{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"UBSPX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"1435aa4e-4b96-42c7-a800-6d7f2761c617","symbol":"UBSPX","name":"UBS Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD acc","exchange":"MIL","country":"IT","asset_type":"etf","currency":"EUR","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":53,"displayedObservations":53,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Rollover warning","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","take":"The prior extension has started to roll over. Further price weakness would confirm the downside transition; a recovery in both readings would remove the warning.","tone":"negative","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.357132,-0.532035,-0.6554,-0.640638,-0.681167,-0.57391,-0.260224,0.04375,0.460105,0.808496,1.046582,1.243047,1.376566,1.349073,1.186311,1.036734,0.804477,0.852528,0.920011,1.02951,1.073553,0.782937,0.668754,0.396528,0.093338],"opens":[111.150002,110.480003,111.900002,107.769997,106.790001,110.169998,111.489998,115.970001,117.400002,118.93,120.68,122.050003,124.910004,124.959999,123.010002,126.059998,124.410004,126.199997,127.010002,125.730003,125.879997,126.419998,125.919998,129.600006,129.580002],"highs":[113.690002,112.5,112.730003,109.959999,109.529999,112.650002,115.489998,117.400002,118.260002,120.809998,123.489998,124.389999,125.589996,125.029999,123.980003,126.089996,124.589996,126.690002,127.660004,126.230003,127.010002,126.660004,130.139999,130.369995,129.679993],"lows":[111.150002,110.230003,109.080002,107.040001,106.790001,108.5,111.370003,115.57,117.239998,118.529999,120.650002,121.889999,124.330002,124.800003,123.010002,125.690002,123.400002,126.07,126.870003,125.720001,125.209999,123.440002,125.809998,129.350006,126.370003],"closes":[113.150002,111.730003,109.080002,107.029999,109.510002,112.080002,116.139999,117.360001,117.519997,120.769997,123.059998,124.330002,125.080002,125.029999,123.980003,125.959999,124.589996,126.360001,127.43,126.029999,126.160004,124.470001,129.479996,129.649994,126.860001],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"111.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"113.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"111.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"113.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"0.09","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Reversal danger","className":"is-negative","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[105.672799,131.007194],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":0.093338,"state":"Price is moving ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"easing","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Distribution rollover","detail":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Distribution rollover","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"24 Apr 2026","detail":"The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Lagging price","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-24","price":117.360001}],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":120.769997}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-08-21","price":126.860001}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[104.96,104.96,105.23,107.22,107.98,108.24,109.83,109.69,108.56,110.77,113.5,109.88,111.47,109.45,112.91,113.22,111.4,111.74,112.26,111.8,114.71,114.93,112.96,112.0,111.95,110.87,112.18,111.68,113.15,111.73,109.08,107.03,109.51,112.08,116.14,117.36,117.52,120.77,123.06,124.33,125.08,125.03,123.98,125.96,124.59,126.36,127.43,126.03