{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PETS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"0dbeeb49-7e64-4004-ab00-8fdcf7857ebd","symbol":"PETS","name":"Pets at Home Group Plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Specialty Retail"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":5.6,"averageExpectedMove":8.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":19,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":57.9,"averageReturn":1.4,"medianReturn":1.7,"confidenceLow":36.3,"confidenceHigh":76.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":38.9,"averageReturn":-3.1,"medianReturn":-3.4,"confidenceLow":20.3,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":23.5,"averageReturn":-9.0,"medianReturn":-12.7,"confidenceLow":9.6,"confidenceHigh":47.3,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":19},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":19},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":19},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":19},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-6.4,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":38.9,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 38.9% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -3.1% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 8.2% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-07-10","price":189.9}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[307.1336,308.3326,303.1371,302.7374,298.1414,308.7322,302.5376,307.9329,306.3343,300.1396,297.7418,298.541,285.1526,279.7574,232.3984,232.4445,224.4499,207.0615,207.861,204.4632,195.0695,206.8616,210.859,225.8489,222.8509,227.4479,227.8476,235.0428,232.6444,234.0434,241.0388,236.242,217.8543,227.248,233.6437,227.4479,243.2373,247.0347,255.2293,257.6277,266.4218,258.9055,262.9041,261.1047,263.9037,247.7096,242.7115,242.3116,243.911,219.9198,223.9183,225.5177,235.9139,223.7184,229.1164,224.5181,192.7297,203.1259,207.7242,207.9241,214.5217,222.1189,214.1219,209.1237,204.1255,205.525,221.5192,212.1692,202.7706,202.1707,198.3712,195.1717,197.0714,200.3709,202.3706,204.5703,215.5687,219.9681,223.9675,208.3698,193.9718,192.772,181.5737,176.3744,184.7732,188.4726,194.0718,184.7732,183.6733,183.1734,177.3743,184.9731,192.1721,183.4,188.7,170.9,179.9,183.2,189.9,198.0,197.0,210.6,211.8,215.0],"consensus":[25.2306,25.1254,0.0,0.0,-19.9621,20.2765,-9.6045,22.8469,0.0,-23.0868,-12.7305,0.0,-45.7753,-36.0872,-76.4797,-40.6587,-62.0311,-74.2678,-43.0232,-47.9478,-66.981,0.0,-9.6891,30.2311,0.0,12.7875,0.0,20.5697,0.0,8.4608,30.7803,0.0,-29.4869,16.01,11.9299,-20.2902,43.4869,30.8269,44.1438,35.8616,49.7826,0.0,36.7477,11.1581,22.6606,-36.5597,-31.2134,-11.9919,-11.1125,-64.7838,-23.0425,-22.6056,0.0,-39.4857,10.3908,-27.472,-66.2316,0.0,-13.2484,-25.5014,9.7261,26.7497,-23.5139,-22.8688,-35.5385,-12.4914,44.2432,-21.1741,-35.1776,-21.6663,-39.8261,-35.0384,-11.7908,0.0,8.7673,11.7929,44.1426,41.3743,38.8487,-28.915,-52.5051,-25.7825,-64.5307,-46.4362,0.0,0.0,17.9118,-29.9905,-14.185,-16.2339,-40.511,14.3208,31.2626,-17.2886,0.0,-55.8297,-9.494,0.0,28.9164,46.6723,24.4387,60.1644,33.8022,46.7129],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-51.3804,12.4261,-30.593,-55.7815,0.0,-5.2848,-21.7171,1.231,23.9849,-34.5844,-30.6351,-38.4183,-4.533,40.4652,-27.4477,-43.4452,-26.7688,-44.2612,-34.2197,-10.0225,0.0,8.7069,6.2161,40.0569,40.6505,35.1628,-35.6577,-50.501,-20.0543,-63.1476,-45.3277,0.0,0.0,13.1474,-42.3836,-14.9213,-15.1289,-40.6074,19.3201,21.9876,-23.6368,0.0,-65.1581,-3.6849,0.0,34.5336,42.5698,19.6676,52.7851,27.236,48.485],"force":[0.0,-44.0608,36.2178,-28.6415,-90.2187,0.0,-17.7424,-12.0179,30.3029,41.971,-34.5318,-20.7648,-33.1686,-4.3025,81.707,-40.0015,-42.0605,-12.1205,-31.2317,-28.1039,-7.0345,0.0,21.2434,20.6657,58.2675,37.7981,30.7056,-65.8141,-72.5105,-11.2661,-82.6649,-35.119,0.0,0.0,36.9414,-38.2216,-2.8834,-4.6096,-37.5901,38.9885,63.9739,-17.5723,0.0,-60.021,-2.7597,0.0,39.7193,54.037,8.7195,75.9434,13.576,31.3619],"direction":[0.0,-22.6239,10.3833,-23.07,-61.0409,0.0,-44.4858,-39.4573,4.7371,19.0371,-2.9919,-15.496,-33.9399,-33.5823,21.801,-0.5561,-20.8125,-22.6534,-40.8962,-40.9272,-27.2583,0.0,0.0752,11.8286,38.7227,44.7561,48.8777,-5.1475,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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+46.7","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+48.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+31.4","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+55.7","detail":"Upward 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