{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ENS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"0c2e0279-c2f9-4d94-be32-2ff685cd7bac","symbol":"ENS","name":"Enersys","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Electrical Equipment & Parts"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":14,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":4.9,"averageExpectedMove":12.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":26.7,"averageReturn":-3.3,"medianReturn":-4.4,"confidenceLow":10.9,"confidenceHigh":52.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":14,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":6.3,"medianReturn":0.7,"confidenceLow":26.8,"confidenceHigh":73.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":61.5,"averageReturn":13.1,"medianReturn":6.3,"confidenceLow":35.5,"confidenceHigh":82.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":15},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":15},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":15},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":14},{"week":12,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":14},{"week":13,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":14},{"week":14,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":14},{"week":19,"averageReturn":9.5,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":8.6,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":7.8,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":9.1,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":12.3,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":13.0,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":13.1,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.0,"averageExpectedMove":6.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":11.0,"medianReturn":11.0,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.0,"medianReturn":-6.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":9.8,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":13.2,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":11.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":8.9,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":7.1,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":9.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":1},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":31.2,"averageReturn":8.1,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 31.2% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 8.1% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 53.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.8% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-09-19","price":109.489479}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-03","price":206.68}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-04-24","price":209.059254}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[96.9523,99.5963,94.6622,97.316,100.6331,100.0813,98.9483,101.4804,100.7611,97.8842,95.963,96.0024,94.7117,96.0812,95.2339,93.3127,92.1205,91.3303,91.5476,92.9108,88.525,97.0594,98.4127,95.884,98.5016,98.1164,100.8525,100.25,99.9931,94.59,95.3228,92.2034,80.1024,81.7166,81.8354,85.5687,89.8763,92.2034,98.9372,79.4588,82.8157,86.0737,85.9153,82.6185,86.1536,89.5894,87.0076,88.0701,93.3926,88.5765,94.9318,97.6427,101.297,101.9325,103.1241,106.3936,109.4895,111.132,114.2278,108.8424,120.529,120.9073,125.5859,131.3794,136.8942,137.5114,142.4588,146.9781,146.8512,146.4922,150.5708,150.3116,157.8506,167.6832,172.9286,179.6898,171.7419,178.7025,172.7291,165.6887,154.7093,160.8148,165.1498,171.1729,177.146,190.7903,198.7711,209.0593,212.1457,229.5557,236.7074,231.9729,227.7078,226.8188,224.002,227.95,221.9,206.68,205.68,196.55,190.75,186.05,191.72,203.4],"consensus":[0.0,20.8053,-39.0291,21.8846,33.5102,0.0,0.0,36.7567,0.0,-27.8204,-34.1375,-16.0117,-37.3418,0.0,-21.837,-35.7197,-35.6241,-31.2454,-18.5234,0.0,-54.6752,52.2143,29.522,0.0,43.7673,0.0,37.8198,16.2591,14.649