{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"VCT Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"164a37c9-1ac3-4e81-b25a-2215fcae5a5a","symbol":"VCT","name":"Vicat S.A.","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Building Materials"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":20,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":11.9,"averageExpectedMove":13.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":19,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":68.4,"averageReturn":1.1,"medianReturn":1.6,"confidenceLow":46.0,"confidenceHigh":84.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":14,"expectedPercent":77.8,"averageReturn":8.6,"medianReturn":8.1,"confidenceLow":54.8,"confidenceHigh":91.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":26,"sample":18,"expectedCount":14,"expectedPercent":77.8,"averageReturn":20.4,"medianReturn":19.6,"confidenceLow":54.8,"confidenceHigh":91.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":20},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":20},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":19},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":19},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":19},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":8.6,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":10.7,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":11.7,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":11.9,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":11.7,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":13.5,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":16.1,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":16.6,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":18.2,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":17.8,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":17.5,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":18.1,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":18.6,"sample":18},{"week":26,"averageReturn":20.4,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":19.7,"averageExpectedMove":19.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-19.7,"medianReturn":-19.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-16.3,"medianReturn":-16.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-12.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-18.2,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-19.7,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-18.2,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-9.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-9.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-14.2,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-16.3,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-17.2,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.7,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-15.5,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-15.4,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-17.2,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-9.9,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.2,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-10.2,"sample":1},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":80.0,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":20},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 80.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 7.9% across 20 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 10.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 13.8% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-04","price":33.195656}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-02-27","price":68.903229}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-02-20","price":72.677422}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[29.3779,29.2848,27.8415,29.9832,31.4265,33.056,33.1957,33.9406,33.5216,31.9386,31.9852,33.9871,33.8009,34.313,33.3353,33.7543,33.4284,33.4284,34.1734,33.5681,33.3819,34.4993,37.2927,37.5255,39.5275,41.3898,43.1124,42.5538,45.8128,45.161,48.3269,47.582,44.4626,46.5577,48.3269,48.8856,48.9677,50.3226,54.4839,53.3226,55.4516,55.5484,53.4194,53.4194,55.8387,55.1613,61.9355,58.9355,57.7742,55.4516,56.8065