{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"FRAN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"1a2752c0-0a62-4239-9e32-9885a9b98d94","symbol":"FRAN","name":"Franchise Brands plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Specialty Business Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":14,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":4.7,"averageExpectedMove":10.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":43.8,"averageReturn":-2.7,"medianReturn":-1.8,"confidenceLow":23.1,"confidenceHigh":66.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":14,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":28.6,"averageReturn":-0.0,"medianReturn":-6.7,"confidenceLow":11.7,"confidenceHigh":54.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":42.9,"averageReturn":-0.7,"medianReturn":-2.3,"confidenceLow":21.4,"confidenceHigh":67.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":14},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":14},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":14},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":14},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":14},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.7% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-12-05","price":140.98645},{"date":"2026-05-08","price":147.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[181.9378,185.9364,169.9419,163.9439,160.4451,151.948,145.9611,150.9597,156.9581,160.4572,167.4553,174.4535,167.9552,167.9552,164.956,152.9592,158.9576,155.9584,153.9589,157.458,153.9589,135.9637,138.4631,139.9627,146.4609,154.9587,147.4607,145.9611,141.9621,145.4612,137.4633,149.96,137.9632,133.9643,130.9651,139.4628,145.9611,147.4738,155.9723,143.9744,151.973,154.9725,147.9737,148.4736,148.9735,152.9728,153.9726,144.7243,140.975,129.9769,139.4752,137.4756,134.4761,134.4761,137.9755,137.9867,136.9868,131.9873,130.9874,120.4884,120.4884,112.9891,126.4878,127.9877,127.4877,126.9878,136.9868,140.9864,146.9859,140.9864,138.9866,137.9867,136.9868,136.4869,133.4872,126.4878,131.4874,132.2373,129.9875,128.7376,129.9875,125.9879,116.9888,118.9886,118.9886,124.988,124.988,130.9874,141.9864,147.0,151.0,142.0,146.0,149.0,147.75,144.5,143.5,141.5,142.0,142.0,144.0,151.5,148.5,151.0],"consensus":[0.0,30.5897,-47.5362,-47.2896,-46.8023,-59.5068,-56.5824,-8.2757,0.0,12.2184,39.6312,46.6796,0.0,11.9382,-12.7495,-53.6555,0.0,-25.3462,-31.6388,0.0,-24.4061,-67.9171,-22.7454,-17.8527,0.0,45.3843,-28.2007,-15.7052,-37.7519,0.0,-48.3072,44.657,-43.0656,-37.0896,-29.5055,0.0,32.6201,24.5537,56.9006,-28.0776,46.5051,35.0112,-27.1455,0.0,0.0,29.0877,19.1092,-31.3527,-28.2934,-59.4347,14.2282,-22.2464,-35.4235,-16.9183,0.0,0.0,-11.5826,-36.4637,-19.9667,-58.6249,-32.0596,-52.2871,24.2072,11.999,0.0,0.0,53.8916,39.3552,62.1681,0.0,12.9743,0.0,0.0,0.0,-12.9136,-48.5087,0.0,0.0,-17.0271,-20.0846,0.0,-43.5843,-58.6365,-10.0859,-33.881,14.7826,8.6661,44.1686,69.3616,66.25,53.2581,0.0,34.8594,45.4573,15.1392,0.0,15.5097,0.0,11.0935,12.4258,17.8774,59.9794,19.2705,37.2395],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-39.8585,-27.7587,0.0,0.0,-17.4211,-43.0653,-15.3868,-56.3943,-27.6593,-49.3255,29.5262,11.224,0.0,0.0,52.5785,36.825,63.1542,0.0,13.6744,0.0,0.0,0.0,-6.5714,-49.9175,0.0,0.0,-16.3563,-27.3097,0.0,-39.9976,-57.5839,-1.4971,-33.1488,24.796,4.9593,41.4691,69.929,61.6565,45.2684,0.0,35.3637,57.4653,19.9683,0.0,26.2975,0.0,24.6094,22.7363,19.3508,61.3394,17.204,30.3653],"force":[-32.9171,-5.3996,0.0,0.0,-11.4054,-41.2607,-10.6775,-69.9977,-11.961,-49.8786,77.3413,22.5353,0.0,0.0,78.774,34.0266,68.8557,0.0,0.5693,0.0,0.0,0.0,-18.8013,-57.838,0.0,0.0,-14.4886,-22.7051,0.0,-61.6187,-66.5623,-21.3786,-19.8752,33.529,14.9347,63.195,86.6067,81.1472,51.9084,0.0,23.7102,32.2943,6.7972,0.0,7.1685,0.0,15.0079,16.4303,23.1544,74.2294,1.2885,41.7482],"direction":[-32.1452,-12.7569,0.0,0.0,-5.0365,-25.4927,-31.8359,-53.0506,-51.4447,-57.3923,19.8245,5.3588,0.0,0.0,37.6193,46.0531,56.2643,0.0,21.8481,0.0,0.0,0.0,-15.9565,-40.2348,0.0,0.0,-19.6068,-9.9555,0.0,-34.8017,-54.1781,-45.7982,-44.7218,10.0516,8.425,33.6635,56.3953,60.8589,63.3534,0.0,42.2468,41.1361,25.289,0.0,9.1389,0.0,7.1493,2.218,12.4243,48.2465,34.4765,41.8752],"intensity":[7.6923,1.9231,15.3846,3.8462,3.8462,34.6154,75.0,82.6923,50.0,80.7692,92.3077,80.7692,7.6923,7.6923,76.9231,61.5385,38.4615,38.4615,40.3846,7.6923,5.7692,11.5385,34.6154,53.8462,34.6154,19.2308,25.0,13.4615,17.3077,28.8462,84.6154,88.4615,96.1538,48.0769,21.1538,48.0769,90.3846,44.2308,88.4615,75.0,32.6923,26.9231,32.6923,28.8462,40.3846,17.3077,30.7692,1.9231,63.4615,71.1538,34.6154,46.1538],"confirmation":[79.1916,50.2309,3.0196,1.7322,48.9454,79.714,74.176,87.1406,77.7136,84.7036,36.1805,49.5059,1.4106,2.9999,86.0237,80.4698,88.0826,8.0927,49.1831,24.6839,25.5586,1.1126,49.7418,83.7856,29.8917,24.7038,73.3815,74.3968,27.5928,82.5513,87.0213,7.3252,78.4262,29.9602,48.354,82.7549,90.7126,89.724,85.1232,34.879,78.8075,81.9622,50.8858,6.4189,49.8779,47.9295,50.3218,49.7477,73.8591,87.607,50.9834,88.1588],"persistence":[25.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[22.2587,42.6685,13.4336,7.9168,28.423,3.882,34.216,20.524,33.809,23.7761,43.3408,37.8653,41.6601,50.744,19.8854,28.8718,18.7012,45.4205,8.5396,22.056,43.5876,32.0613,32.6555,25.1933,45.0974,32.9295,23.2807,37.108,22.8327,26.7058,20.6335,44.5444,32.8471,19.3662,43.6868,27.4732,15.3112,16.863,23.3683,50.6213,13.2313,5.701,34.1793,23.5721,31.4248,41.744,47.2069,30.1401,3.5387,19.261,36.6194,30.3871],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":37.2,"control":30.4,"force":41.7,"direction":41.9,"confirmation":88.2,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":30.4,"intensity":46.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+37.2","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+30.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+41.7","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+41.9","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"88/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"61.3","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"87%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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