{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BZUN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"12be1c22-aef1-4dc0-bf1c-098b376e374d","symbol":"BZUN","name":"Baozun Inc","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Internet Retail"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. 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adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":13},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":13},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":13},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":13},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":12},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":12},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":12},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":12},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-10.5,"sample":12},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":12},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":12},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-12.0,"sample":12},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-12.7,"sample":12},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-18.9,"sample":11},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":11},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-19.0,"sample":11},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-20.4,"sample":11},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-19.0,"sample":11},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-16.6,"sample":11},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-17.3,"sample":11},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-21.0,"sample":11},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-23.4,"sample":11},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-28.2,"sample":11},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-28.0,"sample":11},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-27.2,"sample":11},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-23.6,"sample":11}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 18.2% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":3.14}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[2.29,2.29,2.3,2.5,2.68,3.43,4.22,3.63,3.34,3.16,3.0,2.73,2.43,2.37,2.55,2.4,2.72,3.13,2.9,2.87,2.72,2.88,3.05,3.23,3.37,3.75,3.73,3.18,3.34,3.38,3.0,2.8,2.44,2.27,2.235,2.38,2.84,3.7,3.23,3.05,2.85,2.77,2.83,2.57,2.51,2.61,2.61,3.09,2.8,2.63,2.65,2.77,2.92,3.39,3.58,4.77,4.16,4.06,3.94,3.48,3.29,3.6,3.28,3.24,2.97,2.84,2.86,3.05,2.76,2.73,2.7,2.81,2.86,2.79,2.8,2.68,2.68,2.68,2.76,2.51,2.38,2.4,2.16,2.095,2.52,2.42,3.14,2.79,2.74,2.75,2.46,2.5,2.59,2.65,2.75,2.79,2.77,2.78,2.84,2.51,2.48,2.87,2.96,2.83],"consensus":[-19.4382,0.0,0.0,37.3276,50.4256,75.4968,83.1897,0.0,0.0,-17.2328,-28.632,-45.3917,-58.1771,-42.2332,0.0,-42.4045,20.6156,45.2186,-10.1659,14.0155,-21.6016,12.0372,30.7296,36.1836,40.7011,58.8418,30.8305,-29.1664,21.3544,12.5441,-43.1946,-43.4662,-56.7477,-46.3527,-41.902,-13.9961,38.6835,67.3205,-10.996,0.0,-21.6138,-26.9715,0.0,-44.506,-33.1653,0.0,-19.1174,52.8595,-19.7648,-24.4067,-9.3199,0.0,26.7447,65.9098,48.7936,81.3633,0.0,18.4838,8.3643,-36.8374,-33.9884,17.1546,-40.0761,-17.172,-43.8173,-40.9321,-24.4951,0.0,-48.9788,-20.0516,-34.0335,0.0,0.0,-22.4629,-8.2155,-34.8663,-16.4463,-15.6367,0.0,-48.8979,-41.6726,-25.0917,-61.8318,-45.9003,36.9896,-21.8857,67.8397,-12.7278,0.0,11.6754,-48.5474,-14.7853,9.1993,0.0,29.3127,21.4016,10.1943,8.6992,19.9627,-47.0872,-27.0901,39.6185,19.892,0.2163],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[30.0163,60.2337,36.3746,80.9878,0.0,6.4592,4.6274,-33.9445,-32.0904,30.4081,-38.285,-15.4833,-48.2792,-39.7266,-19.3213,0.0,-55.8321,-17.3775