{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"URSP Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"16f83c6f-5423-4741-ae1d-687de8155d3f","symbol":"URSP","name":"PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT","exchange":"NYSEARCA","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently point in the same direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical 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Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Extended but supported","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Supported","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level 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2.3743,47.2558,24.617,21.3882,43.6733,33.7174,28.821,23.8844,13.5694,21.9375,30.1746,19.9047,36.4363,17.2006,20.5334,30.406,39.6311,3.4031,19.4255,17.8895,18.3494,36.958],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":26.0,"control":23.9,"force":12.0,"direction":55.5,"confirmation":40.4,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":37.0,"intensity":19.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+26.0","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+23.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+12.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+55.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"40/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"71.1","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.1%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"30.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"94%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[39.8618,39.754,39.9265,40.0114,39.9992,41.104,38.4203,39.5775,40.8933,39.4817,39.1893,39.0474,37.9045,40.717,40.7941,41.4226,41.1444,41.8049,41.2508,43.3602,43.8787,43.7391,43.3001,45.1349,45.2845,45.773,46.2017,43.091,41.0771,39.6613,39.07,41.06,42.3862,45.15,44.4657,44.765,45.2323,44.0585,46.2186,47.1263,46.7256,48.2978,47.5993,49.06,49.96,49.65,49.2,49.21,49.8335,52.0504,53.2448,52.7],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,39.9062,40.124,39.8142,39.7712,39.9752,39.8855,39.7589,39.6295,39.3159,39.5706,39.7931,40.0894,40.2812,40.5582,40.6841,41.1707,41.6631,42.0405,42.2695,42.7905,43.244,43.7038,44.158,43.964,43.4391,42.7522,42.0827,41.8968,41.9858,42.5611,42.9074,43.2451,43.6064,43.6886,44.1486,44.69,45.0601,45.6488,46.0034,46.5592,47.1775,47.627,47.913,48.1488,48.4551,49.1088,49.8608,50.377],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,39.634,39.7142,39.7942,39.9148,40.0059,40.1392,40.2215,40.454,40.7077,40.9322,41.1076,41.4059,41.6932,41.9955,42.307,42.3651,42.2697,42.0765,41.8538,41.795,41.8388,42.084,42.2605,42.446,42.6524,42.7565,43.013,43.3177,43.5701,43.9203,44.1928,44.5534,44.9538,45.3017,45.5905,45.8586,46.153,46.5899,47.0828,47.4989],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,41.3102,41.2411,41.1848,41.3116,41.4223,41.5232,41.7487,41.8622,42.0957,42.1743,42.7322,43.38,43.8833,44.2256,44.9352,45.5687,46.2156,46.7739,46.8382,46.838,46.8268,46.8366,46.7447,46.4911,46.7823,46.9311,47.1144,47.32,47.3868,47.688,48.1473,48.4703,49.0738,49.4857,50.0671,50.7759,51.3212,51.7131,52.1684,52.537,53.0083,53.3773,53.6963],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,38.4958,38.435,38.3596,37.9454,37.9902,38.0344,38.0144,38.0495,38.0214,38.0683,37.8343,37.5882,37.4834,37.4785,37.2813,37.1762,36.9963,37.2161,37.5031,37.5217,37.5508,37.5292,37.8223,38.5241,38.6762,38.8946,39.0455,39.2486,39.4073,39.6028,39.5201,39.4817,39.3342,39.3521,39.1632,38.922,38.7644,38.6723,38.8289,39.336,40.1036,41.1521,41.9971],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,101.6078,37.4858,39.4312,54.8405,34.7182,457.314,23.3736,222.8601,181.6319,231.0958,66.1226,75.8168,131.82,99.459,396.3546,57.1373,374.201,362.0989,199.0801,190.179,183.7088,269.35,83.5651,121.2611,44.6957,40.0301,34.5257,20.8606,255.6239,138.909,31.1991,29.0237,17.3306,19.0442,68.6145,32.5831,280.6872,388.8765,156.38,152.6998,108.8823,195.568,297.1293,84.5476,164.602],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,37.071,79.2232,34.0019,24.8508,20.3175,25.3061,83.0612,84.6449,83.4206,78.534,90.1332,80.4022,97.8128,93.2899,89.5177,83.957,100.0,86.8753,91.8034,96.128,64.7494,44.4338,30.1526,24.1879,44.2616,57.6394,85.5188,78.6158,81.635,86.3485,74.5083,95.6121,97.048,86.0308,98.6116,82.0397,94.7416,97.1746,91.7705,88.0298,88.113,86.0697,93.4009,99.32,94.1845],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}