,57.6774,58.9355,57.871,57.6774,58.0645,58.9355,59.129,57.5806,58.6452,59.9032,62.9032,62.9032,62.8065,64.9355,63.871,68.4194,68.2258,71.129,72.871,72.7742,73.2581,76.4516,74.9032,76.4516,75.6774,73.9355,70.0645,72.6774,68.9032,63.7742,59.4194,58.3548,59.4194,60.0,65.9032,65.5161,62.3226,60.0,63.0,60.8,61.8,63.3,60.2,62.7,67.5,66.4,67.2,61.4,61.5,60.2,65.5,66.7,65.3],"consensus":[0.0,-20.0944,-58.2358,39.3506,48.0927,64.1941,40.8101,60.0771,24.748,-28.5127,0.0,49.3035,11.7009,42.4518,0.0,28.1712,0.0,0.0,33.2491,-11.074,-9.9763,42.3108,69.8807,46.2354,75.9141,76.3452,69.5456,32.6059,76.972,30.2778,83.3835,20.7607,-18.956,51.4383,39.8974,45.8254,35.1655,55.2345,79.8005,17.313,63.3349,40.1405,-9.9048,22.3351,56.0456,0.0,79.4646,0.0,0.0,-16.7063,19.8077,17.1083,37.4863,0.0,11.9513,0.0,24.0721,20.7062,-16.5111,19.093,31.3841,61.1321,25.5891,19.653,47.9949,0.0,73.1883,33.4358,68.9571,59.7916,37.391,45.5417,77.6487,17.0339,54.958,12.5157,-10.8782,-46.8315,23.3325,-52.3079,-68.1506,-69.2533,-55.4638,-27.0949,-30.5903,38.0075,12.3785,-26.9721,-35.2917,8.7626,-41.6132,0.0,9.3128,-36.9494,15.6861,44.1593,12.5701,36.1022,-31.4557,-18.8425,-38.9485,32.1472,22.2696,4.4244],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[48.1234,0.0,13.8022,0.0,33.586,23.4623,-17.1446,21.3868,32.0976,63.2286,19.7611,11.6252,47.9707,0.0,75.6261,30.8273,67.0324,55.1608,34.805,45.1295,80.4523,15.3575,58.1032,2.117,-6.2068,-39.1128,30.6789,-44.8781,-68.3317,-69.834,-55.6177,-16.648,-26.2572,38.5652,10.1498,-33.8096,-38.8884,16.9303,-41.3796,0.0,1.8969,-43.1163,17.8088,48.2835,6.2102,36.7189,-38.4816,-12.7549,-38.3366,33.2681,12.5844,3.2689],"force":[30.6331,0.0,5.806,0.0,21.1648,13.8931,-34.6128,26.8056,43.5712,78.5703,4.1563,0.2347,44.0678,0.0,91.5748,5.8102,82.794,61.0283,8.3636,23.6081,90.2502,29.0813,47.1896,20.4307,-46.3856,-81.5932,55.9573,-80.6355,-78.704,-70.5803,-35.5532,-9.2941,-2.6172,71.963,15.8397,-35.2855,-33.2677,41.5922,-44.8903,0.0,21.5228,-31.7732,27.8219,39.636,4.9169,26.3111,-30.3355,-6.1956,-35.9393,64.6941,16.4071,12.2784],"direction":[30.2248,0.0,14.2255,0.0,15.2756,22.4227,-2.8575,10.9625,21.8635,46.2804,47.5587,42.6978,50.8278,0.0,57.2691,56.1496,61.2731,64.2006,61.0803,61.6798,65.4435,51.8893,56.9122,47.933,-9.1455,-30.8232,8.3669,-40.5652,-60.4056,-67.6418,-69.5099,-65.0263,-55.5233,13.1161,12.4534,-13.2198,-32.6268,24.0215,-39.5393,0.0,9.0668,-33.5989,4.5919,42.6768,32.3292,42.3911,-24.2263,-34.8333,-41.7972,7.6185,37.5259,25.1474],"intensity":[32.6923,21.1538,38.4615,63.4615,28.8462,5.7692,40.3846,21.1538,36.5385,75.0,80.7692,69.2308,55.7692,19.2308,94.2308,63.4615,69.2308,73.0769,7.6923,5.7692,76.9231,28.8462,30.7692,76.9231,73.0769,88.4615,94.2308,88.4615,96.1538,88.4615,75.0,30.7692,48.0769,94.2308,76.9231,69.2308,53.8462,61.5385,42.3077,32.6923,84.6154,86.5385,51.9231,94.2308,13.4615,7.6923,94.2308,9.6154,25.0,100.0,90.3846,57.6923],"confirmation":[79.6247,4.5067,48.9423,47.6448,75.4695,74.3763,51.1589,74.3098,78.4034,88.0618,52.9575,51.1528,83.2391,6.7516,91.9435,55.2306,90.5173,87.2416,79.1199,81.9112,93.1889,32.9417,85.3019,7.518,6.5854,84.1631,32.8003,85.7151,90.1271,90.1927,85.1393,32.37,54.3358,81.1887,72.1006,76.7803,79.1768,31.4714,81.4197,28.3063,48.7986,79.5721,50.6904,81.9303,27.302,79.2449,77.9246,51.0703,80.3811,56.5953,75.0952,12.3408],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[3.2379,35.5331,11.1427,4.228,12.036,14.7438,6.1697,10.34,18.0792,19.0586,37.1984,40.1207,25.9818,29.3433,13.3086,33.1723,15.4592,20.1018,30.7086,27.0829,11.0306,31.9542,21.111,37.5603,37.9065,25.2753,58.2017,23.5974,15.8782,15.3389,22.2667,36.3823,29.4113,29.6475,42.9532,50.8346,17.6458,40.2736,24.5423,10.5726,35.6977,20.0277,23.6645,26.2536,33.632,31.238,5.6126,39.1094,29.439,41.5473,36.2076,41.0103],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":4.4,"control":3.3,"force":12.3,"direction":25.1,"confirmation":12.3,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":41.0,"intensity":57.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+4.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+3.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+12.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+25.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM 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