{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CASTROLIND Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"1a8d4d6e-02af-418f-9d38-1eb334340258","symbol":"CASTROLIND","name":"Castrol India Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Energy","industry":"Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":17,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":8.1,"averageExpectedMove":12.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":17,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":64.7,"averageReturn":2.2,"medianReturn":0.7,"confidenceLow":41.3,"confidenceHigh":82.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":62.5,"averageReturn":5.7,"medianReturn":1.7,"confidenceLow":38.6,"confidenceHigh":81.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":13.1,"medianReturn":4.9,"confidenceLow":26.8,"confidenceHigh":73.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":17},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":9.8,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":15},{"week":22,"averageReturn":11.3,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":13.5,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":14.1,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":12.9,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":13.1,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Support weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"Treat the weaker support as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 8.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.6% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-09-20","price":229.427597}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[244.3374,242.9152,242.2271,237.5936,229.4276,224.1059,209.6274,209.031,203.902,187.6618,196.5159,189.7537,174.7063,182.2942,184.1752,204.0304,193.5798,184.0926,179.5049,185.4872,174.5595,169.6232,160.4663,162.7509,192.4971,180.3858,197.6536,195.0937,220.8212,212.0221,207.9028,194.0312,194.3371,190.5609,193.2281,194.0503,191.3352,191.0484,202.0043,199.0024,206.7078,207.3101,202.3962,198.1611,207.4726,211.1437,210.2164,211.7555,212.463,208.8015,203.6582,199.5273,200.4604,191.7028,192.2277,191.8098,196.9321,190.1963,196.9709,194.8909,193.3844,193.8995,189.5451,185.7446,187.1054,183.7229,186.8624,185.871,178.8242,177.6967,188.0579,186.1334,183.3633,180.0877,178.5326,178.9894,180.0391,180.01,182.4788,181.6721,181.5846,181.0014,182.09,175.08,177.92,179.42,182.27,182.79,184.82,184.88,181.44,182.08,183.22,183.52,182.68,185.8,185.37,184.37,177.8999,178.4902,178.8192,179.3417,185.8736,186.82],"consensus":[48.9888,12.4556,13.6146,8.2323,-16.2065,-26.6836,-50.0794,-24.3365,-38.0617,-62.3064,0.0,-45.2547,-63.7522,0.0,-20.1284,44.0805,-20.4966,-35.4156,-38.0748,0.0,-52.9296,-31.6571,-57.0201,-18.4489,52.6523,-26.4242,56.5822,11.2924,65.8398,0.0,0.0,-26.4501,0.0,-9.4332,-9.7026,0.0,-12.9944,0.0,35.2493,0.0,40.8639,17.3715,0.0,-11.3884,33.2526,21.0051,12.614,16.3351,13.4579,0.0,-21.2188,-32.8813,-21.1319,-48.8371,-28.2576,-27.9107,0.0,-38.9231,23.0245,-13.373,-20.8208,0.0,-41.7998,-39.3837,-15.0435,-42.9331,0.0,-19.8471,-56.8389,-31.3848,31.614,-10.1529,-20.5193,-33.3565,-31.467,-19.2849,0.0,-17.0119,14.1467,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.3107,-51.1126,0.0,0.0,23.3487,15.3646,35.5236,13.6377,-22.206,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,41.0773,14.7377,0.0,-41.514,-18.8292,-21.8052,-10.4074,55.63,27.7819],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-20.465,-50.8484,-28.086,-28.7947,0.0,-47.0853,27.6231,-20.3726,-21.3534,0.0,-45.618,-37.5771,-10.4332,-44.6675,0.0,-25.2662,-59.6323,-29.7741,29.9139,-7.5312,-28.773,-46.0307,-25.8656,-15.5483,0.0,-24.1954,10.4249,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.9146,-43.0066,0.0,0.0,27.64,6.9732,35.0494,4.5312,-28.7608,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,48.383,11.6598,0.0,-45.6523,-12.2218,-16.6148,-1.2672,45.9884,14.7592],"force":[-15.5683,-51.5626,-11.974,-14.502,0.0,-42.3565,45.0357,-13.5086,-21.2403,0.0,-46.2089,-37.9677,-4.9827,-37.6483,0.0,-12.149,-65.0354,-13.4208,73.7817,-22.5428,-31.3484,-37.8834,-29.1069,-4.2643,0.0,-11.5933,27.7046,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.9935,-80.8296,0.0,0.0,35.4088,11.3625,36.0344,1.0868,-40.1323,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,38.3593,1.6832,0.0,-35.9105,-1.9612,-8.5278,-4.3101,87.9551,22.4728],"direction":[-25.8681,-44.5915,-40.085,-36.4781,0.0,-27.1424,2.0467,-5.2765,-19.9125,0.0,-34.2869,-42.4598,-34.6169,-44.7256,0.0,-19.1525,-47.7919,-46.0571,3.4371,-4.2991,-3.3516,-15.6383,-39.5543,-34.2843,0.0,-12.6727,8.716,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.2757,-39.1502,0.0,0.0,9.8301,27.8135,35.7007,33.0099,-1.9103,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,34.6692,27.58,0.0,-40.7869,-41.2306,-37.2209,-31.3657,43.5597,46.4573],"intensity":[1.9231,46.1538,38.4615,1.9231,50.0,32.6923,36.5385,13.4615,9.6154,25.0,19.2308,34.6154,7.6923,13.4615,11.5385,7.6923,50.0,57.6923,94.2308,53.8462,11.5385,38.4615,28.8462,5.7692,19.2308,15.3846,11.5385,5.7692,13.4615,3.8462,13.4615,86.5385,51.9231,40.3846,25.0,51.9231,19.2308,26.9231,42.3077,17.3077,23.0769,13.4615,25.0,40.3846,13.4615,7.6923,84.6154,1.9231,55.7692,44.2308,94.2308,80.7692],"confirmation":[74.6028,83.6803,76.5488,76.5093,5.0324,80.4356,53.3019,49.5102,74.6673,24.585,81.4521,80.5872,50.6702,81.5511,5.2289,74.0339,86.3957,77.5202,56.7608,26.3331,52.1038,78.6189,78.0829,51.1037,4.2716,73.1692,72.9969,25.4155,24.5486,0.5473,48.6596,85.3852,29.5564,2.9046,75.7737,50.2559,79.3903,26.787,52.8857,1.6349,1.4127,48.3649,23.9713,80.9506,49.6985,27.2388,81.0506,51.2441,74.6521,26.6072,86.9337,76.9269],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[38.9536,25.5312,35.2531,33.2051,34.1821,1.1814,28.5533,37.3693,23.7992,38.5422,26.1208,29.0543,37.7959,27.7753,29.9068,11.6255,19.8496,30.5962,2.9429,8.2811,50.3674,42.6389,33.2794,37.5095,30.7285,7.5209,31.0849,33.4614,16.4836,14.3921,10.5521,24.0999,47.0809,28.9681,8.0348,42.1477,31.8725,42.0214,4.0154,15.9334,29.8141,21.6452,20.1408,23.4663,34.9347,25.0412,27.1937,40.3958,38.7386,43.6742,21.7662,35.8825],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":27.8,"control":14.8,"force":22.5,"direction":46.5,"confirmation":76.9,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":35.9,"intensity":80.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+27.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+14.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+22.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+46.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"77/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"57.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"2.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"10.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"82%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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