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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":41.8,"averageExpectedMove":41.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":5.0,"medianReturn":5.0,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-35.1,"medianReturn":-35.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-23.1,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-28.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-29.4,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-36.7,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-41.8,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-34.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-35.1,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-33.6,"sample":1},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":45.0,"averageReturn":24.8,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 45.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 24.8% across 20 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 14.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 18.7% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-08-23","price":19.14},{"date":"2024-11-08","price":42.78}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":73.9}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-05-15","price":96.1}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[19.14,17.28,14.07,15.7,13.95,15.91,15.57,16.56,18.8,20.3,21.13,42.78,36.75,44.77,41.08,44.55,34.5,43.01,45.36,44.32,35.96,36.78,40.28,37.08,42.88,53.84,61.91,52.72,47.25,48.18,41.82,37.39,29.97,37.09,33.04,38.07,39.87,34.62,36.73,36.48,39.47,51.23,39.19,49.23,48.8,50.13,49.715,49.28,49.2,44.955,43.53,40.19,38.48,37.98,43.48,62.56,70.57,70.52,84.135,83.28,79.44,76.65,74.61,65.1,57.21,51.46,57.47,57.78,52.4,53.0,52.51,52.99,64.97,61.54,59.52,55.44,47.59,44.39,44.82,44.17,45.15,42.5,43.66,37.12,38.47,35.58,46.93,42.34,44.02,84.89,96.1,95.48,104.98,101.97,100.9,95.5,73.9,68.88,67.8,60.81,55.89,62.83,62.33,63.85],"consensus":[44.1424,-13.4555,-50.3957,12.8342,-45.0108,18.3714,0.0,24.5168,51.9797,54.9841,44.8355,82.2863,0.0,75.6763,13.2096,57.0122,-28.9965,55.9899,46.9103,27.4296,-31.0059,0.0,19.4032,-11.7557,45.967,68.2812,60.7206,0.0,-11.1053,13.6976,-36.8756,-43.7788,-54.8681,8.6199,-43.6858,15.8499,14.2277,-37.018,9.9963,0.0,0.0,65.5558,-36.2046,55.6792,23.7246,20.0439,16.3383,0.0,16.6104,-30.0562,-16.7168,-34.0212,-28.2512,-31.0155,25.5286,69.4804,68.2034,38.9638,70.9471,26.7806,15.3801,17.8726,0.0,-33.5307,-43.8863,-47.7891,0.0,-11.8193,-41.1128,0.0,-27.4809,-10.7687,49.4755,0.0,0.0,-25.1781,-51.1486,-43.0325,-22.2417,-32.3177,-9.7187,-36.8794,-18.3678,-54.338,-18.7461,-44.806,39.6062,-20.4299,17.2268,72.9427,66.6423,43.1894,69.7889,20.2196,27.4513,0.0,-47.5547,-36.5869,-28.5789,-45.191,-48.7434,0.0,-22.4247,-2.9787],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-22.9794,-32.4438,32.3077,63.7373,67.7203,33.9853,71.2737,12.2112,5.9767,11.807,0.0,-28.9624,-38.8898,-48.9959,0.0,-4.8169,-46.8489,0.0,-29.3233,-2.3809,48.7167,0.0,0.0,-29.3697,-41.8743,-40.2571,-12.0005,-29.1486,-4.6124,-45.0158,-21.7826,-56.5458,-12.5419,-46.2333,40.4781,-31.1188,17.3895,63.232,56.7202,39.7715,69.5177,7.6957,26.0367,0.0,-42.0357,-35.8608,-25.9758,-43.8895,-53.4174,0.0,-20.2698,-4.755],"force":[-19.5412,-18.6478,52.1411,95.6177,75.5319,13.1673,73.1629,6.2963,25.7322,9.8397,0.0,-60.5707,-57.9715,-43.3415,0.0,-0.4045,-39.12,0.0,-15.2275,-4.9327,74.0106,0.0,0.0,-