{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"VAVX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"12ad95ab-7c6d-472d-b43a-d8bf0af2c286","symbol":"VAVX","name":"VanEck Avalanche ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":30,"displayedObservations":30,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.099134,-0.1086],"opens":[13.62,13.09],"highs":[13.62,15.95],"lows":[12.895,13.0701],"closes":[13.3603,15.6881],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"13.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"13.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"12.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"13.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"13.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"13.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[13.220632,15.827768],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"slight easing","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Upper positioning zone","detail":"Price is in the area labelled as the distribution zone on the chart. With limited Market Dynamics history, the label describes location and extension only.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":22,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[22.4725,18.9621,19.0038,18.8684,18.4125,18.5418,20.2475,19.8,18.1537,18.0647,19.7894,20.3763,19.6299,19.0496,20.6087,19.895,19.2259,18.3893,13.8376,13.571,13.1322,13.2271,13.9228,13.975,13.619,12.9216,13.3161,13.38,13.3603,15.6881],"consensus":[-70.201,-15.6842,93.4182,22.7266,-49.1581,-26.1206,15.238,-13.4465,-41.852,-29.72,20.7825,22.5937,0.0,0.0,38.5684,-21.7873,-15.1236,-34.5259,-75.9618,-46.9324,-54.9866,-26.769,-9.0891,-16.0726,-23.4163,-45.4252,-27.691,-28.3349,-17.0293,55.9828],"supportDates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-30.9785,16.3196,-23.0791,-51.1389,-36.1386,27.4675,24.8,0.0,0.0,42.3717,-25.374,-16.2979,-40.7635,-75.0981,-47.472,-58.1962,-13.5815,-8.7863,-18.97,-28.6414,-54.9444,-33.7023,-34.4125,-17.6055,47.9557],"force":[-70.201,-15.6842,93.4182,22.7266,-11.656,-10.7459,23.1999,-16.7774,-42.689,-17.0154,44.8733,28.4749,0.0,0.0,51.963,-40.066,-19.0389,-39.7849,-98.033,-23.6262,-37.4648,-2.3111,-28.9645,-7.9943,-7.1252,-37.5936,-3.9801,-10.3399,-1.1427,93.5066],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-75.9453,-31.5507,8.3146,-0.0585,-30.6404,-31.4592,4.0652,15.8713,0.0,0.0,24.6543,-4.6321,-10.985,-23.6408,-61.1838,-62.963,-63.8341,-62.6118,-36.6164,-29.9521,-29.0811,-40.1401,-37.7572,-34.2427,-27.7185,38.354],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,60.0,66.6667,28.5714,62.5,33.3333,80.0,45.4545,25.0,23.0769,64.2857,40.0,68.75,29.4118,94.4444,89.4737,15.0,52.381,31.8182,8.6957,20.8333,24.0,11.5385,7.4074,14.2857,89.6552],"confirmation":[45.131,27.6856,52.5605,29.9392,59.3495,75.816,73.1023,49.5909,81.2766,77.0254,53.4833,75.3756,24.375,0.987,80.6922,52.8077,72.941,79.1135,92.9936,82.2999,85.0128,53.7071,30.5992,51.4044,52.2504,82.1523,53.3802,76.4261,50.2898,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,0.0,20.0,33.3333,14.2857,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,25.0501,1.7465,25.4672,35.0976,11.8923,2.1893,25.8117,8.2964,38.8574,32.8702,14.8805,11.351,11.1938,10.743,11.9984,26.5141,22.4798,36.5337,7.42,22.4214,29.2058,11.44,7.1819,8.1872,1.7371,19.8433],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":56.0,"control":48.0,"force":93.5,"direction":38.4,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":19.8,"intensity":89.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Completed tape has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Completed tape","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+56.0","detail":"Completed tape has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+48.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+93.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+38.4","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"29.4","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"10.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"32.6","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"37%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[22.4725,18.9621,19.0038,18.8684,18.4125,18.5418,20.2475,19.8,18.1537,18.0647,19.7894,20.3763,19.6299,19.0496,20.6087,19.895,19.2259,18.3893,13.8376,13.571,13.1322,13.2271,13.9228,13.975,13.619,12.9216,13.3161,13.38,13.3603,15.6881],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,20.4264,20.0838,20.1135,20.0565,19.7106,19.4113,19.4801,19.643,19.6406,19.5332,19.7287,19.7589,19.662,19.4306,18.4137,17.5332,16.733,16.0956,15.7005,15.3868,15.0654,14.6756,14.4284,14.2378,14.0783,14.371],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,20.5184,20.4096,20.4243,20.3851,20.2993,20.1578,19.6896,19.2364,18.7842,18.3726,18.043,17.7416,17.4363,17.1018,16.8214,16.5665,16.329,16.2815],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21.7651,21.7168,21.7786,21.7069,21.6053,21.697,21.663,21.5862,21.526,22.3512,22.8147,22.7117,22.9585,23.0083,23.0029,23.0155,23.0211,22.7017,22.3753,22.2197,22.04],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.7403,16.8862,17.0035,17.112,17.1621,17.2338,17.3215,17.3669,17.3063,15.894,14.8753,14.0442,13.2239,12.666,12.1821,11.6902,11.1225,10.7488,10.4332,10.1095,10.0515],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,42.0792,44.8117,64.7532,89.107,78.2833,50.4695,18.1897,57.7982,96.489,70.4245,70.593,134.0777,60.0088,78.7498,80.7524,96.7467,151.8815,84.1321,103.5478,55.8128,72.554,34.4117,269.9037],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,82.4273,77.35,70.2897,79.9007,88.1807,83.0541,81.3159,86.6777,77.7475,71.3479,65.0422,65.0,65.0,65.0,68.5986,72.9483,80.0277,76.3554,72.0064,74.2532,77.1699,75.8151,87.4446],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-15.6209,-15.4353,-16.0378,-18.0665,-17.4912,-9.901,-11.8923,-19.2182,-19.6142,-11.9395,-9.3278,-12.6492,-15.2315,-8.2937,-11.4696,-14.447,-18.1698,-38.4241,-39.6105,-41.5632,-41.1411,-38.0451,-37.8129,-39.397,-42.5004,-40.7449,-40.4606,-40.5482,-30.1898],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,7.5356,0.0,0.0,9.5473,12.7962,8.6644,5.4521,14.0827,10.1319,6.428,1.7969,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.7223,6.0203,6.4177,3.7068,0.0,3.053,3.5475,3.3951,21.4099],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11.9844,10.8584,10.974,10.9366,11.1655,16.2225,15.7986,16.0848,15.341,14.0251,13.6216,13.3905,13.6523,12.7567,12.1685,11.7036,10.5663],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope width","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26.0996,25.0271,24.6256,23.6735,22.9225,22.9288,22.2726,21.6633,21.7328,33.7675,42.1299,47.1624,53.8084,57.9819,61.5077,65.2649,69.6973,71.4661,72.7984,74.9181,74.7145],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,33.9538,34.1623,34.5722,32.5676],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6.5887,10.9339,12.7945,12.3362,11.7307,9.9632,9.6864,9.1297,8.8249,11.5878,11.9607,11.5934,11.1287,10.7317,11.3621,10.9858,19.6625],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative 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