,126.16,124.47,129.48,129.65,126.86],"consensus":[100.0,0.0,-69.832,100.0,80.7309,56.1105,66.0974,22.7432,0.0,71.6079,80.1127,-18.5333,46.6207,-33.1655,60.3428,53.7424,-21.4467,29.6728,30.1184,-17.5731,75.031,49.3066,-9.2879,-13.424,-9.4729,-41.1574,24.4144,-17.9963,36.068,-8.434,-58.7235,-68.9484,10.2312,37.7081,70.7342,60.7575,33.346,74.2533,73.5709,70.3967,54.6521,53.5661,41.2659,52.7553,27.5847,47.3071,52.3403,9.8482,32.2824,-25.3332,70.6168,32.1698,16.0618],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,48.256,63.5644,2.6097,0.0,63.3314,73.3016,-24.1725,31.7924,-30.0465,66.3995,50.9227,-22.9316,26.5022,48.3964,-11.889,79.2912,51.3918,-8.2603,-11.0585,-0.8002,-36.7126,28.5634,-19.2305,39.5828,-6.8927,-58.3082,-65.5774,26.3954,39.6749,69.2036,68.3139,24.704,82.487,76.083,75.8307,47.8194,57.4237,49.4479,57.5744,39.4751,47.227,55.4053,22.6589,30.3819,-18.7446,73.6875,25.7238,22.6712],"force":[0.0,-69.832,100.0,53.7547,21.0376,40.4269,28.2254,0.0,74.4087,84.1224,-84.2288,37.8364,-69.9229,81.2946,34.3031,-73.4546,25.2934,19.5521,-53.4871,94.4344,36.3207,-54.7957,-35.0362,-8.4523,-51.259,62.1272,-25.4233,48.139,-21.4434,-68.5626,-83.7731,58.2592,69.2613,96.0561,50.8671,9.4179,70.6606,72.8972,58.379,38.9925,21.3275,8.0343,31.5478,6.0276,35.997,31.2213,49.8656,15.5414,-68.4652,91.0141,8.1554,60.8421],"direction":[null,null,null,99.9995,90.1392,87.3284,82.1591,0.0,79.0662,85.0327,-34.8369,69.8418,-10.4747,38.4553,70.8503,-17.3987,36.4243,16.7768,-1.5836,56.3027,56.1992,-22.0434,-0.6901,-21.9427,-39.0217,7.2651,-11.2809,23.429,-0.9031,-52.1702,-62.212,42.5479,12.9224,54.3963,59.1862,60.3141,67.4096,71.1812,72.7704,73.6462,72.1849,55.6519,62.3959,38.0046,55.4771,63.9223,37.86,46.4123,-2.0545,52.5378,56.6899,23.4777],"intensity":[null,null,null,50.0,60.0,100.0,85.7143,87.5,77.7778,70.0,90.9091,33.3333,53.8462,85.7143,46.6667,37.5,17.6471,27.7778,10.5263,75.0,9.5238,68.1818,21.7391,20.8333,32.0,38.4615,33.3333,42.8571,41.3793,76.6667,77.4194,68.75,87.8788,97.0588,100.0,44.4444,83.7838,68.4211,28.2051,60.0,4.878,47.619,72.093,56.8182,68.8889,15.2174,34.0426,6.25,44.898,100.0,90.1961,80.7692],"confirmation":[0.0,45.0129,54.6667,69.934,85.0062,88.4074,12.0527,36.951,91.126,93.862,37.9454,82.8769,79.7807,87.8559,84.6481,34.8037,77.4101,77.0374,52.4757,92.5363,83.3506,31.7439,50.3237,48.6608,81.546,55.7819,73.9664,79.8561,25.7855,87.0977,90.5667,36.2349,80.9983,91.43,87.0258,78.0732,91.5261,91.4839,90.0779,85.1155,84.0999,80.0676,84.1619,54.2408,82.7948,84.0586,34.441,77.8491,54.8549,91.1722,77.6607,42.079],"persistence":[null,0.0,25.0,40.0,50.0,57.1429,62.5,50.0,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,9.598,21.9349,16.9509,38.4799,29.0538,13.4496,9.7615,14.8356,23.7945,15.5324,45.1081,20.1679,8.9493,26.2742,30.991,22.404,8.5465,21.2267,21.0083,11.8531,41.8302,28.7407,35.3218,3.5202,18.0621,33.5684,19.2398,15.3077,53.7508,8.4355,14.5444,19.6189,33.3052,12.8538,13.1126,14.7048,22.628,21.8735,1.3324,11.2518,28.9379,11.2713,22.8513,2.408,24.3665,29.5832,5.2625,32.3301,25.3166],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":16.1,"control":22.7,"force":60.8,"direction":23.5,"confirmation":42.1,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":25.3,"intensity":80.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+16.1","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+22.7","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+60.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+23.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"42/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"62.