41.3716,-69.6038,-34.5401,-0.3491,-16.3768,-12.4967,-27.0575,-0.8781,-57.5576,-7.1894,-38.7817,77.5814,-31.7092,29.2989,96.5819,76.4324,10.0515,66.3107,23.0419,4.0027,0.0,-88.7912,-40.4201,-20.7849,-44.3265,-39.4922,0.0,-18.4657,-11.973],"direction":[-40.4974,-38.2172,1.2279,57.3744,63.5208,63.0796,68.9911,67.0578,55.4928,44.5992,0.0,-19.4372,-39.5358,-49.5868,0.0,-27.9754,-35.9806,0.0,-34.1278,-31.5699,32.8176,0.0,0.0,-8.8209,-48.5655,-52.2704,-49.5835,-47.3257,-31.4226,-34.5962,-28.2121,-49.515,-44.3621,-47.478,11.4846,-0.1573,8.4179,67.1556,70.9888,70.7656,72.5832,65.4338,51.5352,0.0,-24.4075,-34.6786,-37.121,-47.2961,-50.0097,0.0,-27.7153,-11.6283],"intensity":[40.3846,3.8462,55.7692,98.0769,96.1538,30.7692,90.3846,80.7692,67.3077,57.6923,50.0,92.3077,61.5385,90.3846,46.1538,9.6154,38.4615,50.0,26.9231,3.8462,88.4615,21.1538,7.6923,30.7692,86.5385,69.2308,23.0769,11.5385,7.6923,15.3846,1.9231,65.3846,46.1538,21.1538,82.6923,67.3077,48.0769,100.0,98.0769,86.5385,71.1538,92.3077,90.3846,48.0769,94.2308,92.3077,17.3077,61.5385,36.5385,51.9231,84.6154,73.0769],"confirmation":[76.8553,77.5263,54.4722,91.1178,90.0558,79.7581,90.7656,54.4603,9.3015,29.7329,4.9977,79.6235,82.549,83.1386,30.3965,26.2077,81.0079,4.367,76.3924,26.8142,84.5915,3.6998,25.3966,76.4866,85.0713,81.5539,51.9395,77.9041,5.1767,79.3781,50.7598,85.4526,52.17,82.1326,81.818,52.0518,73.878,92.2101,89.7751,80.8628,90.2306,10.2583,54.0346,8.3853,84.5583,79.8357,76.9474,82.4546,83.2447,31.1298,75.0881,3.0247],"persistence":[12.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[33.535,26.5669,13.2778,15.1916,15.8962,30.5164,14.5259,36.3943,35.1417,26.1648,42.0264,32.4333,27.7065,25.9131,47.826,30.0684,11.5146,14.2708,20.8961,36.4128,24.2208,44.3705,43.129,33.3525,24.2708,28.3684,38.6354,33.1684,19.7315,1.8763,3.7035,18.1966,35.1455,26.9078,11.0537,50.7254,33.0908,13.5063,16.6551,28.3929,15.1022,34.4466,5.4127,0.8829,25.1525,30.8615,34.8793,26.7525,18.7627,22.3421,18.4996,21.525],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-3.0,"control":-4.8,"force":-12.0,"direction":-11.6,"confirmation":3.0,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":21.5,"intensity":73.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-3.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-4.8","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-12.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-11.6","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"3/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"48.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"21.5%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"26.6","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"33%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[19.14,17.28,14.07,15.7,13.95,15.91,15.57,16.56,18.8,20.3,21.13,42.78,36.75,44.77,41.08,44.55,34.5,43.01,45.36,44.32,35.96,36.78,40.28,37.08,42.88,53.84,61.91,52.72,47.25,48.18,41.82,37.39,29.97,37.09,33.04,38.07,39.87,34.62,36.73,36.48,39.47,51.23,39.19,49.23,48.8,50.13,49.715,49.28,49.2,44.955,43.53,40.19,38.48,37.98,43.48,62.56,70.57,70.52,84.135,83.28,79.44,76.65,74.61,65.1,57.21,51.46,57.47,57.78,52.4,53.0,52.51,52.99,64.97,61.54,59.52,55.44,47.59,44.39,44.82,44.17,45.15,42.5,43.66,37.12,38.47,35.58,46.93,42.34,44.02,84.89,96.1,95.48,104.98,101.97,100.9,95.5,73.9,68.88,67.8,60.81,55.89,62.83,62.33,63.85],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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