{"ticker": {"uuid": "11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3", "symbol": "MUR", "name": "Murphy Oil Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-24", "summary": "MUR closed the latest completed week at 38.95 USD. The 4-week return is 12.5% and the 12-week return is -3.5%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at -0.90.", "description": "Murphy Oil Corporation is an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "61", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "38.95 USD", "hint": "2026-07-24"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "5.8%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "12.5%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-3.5%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "82.7%", "hint": "43 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.8x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "sector": "Energy", "industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "currency": "USD", "market_cap": "5.1B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "35.77 USD", "fair_value": "32.66 USD", "vs_trend": "8.9%", "vs_fair_value": "19.3%", "high_52": "42.97 USD", "low_52": "21.20 USD", "drawdown": "-9.4%", "range_position": "81.5%", "markers": [{"label": 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"return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 40.582541293976924, "volume": "8.6M"}, {"week": "26 Jun", "return": 0.962379702537178, "return_label": "1.0%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 65.83183691860164, "volume": "14.0M"}, {"week": "3 Jul", "return": -7.914500288850372, "return_label": "-7.9%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 36.664574042600925, "volume": "7.8M"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": 5.865746549560857, "return_label": "5.9%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 30.933583694122458, "volume": "6.6M"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": 9.125925925925921, "return_label": "9.1%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 40.44086027586818, "volume": "8.6M"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 5.756177029595451, "return_label": "5.8%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 33.76266532437087, "volume": "7.2M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.8x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "8.5M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "10.7M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "7.1%", "volatility_52": "5.7%", "downside_weeks": 18, "upside_weeks": 34, "downside_breadth": "34.6%", "average_gain": "4.5%", "average_loss": "-5.5%", "distribution_scale": "12%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "16 of 26", "detail": "10 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+9.9%", "detail": "Week of 15 May.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-11.7%", "detail": "Week of 19 Jun.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+5.8%", "detail": "Week of 24 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 13, "share": 50.0, "share_label": "50.0%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "7.1%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "5.7%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "34/18", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "4.5% / -5.5%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "8.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.8x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.84% based on similar historical setup states.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "38.95 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "35.77 USD", "fair_value": "32.66 USD", "activity_pressure": "-0.90", "relative_leadership": "12.40", "volume": "7.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "36.83 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "35.49 USD", "fair_value": "32.65 USD", "activity_pressure": "-1.01", "relative_leadership": "6.23", "volume": "8.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "33.75 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "35.29 USD", "fair_value": "32.65 USD", "activity_pressure": "-1.14", "relative_leadership": "-3.69", "volume": "6.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "31.88 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "35.26 USD", "fair_value": "32.66 USD", "activity_pressure": "-0.96", "relative_leadership": "-7.64", "volume": "7.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "34.62 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "35.26 USD", "fair_value": "32.68 USD", "activity_pressure": "-0.74", "relative_leadership": "2.68", "volume": "14.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "34.29 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "35.16 USD", "fair_value": "32.67 USD", "activity_pressure": "-0.80", "relative_leadership": "-0.24", "volume": "8.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "38.84 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "35.02 USD", "fair_value": "32.67 USD", "activity_pressure": "-0.60", "relative_leadership": "14.31", "volume": "8.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "38.67 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "34.71 USD", "fair_value": "32.64 USD", "activity_pressure": "-0.37", "relative_leadership": "15.00", "volume": "9.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "36.19 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "34.34 USD", "fair_value": "32.61 USD", "activity_pressure": "-0.21", "relative_leadership": "5.65", "volume": "6.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "38.00 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "34.05 USD", "fair_value": "32.60 USD", "activity_pressure": "0.20", "relative_leadership": "13.19", "volume": "8.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "40.29 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "33.72 USD", "fair_value": "32.56 USD", "activity_pressure": "0.37", "relative_leadership": "21.91", "volume": "7.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "36.66 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "33.27 USD", "fair_value": "32.50 USD", "activity_pressure": "0.35", "relative_leadership": "12.06", "volume": "11.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "40.38 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "32.92 USD", "fair_value": "32.46 USD", "activity_pressure": "0.54", "relative_leadership": "27.03", "volume": "6.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "38.67 USD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "32.56 USD", "fair_value": "32.40 USD", "activity_pressure": "0.70", "relative_leadership": "23.83", "volume": "7.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "56", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.42195, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.84% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.84%", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Options", "score": 39.60857142857143, "score_label": "40", "tone": "negative", "summary": "MUR shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 11.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.", "detail": "Volatility \u00b7 Volatility expansion watch \u00b7 Expected move 11.0%", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/options/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": {"direction": "volatility", "direction_label": "Volatility", "conviction_score": "55.99", "pressure_score": "85.63", "speculation_score": "43.96", "volatility_score": "75.87", "trend_confirmation_score": "10.64", "expected_move_percent": "10.97560976", "put_call_volume_ratio": "0.12997512", "insight": "MUR shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 11.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active."}, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 59.02904938329879, "score_label": "59", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 59/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "59/100", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 55.35416666666666, "score_label": "55", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 9/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.48; No reversal markers", "metric": "55/100", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.42195, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.84% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.84%", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 68.15942028985508, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 42; Small Cap Core rank 34", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Options", "score": 39.60857142857143, "score_label": "40", "tone": "negative", "summary": "MUR shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 11.