,-41.7989,-9.508,-44.7886,-71.7902,-22.347,-35.6833,0.0,31.4458,32.2548,55.7816,-60.8446,-9.2853,0.0,-24.2254,-33.152,23.5863,30.5305,-18.2384,18.3189,50.5865,-24.9841,56.7956,45.1887,57.9524,46.2639,48.1661,57.2605,57.4137,49.6287,57.4318,0.0,73.4607,39.4009,63.8267,61.9654,65.0926,46.3518,64.0752,68.2559,33.8886,32.6293,57.5389,42.6914,66.0959,75.3201,63.0359,64.5224,0.0,56.4834,0.0,-22.1859,-48.1804,9.5293,9.6935,25.4137,44.2375,67.047,57.8699,66.9148,51.7865,77.5875,64.7196,28.7273,15.8289,16.688,0.0,17.8186,-11.6224,-45.0564,-19.1185,-40.3667,-48.1398,-37.9599,-9.2627,23.1819],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[62.7554,47.5337,48.8842,59.6769,55.0811,47.9672,56.3369,0.0,70.308,35.6488,64.1836,54.4265,57.6548,43.2219,65.683,71.9816,25.778,28.3798,65.0818,52.9534,68.964,81.8636,62.7586,59.5939,0.0,56.0303,0.0,-16.5784,-43.5263,23.424,18.0423,24.6788,45.5225,73.3591,62.2571,74.2896,53.8799,83.6974,65.9459,25.0155,5.2986,18.9182,0.0,20.8661,-5.0815,-39.4521,-10.8438,-33.0397,-46.251,-30.9306,-0.8064,20.664],"force":[52.0266,25.2743,33.5762,47.6498,52.9893,31.9581,46.4806,0.0,90.0925,12.2971,60.3245,66.0224,71.4181,22.1817,55.1386,60.6069,3.0486,1.1673,41.9282,15.7351,66.0706,74.6399,54.831,64.2035,0.0,57.1919,0.0,-58.1066,-71.7234,30.1798,16.0211,24.5031,42.1032,73.5403,48.9917,59.9206,31.15,80.0621,54.9091,14.1764,22.6021,7.4855,0.0,5.4622,-50.3571,-71.7024,-13.0514,-41.319,-43.9936,-27.3552,-20.2357,57.9567],"direction":[56.696,59.8054,57.7667,61.3637,63.2398,64.1494,66.5054,0.0,65.184,63.0487,65.9203,67.6835,69.0749,67.1931,68.6208,69.4615,65.1863,59.9588,60.069,50.2178,62.8361,68.3275,69.2133,70.3827,0.0,56.4951,0.0,-2.9369,-36.6828,21.1005,4.3676,26.9039,44.2935,55.1952,59.1974,63.4821,64.1344,68.8374,70.3256,63.6148,55.3142,31.4058,0.0,23.1618,-8.5698,-32.4284,-32.9091,-48.0601,-53.2601,-53.5682,-41.8405,1.2205],"intensity":[53.8462,55.7692,19.2308,57.6923,59.6154,15.3846,40.3846,76.9231,94.2308,80.7692,61.5385,94.2308,90.3846,3.8462,80.7692,53.8462,38.4615,80.7692,80.7692,5.7692,88.4615,88.4615,84.6154,82.6923,96.1538,92.3077,65.3846,73.0769,86.5385,61.5385,84.6154,82.6923,55.7692,92.3077,96.1538,80.7692,44.2308,98.0769,96.1538,90.3846,84.6154,9.6154,63.4615,67.3077,59.6154,94.2308,100.0,59.6154,34.6154,82.6923,40.3846,100.0],"confirmation":[86.291,82.1454,82.9576,85.9937,86.2731,83.368,86.0611,34.5817,92.0623,79.8394,88.3124,88.0675,89.1358,82.1437,88.2072,89.552,55.3614,54.8806,85.8218,80.6833,89.1062,91.982,87.9256,88.7125,12.6674,86.1032,7.7642,53.613,84.2061,30.6351,49.4326,76.1158,82.0714,89.5568,86.1809,89.0872,83.9109,92.8103,88.3926,33.6327,8.8763,51.4997,27.9199,50.6123,6.8276,83.3155,74.0591,81.058,83.3072,79.9311,6.7075,38.7718],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[20.2104,26.8401,25.3007,20.9265,20.9249,25.0119,21.2389,34.3674,12.7381,29.3869,17.8724,19.0168,17.4383,26.8089,17.9497,15.8484,32.4907,32.6235,19.5999,12.4741,16.7749,12.3398,18.482,17.7388,48.0517,20.9981,3.7285,38.1897,25.365,54.2878,45.3103,20.6237,27.7333,16.4451,21.055,16.5381,24.098,11.2013,17.6341,35.3776,40.6129,29.2855,49.5581,36.3544,27.8297,26.5018,39.3748,29.7668,25.8964,30.5443,44.5231,27.4403],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":23.2,"control":20.7,"force":58.0,"direction":1.2,"confirmation":38.8,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":27.4,"intensity":100.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+23.2","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+20.7","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+58.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+1.2","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"39/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"55.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.9%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"25.5","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"57%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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