.5,77.7778,20.0,27.2727,8.3333,53.8462,14.2857,80.0,62.5,88.2353,22.2222,31.5789,40.0,23.8095,63.6364,26.087,41.6667,60.0,3.8462,59.2593,28.5714,13.7931],"confirmation":[32.6666,35.7551,46.6846,29.6515,64.2171,28.7914,80.4625,85.2573,81.8027,54.0344,73.4927,82.4833,75.0549,74.9218,50.1891,87.0813,6.2926,53.5921,73.9616,78.3301,74.2407,79.2751,51.8844,78.0817,4.2748,82.6618,77.9529,29.7035,74.2618,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,60.0,50.0,28.5714,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,18.3772,33.5959,28.3317,23.0445,27.8549,36.5271,23.5083,26.8641,37.9518,4.2258,14.6292,20.0077,45.0794,1.2671,17.8906,32.2485,37.9701,22.8187,24.6908,26.1312,43.5583,27.267,32.7725,13.2683,19.4563,29.4831],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-19.4,"control":-25.7,"force":-18.8,"direction":-12.7,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":29.5,"intensity":13.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-19.4","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-25.7","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-18.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-12.7","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"47.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"24.2","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"24%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[49.1965,49.3387,49.8691,49.7997,50.1041,49.587,49.157,48.8015,48.688,49.3772,49.4489,49.71,49.6401,49.2696,49.3887,48.8478,48.9471,49.3688,49.1843,49.4185,49.5231,49.7124,49.2737,49.0795,49.1094,48.701,48.6592,49.04,48.9382,48.81],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,49.5473,49.5545,49.4822,49.3585,49.2366,49.2621,49.2961,49.3713,49.4202,49.3928,49.3921,49.2931,49.2302,49.2554,49.2425,49.2745,49.3197,49.3911,49.3698,49.317,49.2792,49.1741,49.0805,49.0731,49.0486,49.0052],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,49.3449,49.3394,49.343,49.3063,49.2797,49.2863,49.2788,49.2891,49.3064,49.3365,49.3319,49.3132,49.2981,49.2539,49.2098,49.1972,49.178,49.1508],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,50.259,50.2245,50.234,50.2274,50.1917,50.1634,50.1566,50.1362,50.1147,50.0896,50.0748,50.0906,50.124,50.0619,50.006,49.8601,49.8485,49.8721,49.8626,49.8422,49.8365],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48.5247,48.5696,48.6123,48.6522,48.6637,48.6867,48.6214,48.5898,48.6119,48.6182,48.6395,48.6563,48.6603,48.6628,48.6467,48.6931,48.6162,48.5428,48.5761,48.6215,48.5705],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,104.5721,35.7973,38.2872,57.0836,89.4496,110.2386,66.295,116.3548,81.2866,167.4799,98.7287,108.5568,1072.5153,72.7673,51.3558,51.7969,53.7716,86.0188,47.1865,75.5052,74.3275,115.2183,51.0106],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,103.4179,98.2223,103.4227,110.8571,122.3961,108.053,99.6453,114.5761,104.2738,126.4349,135.0,122.2173,135.0,135.0,135.0,133.6254,132.1985,134.4975,133.2238,131.1362,133.2072,129.8323,128.3127],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"impulse","eyebrow":"Price impulse","title":"Acceleration, deceleration and rollover","description":"The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.","reason":"Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of direction.","series":[{"label":"Impulse","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0615,0.0461,0.0429,-0.0032,-0.0314,-0.0194,-0.0246,-0.0096,0.0105,0.0413,0.0299,0.0052,-0.0119,-0.0577,-0.0962,-0.095,-0.101,-0.1148],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":2.0},{"label":"Signal","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0286,0.019,0.0103,0.0063,0.0072,0.014,0.0172,0.0148,0.0094,-0.004,-0.0224,-0.0369,-0.0498,-0.0628],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7},{"label":"Expansion","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-0.06,-0.0385,-0.0349,-0.016,0.0034,0.0273,0.0128,-0.0096,-0.0213,-0.0537,-0.0738,-0.058,-0.0513,-0.0521],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.0,"fill":"rgba(7,134,92,.12)"}],"guides":[{"label":"Neutral","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.2106,1.1961,1.2042,1.2115,1.1907,1.1749,1.1607,1.1272,1.1256,1.1484,1.1561,1.1526,1.1647,1.1557,1.1537,1.1268,1.1091],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope width","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3.5113,3.3502,3.2814,3.1861,3.0914,2.9878,3.1083,3.1326,3.0443,2.9813,2.9079,2.9049,2.9635,2.8344,2.7558,2.3683,2.503,2.7013,2.6139,2.4794,2.5729],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"range","eyebrow":"Acceptance map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.2799,2.5166,15.9392,17.3338,22.4197,21.0579,13.8423,16.1613,5.6295,10.8969,18.8135,15.3498,19.7467,21.7104,25.2639,17.029,13.3832,13.9441,6.2785,5.4932,12.6414,31.0631,24.0968],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From high","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-9.1116,-9.3231,-8.0394,-7.906,-7.4196,-7.5498,-8.2399,-8.0181,-9.0254,-8.8405,-8.0551,-8.3987,-7.9625,-7.7677,-7.4151,-8.2321,-8.5939,-8.5382,-9.2988,-9.3767,-8.6675,-2.5268,-2.7822],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.5},{"label":"From low","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.1301,0.2661,1.6856,1.8331,2.3709,2.2269,1.4638,1.7091,0.5953,1.2002,2.0722,1.6907,2.175,2.3913,2.7827,1.8757,1.4741,1.5359,0.6915,0.6051,1.3924,1.1819,0.9169],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.5}],"guides":[{"label":"Range 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