,-40.8789,0.0,0.0,-25.9296,-13.0507,-36.8724,-13.2579,-15.3815,0.0,-51.7552,-39.9993,-22.4133,-60.8378,-41.1589,37.5547,-25.301,60.9868,-21.8275,0.0,2.5945,-45.9352,-12.4758,18.2928,0.0,26.9707,16.4529,4.5469,3.1096,18.6822,-48.5893,-26.2647,36.9059,16.4206,12.8883],"force":[33.3619,92.9418,57.6363,97.5505,0.0,12.9437,19.2686,-67.9089,-43.2316,29.5038,-56.5725,-10.0047,-43.4126,-29.7808,-5.7412,0.0,-51.1013,-2.79,-17.5032,0.0,0.0,-27.6058,-1.968,-40.6386,-4.2481,-4.5685,0.0,-63.2244,-38.5992,-4.7874,-71.8216,-43.2941,82.2075,-33.2633,97.1372,-65.8556,0.0,5.0429,-75.4615,-7.8424,19.5804,0.0,33.2695,14.1953,0.1246,0.1356,16.9433,-68.0866,-20.4263,64.195,8.1185,19.5882],"direction":[18.2792,53.0882,56.6705,70.2301,0.0,54.6744,42.9497,-17.9496,-29.5554,6.8131,-30.3399,-24.2216,-39.0071,-50.2751,-43.8036,0.0,-39.6303,-35.4374,-38.0175,0.0,0.0,-14.8274,-9.9636,-28.4505,-28.8033,-23.8342,0.0,-35.3993,-45.7803,-42.6557,-55.8321,-53.1807,4.0451,-9.8556,54.7448,-35.6203,0.0,26.791,-32.3083,-22.3841,8.6084,0.0,29.163,32.2045,24.019,21.204,23.5829,-30.3709,-32.7932,25.1641,32.269,28.103],"intensity":[34.6154,80.7692,92.3077,100.0,84.6154,50.0,46.1538,82.6923,63.4615,51.9231,55.7692,67.3077,44.2308,55.7692,9.6154,32.6923,48.0769,38.4615,11.5385,13.4615,9.6154,36.5385,48.0769,17.3077,34.6154,7.6923,9.6154,46.1538,65.3846,1.9231,38.4615,23.0769,80.7692,50.0,96.1538,71.1538,73.0769,3.8462,63.4615,5.7692,38.4615,30.7692,15.3846,26.9231,32.6923,32.6923,9.6154,76.9231,48.0769,92.3077,59.6154,28.8462],"confirmation":[76.7101,90.0015,84.0727,94.5353,38.7924,7.9016,7.1302,80.779,79.1869,52.4507,81.3544,73.3024,81.9412,80.7768,52.6791,30.5553,83.6335,51.2645,78.2826,5.929,2.927,75.292,47.9981,79.3026,50.273,50.0036,26.8575,84.0404,81.2671,52.7847,88.1058,82.6809,58.5395,75.2981,90.706,35.819,25.7037,26.339,84.3952,49.8882,27.6247,0.6087,77.5363,74.7043,25.727,25.2746,74.3156,83.685,76.4783,81.4683,74.0595,37.1285],"persistence":[25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[13.6751,16.9214,25.5752,9.3159,51.2433,36.8903,30.4557,31.2687,31.2006,47.9345,25.2091,16.2256,8.7568,26.287,25.5068,23.8938,10.778,14.8782,15.9273,38.3161,25.9916,27.4624,33.4726,20.6271,35.7928,29.6392,19.4103,18.8957,28.6306,37.2148,19.0825,27.0013,16.3319,17.0669,16.0307,55.7123,30.0295,35.8576,24.8746,31.0473,29.2137,18.1862,24.4106,29.1798,24.5083,20.2407,7.9998,23.767,35.3319,4.4886,20.3404,48.5951],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":0.2,"control":12.9,"force":19.6,"direction":28.1,"confirmation":37.1,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":48.6,"intensity":28.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+0.2","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+12.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+19.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+28.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"37/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.6","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"11.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"14.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"64%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[2.29,2.29,2.3,2.5,2.68,3.43,4.22,3.63,3.34,3.16,3.0,2.73,2.43,2.37,2.55,2.4,2.72,3.13,2.9,2.87,2.72,2.88,3.05,3.23,3.37,3.75,3.73,3.18,3.34,3.38,3.0,2.8,2.44,2.27,2.235,2.38,2.84,3.7,3.23,3.05,2.85,2.77,2.83,2.57,2.51,2.61,2.61,3.09,2.8,2.63,2.65,2.77,2.92,3.39,3.58,4.77,4.16,4.06,3.94,3.48,3.29,3.6,3.28,3.24,2.97,2.84,2.86,3.05,2.76,2.73,2.7,2.81,2.86,2.79,2.8,2.68,2.68,2.68,2.76,2.51,2.38,2.4,2.16,2.095,2.52,2.42,3.14,2.79,2.74,2.75,2.46,2.5,2.59,2.65,2.75,2.79,2.77,2.78,2.84,2.51,2.48,2.87,2.96,2.83],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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