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.", "detail": "Volatility \u00b7 Volatility expansion watch \u00b7 Expected move 11.0%", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/options/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 54.0, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.", "detail": "Murphy Oil\u2019s Earnings Beat Streak Raises Fresh Questions About MUR\u2019s Long\u2011Term Profitability Narrative", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/sentiment/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 44.0, "score_label": "44", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.", "detail": "", "metric": "12 / 8", "url": "/insider-activity/api/?ticker=MUR", "available": true, "weight": 0.7}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.", "detail": "", "metric": "4d", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": true, "weight": 0.55}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.42195, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.84% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.84%", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 68.15942028985508, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 42; Small Cap Core rank 34", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}], "negatives": [{"label": "Options", "score": 39.60857142857143, "score_label": "40", "tone": "negative", "summary": "MUR shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 11.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.", "detail": "Volatility \u00b7 Volatility expansion watch \u00b7 Expected move 11.0%", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/options/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.84% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is options: MUR shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 11.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "5.8%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 12.5%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "49/32", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.84%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Options pressure", "value": "Volatility", "detail": "56/100 conviction; expected move 11.0%.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/options/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "54/100", "detail": "54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Event risk", "value": "4d", "detail": "Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/earnings-calendar/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive, but selective", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "61", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.8%, after a 12.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.8%, after a 12.5% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 12.5% over four weeks, -3.5% over 12 weeks, and 55.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": true, "summary": "The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.", "week_end": "2026-07-26", "financials_period_end": "2026-03-31", "coverage": "94%", "confidence": "90%", "url": "", "rank_scores": [{"label": "Overall factor strength", "value": "84/100", "width": 84.0, "tone": "positive", "detail": "Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Value", "value": "80/100", "width": 80.0, "tone": "neutral", "detail": "Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "29/100", "width": 29.0, "tone": "neutral", "detail": "Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Momentum", "value": "86/100", "width": 86.0, "tone": "positive", "detail": "Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Growth", "value": "4/100", "width": 4.0, "tone": "negative", "detail": "Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best."}], "groups": [{"title": "Valuation", "summary": "How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.", "metrics": [{"label": "P/E", "value": "66.4x", "detail": "Price divided by trailing earnings.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price / sales", "value": "2.0x", "detail": "Market value relative to trailing revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "EV / EBITDA", "value": "-", "detail": "Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Free-cash-flow yield", "value": "30.9%", "detail": "Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, {"title": "Business quality", "summary": "Margins and the return generated on invested capital.", "metrics": [{"label": "Gross margin", "value": "69.1%", "detail": "Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Operating margin", "value": "-1034.1%", "detail": "Operating profit retained from revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Free-cash-flow margin", "value": "84.9%", "detail": "Free cash flow generated from revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Return on invested capital", "value": "-197.8%", "detail": "Operating return generated on invested capital.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, {"title": "Growth and financial strength", "summary": "Recent business growth and accounting strength.", "metrics": [{"label": "Revenue growth", "value": "-4.1%", "detail": "Latest one-year revenue growth.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "EPS growth", "value": "-78.4%", "detail": "Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Free-cash-flow growth", "value": "-20.3%", "detail": "Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Piotroski F-score", "value": "5/9", "detail": "Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, {"title": "Shareholder return and balance sheet", "summary": "Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.", "metrics": [{"label": "Dividend yield", "value": "3.5%", "detail": "Cash dividends relative to market value.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Buyback yield", "value": "0.1%", "detail": "Net share repurchases relative to market value.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Shareholder yield", "value": "3.5%", "detail": "Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Net debt / EBITDA", "value": "-0.1x", "detail": "Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.", "tone": "neutral"}]}]}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "5.8%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 12.5%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "49/32", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.84%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Options pressure", "value": "Volatility", "detail": "56/100 conviction; expected move 11.0%.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/options/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "54/100", "detail": "54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/"}, {"label": "Event risk", "value": "4d", "detail": "Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/earnings-calendar/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.84% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 59.02904938329879, "score_label": "59", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 59/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "59/100", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 55.35416666666666, "score_label": "55", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 9/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.48; No reversal markers", "metric": "55/100", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.42195, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.84% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.84%", "url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 68.15942028985508, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 42; Small Cap Core rank 34", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "options": {"label": "Options", "score": 39.60857142857143, "score_label": "40", "tone": "negative", "summary": "MUR shows volatility options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 11.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.", "detail": "Volatility \u00b7 Volatility expansion watch \u00b7 Expected move 11.0%", "metric": "40/100", "url": "/options/ticker/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 54.0, "score_label": "54", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.", "detail": "Murphy Oil\u2019s Earnings Beat Streak Raises Fresh Questions About MUR\u2019s Long\u2011Term Profitability Narrative", "metric": "54/100", "url": "/sentiment/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 44.0, "score_label": "44", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.", "detail": "", "metric": "12 / 8", "url": "/insider-activity/api/?ticker=MUR", "available": true, "weight": 0.7}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.", "detail": "", "metric": "4d", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": true, "weight": 0.55}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/", "api_path": "/terminal/11bcaf65-6588-447d-904f-9a2fcc01b0e3/report/api/"}