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positive, Market Dynamics cautious","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":4,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":0.4,"averageExpectedMove":0.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":-0.0,"medianReturn":-0.1,"confidenceLow":20.8,"confidenceHigh":93.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-0.0,"medianReturn":-0.0,"confidenceLow":9.5,"confidenceHigh":90.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":4},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":4},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":1},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"dynamicsAhead":{"label":"Price cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":50.0,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":2},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 50.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.0% across 2 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 0.4% across 2 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 8.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[9.7241,9.7324,9.7328,9.7561,9.7504,9.7573,9.7504,9.7675,9.7678,9.7814,9.7834,9.779,9.7785,9.7744,9.7855,9.8002,9.7987,9.796,9.807,9.8054,9.821,9.8268,9.8246,9.8317,9.8453,9.8551,9.8668,9.8709,9.8789,9.848,9.8116,9.791,9.7835,9.8132,9.833,9.8596,9.8495,9.8421,9.8548,9.8391,9.8466,9.8724,9.8262,9.8442,9.8422,9.8633,9.8631,9.8209,9.8232,9.8081,9.8141,9.8362,9.8438,9.838],"consensus":[29.7358,100.0,9.9835,100.0,39.0014,39.1916,8.3452,65.6466,32.6342,53.7366,34.0182,9.5347,19.3047,-13.1175,51.3622,62.1953,25.9975,14.8431,48.1328,10.6862,58.8637,37.9714,15.0029,41.7666,63.5102,59.0682,58.4624,37.1562,54.3525,-21.7515,-63.2022,-61.783,-57.5401,0.0,44.9535,59.1692,8.4579,8.0343,26.7317,-25.138,16.2394,53.3997,-38.8494,10.7062,-16.0314,10.7815,31.1697,-48.1169,-30.3943,-51.4849,-28.7044,28.6967,18.8108,-9.6234],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,27.0955,5.9413,68.8193,23.4223,52.052,19.2051,1.7567,8.8201,-13.0866,59.0515,65.3977,21.2966,7.4772,53.759,2.7306,54.7646,32.6332,3.9892,40.7927,71.8196,50.7584,64.3434,21.0916,58.1698,-30.1765,-54.1276,-65.6095,-52.2642,0.0,40.8728,49.9831,4.0538,0.2377,13.2681,-28.6287,16.6241,64.732,-33.7464,3.8849,-19.6306,14.428,37.1339,-60.6688,-35.7359,-47.0121,-25.4629,23.9121,18.3862,-21.5421],"force":[9.9835,100.0,21.4349,23.9516,25.3011,69.1659,5.3927,32.466,5.1178,37.1768,9.0987,-53.149,51.4746,46.4392,1.1506,15.4722,34.858,13.7643,69.7913,18.0188,18.4379,23.6155,55.5857,68.7933,39.3405,23.8597,32.1402,-55.9782,-94.9387,-56.0545,-56.0612,0.0,83.6749,91.9103,27.1256,4.5319,42.5187,-40.3017,28.5687,49.0442,-57.4154,41.6458,-27.9543,4.0127,20.164,-45.9641,-20.4568,-62.8445,-14.543,64.3023,18.8482,-27.1555],"direction":[null,null,82.1702,63.9013,48.7055,59.5068,62.6203,70.8551,71.5905,55.8045,51.5752,-15.4411,42.4941,69.7899,50.7616,44.9149,51.1849,37.2429,55.7429,58.324,51.4762,55.8446,59.6742,61.6185,65.3997,65.0134,65.8558,-12.3247,-50.9041,-61.5016,-64.6262,0.0,21.9592,46.281,38.9079,26.4638,30.8421,-10.3176,6.993,43.5595,-31.4201,5.2821,-3.4018,11.4488,32.2147,-35.3095,-31.3877,-48.4826,-42.5243,8.7321,19.2693,-16.5209],"intensity":[null,null,75.0,60.0,16.6667,71.4286,25.0,77.7778,60.0,9.0909,8.3333,23.0769,64.2857,73.3333,56.25,23.5294,72.2222,36.8421,70.0,80.9524,4.5455,30.4348,66.6667,88.0,84.6154,62.963,35.7143,100.0,100.0,93.5484,90.625,93.9394,73.5294,91.4286,100.0,43.2432,100.0,97.4359,25.0,80.4878,92.8571,79.0698,95.4545,66.6667,86.9565,89.3617,35.4167,61.2245,24.0,68.6275,32.6923,21.1538],"confirmation":[25.8614,54.6667,16.5768,80.2612,8.5278,89.0658,55.0864,84.5731,55.5641,10.1054,30.0794,31.3789,84.3221,87.3735,53.1423,7.2389,82.9122,5.732,87.2319,79.6241,7.883,80.827,87.9551,87.3248,86.0356,79.7296,84.6577,33.1711,89.3302,87.5377,86.4482,33.4986,83.6274,88.0719,7.476,25.9982,77.2404,76.4531,50.8998,84.7825,81.0754,28.0867,50.7719,48.5216,77.548,83.1405,77.3419,84.8895,76.8032,78.341,74.0271,21.3288],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,29.7433,29.8324,42.824,7.175,30.7488,22.4574,32.9082,37.4226,31.7881,26.1226,14.0368,17.7772,36.3534,42.1781,25.4512,24.3209,20.3154,30.9907,41.8236,29.0544,18.1314,20.4329,20.7685,31.4213,22.8221,16.5531,18.3094,19.1025,21.229,51.258,18.2103,20.3106,45.6243,40.712,26.3552,25.7956,15.0231,17.6107,22.519,6.1841,2.6089,25.7947,32.0617,14.6193,20.3786,23.6817,34.6069,15.6281,27.3486,48.7464],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-9.6,"control":-21.5,"force":-27.2,"direction":-16.5,"confirmation":21.3,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":48.7,"intensity":21.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the Market Dynamics view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward Market Dynamics view stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: the visible price structure remains vulnerable until Market Dynamics changes.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-9.6","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-21.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-27.2","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}