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.9%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"29.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"85%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[104.96,104.96,105.23,107.22,107.98,108.24,109.83,109.69,108.56,110.77,113.5,109.88,111.47,109.45,112.91,113.22,111.4,111.74,112.26,111.8,114.71,114.93,112.96,112.0,111.95,110.87,112.18,111.68,113.15,111.73,109.08,107.03,109.51,112.08,116.14,117.36,117.52,120.77,123.06,124.33,125.08,125.03,123.98,125.96,124.59,126.36,127.43,126.03,126.16,124.47,129.48,129.65,126.86],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,105.8782,106.3076,106.948,107.4466,107.649,108.2165,109.1771,109.3049,109.6986,109.6534,110.2455,110.7863,110.8979,111.051,111.2708,111.367,111.9748,112.5121,112.5936,112.4857,112.3883,112.1122,112.1245,112.0437,112.2449,112.1512,111.5928,110.7632,110.5354,110.8162,111.7842,112.798,113.6565,114.9499,116.4244,117.8618,119.1742,120.2389,120.9191,121.8356,122.3364,123.068,123.8611,124.2554,124.6017,124.5778,125.4691,126.2292,126.3439],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,107.6811,107.8121,108.1897,108.5624,108.7725,108.9924,109.2344,109.4244,109.816,110.1948,110.3996,110.5182,110.6242,110.6424,110.7563,110.8247,110.997,111.0513,110.9053,110.6182,110.5361,110.6505,111.0571,111.524,111.9681,112.6201,113.3935,114.2036,115.0092,115.7515,116.361,117.0721,117.6289,118.2757,118.9538,119.478,119.9729,120.306,120.9856,121.6274,122.015],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,111.7619,113.3297,113.3299,113.647,113.5409,114.1081,114.6183,114.6826,114.7777,114.9279,114.9868,115.4135,115.6974,115.4732,115.3363,115.2228,115.0429,115.0535,115.0051,114.8647,114.8474,114.877,115.345,115.3876,115.3681,115.977,116.7987,117.6312,119.1989,121.1172,123.0298,124.7483,126.2205,127.3584,128.7338,129.676,130.7348,131.8685,132.5649,133.2191,133.4303,133.8551,133.4711,132.5761],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,103.7261,103.2048,103.4734,103.6284,103.8505,103.8453,103.8655,104.055,104.2234,104.3637,104.5202,105.0685,105.7816,106.7788,107.3937,107.9042,108.3471,108.5715,108.8189,109.4183,109.5316,109.06,108.307,108.0684,108.3509,108.065,107.6573,107.4368,106.7721,105.9338,105.2742,104.5927,104.1305,104.0946,104.1152,104.437,104.9272,105.3185,106.0571,106.7039,107.7667,109.3819,112.0279,114.6579],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,272.0278,100.0091,79.4154,99.9367,103.275,68.0701,85.4832,167.0324,123.6564,136.5551,77.4182,40.8103,192.9884,231.4313,161.8488,143.6715,154.6089,176.6296,67.6919,174.5952,80.9105,49.5863,106.9597,56.3503,202.1659,102.1642,122.5057,136.7392,84.7821,96.3987,73.9023,119.9553,110.5968,189.2411,16.7357,12.7254,21.8223,24.0549,69.8926,25.9735,752.1237,416.646,90.8566,169.3435,35.873,53.2974],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative 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quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,7.4406,7.8605,8.5255,8.4532,8.0798,8.8406,9.6674,9.3913,10.3185,11.8059,13.4427,15.6259,18.2078,20.7699,23.3595,25.7642,26.8761,28.3805,28.5486,29.2143,30.0489,30.2341,30.6036,30.0652,30.4541,30.8678,29.918],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,30.0002,29.1184,27.7535,25.687,23.8983,24.1231,26.9475,29.3334,30.7385,26.2374,24.3514,25.1408,22.8351,21.2419,22.5606,22.2743,20.0959,17.7579,16.1402,14.7796,22.0809,27.4428,31.4357,33.0333,37.2576,41.891,41.4703,43.4768,43.0919,40.3191,44.3475,40.7533,44.7118,45.9869,43.3673,43.3652,38.8278,42.5609,41.939,37.8303],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative 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