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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":20.3,"averageExpectedMove":20.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-13.6,"medianReturn":-13.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-9.8,"medianReturn":-9.8,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-18.1,"medianReturn":-18.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-17.6,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-18.4,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-20.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-16.9,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-14.3,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-15.2,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-16.6,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.5,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-16.7,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-18.5,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.1,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-10.6,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-12.7,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-18.1,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":42.1,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 42.1% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 4.6% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 13.8% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-09","price":375.337191}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-10-10","price":403.71917}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-09-19","price":490.114103}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[350.2924,339.9323,329.723,342.2513,361.0862,362.9338,348.0583,346.7574,363.6597,349.9531,362.6322,386.9346,374.2644,388.1735,396.5093,385.9596,392.3703,383.7264,381.3681,374.1297,360.2976,377.7104,377.0366,375.0056,363.2238,364.6177,326.535,324.2724,312.9498,302.4908,308.2896,303.9285,312.9402,321.923,331.8706,350.7045,347.5687,375.3372,410.8717,403.3768,410.833,418.028,415.8618,429.6619,362.6049,362.0537,357.6438,362.9724,370.5833,358.5335,374.1615,416.8728,435.028,449.6065,464.941,473.9459,490.1141,487.0705,496.6279,403.7192,423.2411,399.7304,390.7982,407.199,420.0009,415.5139,408.9177,423.9507,442.277,405.0375,408.1416,399.5456,425.7913,438.0585,450.6342,448.3957,450.3755,454.4541,460.9553,454.9227,428.1004,448.2122,401.6271,416.3444,429.1873,442.8178,388.3256,397.8929,372.1524,372.3219,351.18,364.86,378.57,377.59,400.62,400.34,418.19,424.29,384.3057,386.9579,331.5415,332.5186,367.0367,351.01],"consensus":[0.0,-25.6418,-36.4304,13.9907,46.0063,27.1664,-10.0397,0.0,35.4769,-26.179,37.196,60.7383,0.0,46.6588,24.1176,0.0,28.489,0.0,0.0,-21.0838,-46.5002,26.823,0.0,0.0,-30.0205,-14.4193,-71.7675,-43.4354,-55.7112,-52.1454,-21.3349,-45.7677,0.0,15.7618,21.9345,54.1853,15.1036,67.2784,73.4671,24.8733,53.86,58.2866,29.1636,55.2587,-55.4929,-25.4348,-25.7403,-13.3045,13.2891,-34.5254,21.3753,68.8989,62.4766,61.8506,57.0862,44.6277,58.9685,37.8624,47.488,-60.4541,0.0,-50.8615,-36.7948,0.0,10.2871,0.0,-14.6525,22.9469,37.1008,-43.3702,0.0,-29.5045,26.3682,29.1995,33.6897,17.1523,20.4712,27.0324,21.3365,9.2601,-34.8441,19.5496,-53.5367,-8.3308,0.0,15.5368,-46.3925,-9.5525,-48.8008,-26.2439,-46.4143,0.0,0.0,0.0,31.5386,0.0,33.4571,31.9883,-35.4246,0.0,-65.9123,-35.596,16.2766,-37.9475],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[63.0014,65.7279,56.9861,37.5126,55.7016,35.9675,45.3046,-54.2199,0.0,-50.8585,-30.3966,0.0,15.636,0.0,-22.7898,20.725,38.2672,-42.0511,0.0,-28.8811,31.469,24.691,23.5815,9.9628,16.9998,30.1408,21.2246,9.4061,-32.0734,21.5712,-53.0046,-1.2006,0.0,19.1626,-45.104,-5.1331,-50.4794,-18.828,-48.3994,0.0,0.0,0.0,29.3207,0.0,29.3791,29.908,-37.833,0.0,-66.5731,-33.9054,25.1714,-34.9607],"force":[67.3763,54.5788,46.117,28.6722,54.4271,7.397,32.9202,-94.1821,0.0,-56.5561,-27.7936,0.0,27.9448,0.0,-15.0263,45.74,49.7184,-74.1406,0.0,-26.8158,59.9852,36.3501,45.2828,2.9253,14.2242,22.3262,15.1689,2.1136,-61.6084,38.5176,-70.3706,-9.3661,0.0,26.182,-66.9422,-9.7236,-47.0354,-7.1619,-38.2288,0.0,0.0,0.0,48.3631,0.0,39.4105,26.5434,-54.6648,0.0,-82.393,-14.2489,52.8348,-46.4859],"direction":[58.377,62.6136,65.0357,64.1561,65.9459,61.789,60.3888,-43.4876,0.0,-46.7973,-50.5364,0.0,8.4386,0.0,-5.0857,9.2055,26.7551,-22.8988,0.0,-32.1375,3.4733,29.2446,36.9611,35.531,28.9006,26.8416,25.8699,17.2173,-18.8931,3.6905,-42.1207,-29.1203,0.0,3.7892,-33.1868,-28.3719,-48.1432,-48.3492,-49.9924,0.0,0.0,0.0,22.0559,0.0,33.8654,38.2552,-18.9291,0.0,-53.3851,-52.7759,20.002,-35.262],"intensity":[92.3077,73.0769,82.6923,78.8462,73.0769,15.3846,63.4615,100.0,94.2308,71.1538,76.9231,53.8462,75.0,25.0,36.5385,50.0,63.4615,84.6154,82.6923,17.3077,76.9231,57.6923,78.8462,61.5385,65.3846,21.1538,65.3846,59.6154,78.8462,55.7692,92.3077,55.7692,34.6154,50.0,94.2308,53.8462,65.3846,53.8462,55.7692,25.0,76.9231,1.9231,53.8462,80.7692,59.6154,7.6923,90.3846,46.1538,96.1538,86.5385,78.8462,19.2308],"confirmation":[88.1338,87.5115,85.9348,81.903,86.7813,56.5497,82.7854,88.4682,6.6443,84.4493,79.5975,29.3469,28.2154,0.7007,49.9095,76.0715,80.239,82.8363,25.3279,77.369,55.4589,77.6305,79.2881,50.498,74.4133,76.4596,74.6414,48.3986,80.008,52.1365,85.6529,4.2333,48.5084,50.5743,83.4915,4.6111,83.5369,53.2628,82.5729,7.257,3.5594,47.8794,78.6389,25.2255,78.9499,78.102,79.8855,24.8659,89.5841,78.7659,33.1209,88.4489],"persistence":[0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[18.3177,19.0241,21.4016,26.8018,19.4598,30.7307,25.5397,18.8021,47.9131,24.1773,31.4834,1.955,10.6171,25.1158,35.29,14.819,13.6848,4.8578,2.3348,19.0654,49.4285,33.1529,32.6331,41.2119,35.7428,26.0389,18.9548,15.7093,26.0863,27.4888,23.0646,44.149,0.3835,22.2551,2.8365,28.5933,24.8109,36.6273,22.6329,40.4293,12.6729,14.4517,32.566,43.7008,31.016,32.8999,12.9776,29.7969,16.9952,32.1786,38.8388,26.3544],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-37.9,"control":-35.0,"force":-46.5,"direction":-35.3,"confirmation":88.4,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":26.4,"intensity":19.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-37.9","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-35.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-46.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction 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trend references are aligned 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