{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"STGN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"190d7ada-fe5e-4848-98cf-c038838b316c","symbol":"STGN","name":"StarragTornos Group AG","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CHF","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Specialty Industrial Machinery"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":22,"completedEpisodes":22,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":7.2,"averageExpectedMove":8.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":22,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":54.5,"averageReturn":1.9,"medianReturn":1.9,"confidenceLow":34.7,"confidenceHigh":73.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":22,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":59.1,"averageReturn":0.4,"medianReturn":0.6,"confidenceLow":38.7,"confidenceHigh":76.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":19,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":57.9,"averageReturn":0.3,"medianReturn":1.0,"confidenceLow":36.3,"confidenceHigh":76.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":22},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":22},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":22},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":22},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":22},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":22},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":22},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":22},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":22},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":22},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":22},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":22},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":22},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":22},{"week":15,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":21},{"week":16,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":21},{"week":17,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":21},{"week":18,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":21},{"week":19,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":21},{"week":20,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":21},{"week":21,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":20},{"week":23,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":19},{"week":24,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":19},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":19},{"week":26,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":19}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":59.1,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":22},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 59.1% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.4% across 22 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 20.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.4 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 8.3% across 22 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-07-25","price":35.332554},{"date":"2026-02-06","price":30.964518},{"date":"2026-03-20","price":32.614662}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[42.8744,44.0076,42.3077,42.6855,41.3634,42.3077,40.419,39.2857,40.2301,38.7191,36.4526,38.1525,36.4526,34.1862,35.6971,35.3194,34.5639,33.8084,35.886,35.6971,36.8304,38.7191,37.9636,36.8304,35.3194,34.7528,34.9417,36.4526,35.886,35.1305,37.397,36.8304,33.8084,34.2806,33.9028,37.2739,35.3326,34.2648,34.7501,34.6531,34.3619,33.9736,33.0029,30.3821,33.0029,32.1293,31.5469,34.7501,35.3326,33.1971,32.7117,31.5469,31.7411,31.644,30.0909,30.0909,30.9645,29.9938,31.0616,30.4792,30.5762,30.4792,30.5762,28.5378,29.4114,30.0909,28.3437,28.3437,28.6349,29.3144,28.1496,28.829,30.0909,29.6056,29.0232,29.5085,30.9645,32.5176,32.2264,33.1971,31.5469,30.6733,32.6147,32.0323,32.0323,33.5853,34.7501,34.0,32.9,32.5,32.5,32.6,32.0,33.5,32.2,32.3,32.6,32.9,32.3,33.6,34.1,34.2,37.5,35.5],"consensus":[-51.5638,0.0,-60.3523,-31.7529,-56.6457,0.0,-59.3225,-55.1607,0.0,-54.0121,-70.6194,0.0,-67.6672,-66.8375,0.0,-40.8447,-37.5229,-47.5396,0.0,0.0,29.4476,43.8244,0.0,-13.9067,-41.7439,-33.8752,-31.2989,27.1465,0.0,-17.1282,48.5646,0.0,-53.5661,0.0,-27.9016,41.6599,-16.1981,-26.2948,0.0,-9.0223,-25.3272,-18.2448,-32.3853,-65.883,21.3639,-38.7625,-39.7555,55.2552,27.1264,-31.568,-9.8508,-41.613,-25.8784,-19.2335,-60.8009,-30.4726,0.0,-45.0688,14.3143,-18.3432,0.0,0.0,0.0,-56.3332,0.0,0.0,-55.1366,-29.9496,-9.287,8.9042,-39.0186,14.5879,37.5831,0.0,0.0,14.0408,53.8216,62.0449,26.536,62.8925,-20.3497,-24.6608,35.4217,0.0,0.0,62.7303,63.5911,22.6715,0.0,-8.0449,0.0,0.0,-22.9447,30.2902,-20.252,-14.1312,0.0,14.9158,0.0,47.0887,34.2683,20.8894,76.9401,7.0717],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-23.9685,-15.9324,-61.9872,-33.0126,0.0,-52.4421,11.7222,-24.7256,0.0,0.0,0.0,-55.0824,0.0,0.0,-57.2082,-40.7926,-6.5184,17.2442,-53.6282,20.4299,33.6138,0.0,0.0,7.3085,51.4147,55.8832,19.7677,62.6154,-27.6133,-24.7925,27.4615,0.0,0.0,63.7956,65.9848,21.0527,0.0,-3.6343,0.0,0.0,-25.0484,33.3205,-24.6712,-20.7145,0.0,26.8865,0.0,48.3818,28.3788,14.7018,76.2461,14.6546],"force":[-13.473,-9.7702,-78.5778,-12.1099,0.0,-40.7054,39.4465,-16.962,0.0,0.0,0.0,-73.8138,0.0,0.0,-67.9839,-15.9943,-10.8615,27.7163,-37.2675,31.5468,57.936,0.0,0.0,27.1924,81.3677,77.3985,3.9574,64.9265,-76.1026,-39.9922,50.3602,0.0,0.0,75.0071,69.0273,10.7746,0.0,-16.6814,0.0,0.0,-26.9114,28.9371,-27.6271,-11.635,0.0,17.9136,0.0,65.9478,38.3226,8.3947,97.7106,68.3526],"direction":[-36.9223,-29.7656,-46.7475,-40.6858,0.0,-39.7587,0.6749,-12.0357,0.0,0.0,0.0,-45.2764,0.0,0.0,-43.5925,-27.5258,-26.8427,14.0645,-23.5726,4.2023,27.5818,0.0,0.0,12.3409,36.8964,58.12,56.0522,61.7563,-27.7749,-13.5593,33.8488,0.0,0.0,52.7435,56.9724,48.4117,0.0,-6.9167,0.0,0.0,-17.7072,27.7936,-9.9336,-8.3905,0.0,0.9064,0.0,32.1402,38.1034,36.8858,62.897,45.3664]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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+7.1","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+14.7","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+68.4","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+45.4","detail":"Upward 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