{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"RONS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"1b0ff610-acfd-4689-b127-a475d41fc4e0","symbol":"RONS","name":"Invesco Markets plc - Invesco EUR Overnight Return Swap UCITS ETF EUR Acc","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"etf","currency":"EUR","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":41,"displayedObservations":41,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence conflict","headline":"Price is ahead of Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","take":"The gap can close through stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price. Until then, the upward structure should be treated as vulnerable rather than fully aligned.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[1.145015,1.511355,1.481756,1.140101,0.737016,0.37131,0.151117,0.069765,0.233448,0.29785,0.442722,0.70932,0.751985],"opens":[5.095,5.0956,5.0984,5.1009,5.1032,5.1047,5.1093,5.1109,5.1114,5.1135,5.1156,5.1088,5.121],"highs":[5.1021,5.0957,5.0985,5.1009,5.1033,5.1047,5.1093,5.1109,5.1218,5.1167,5.1247,5.1214,5.1232],"lows":[5.0922,5.0956,5.0967,5.0937,5.0946,5.0958,5.1083,5.1047,5.1114,5.1035,5.1156,5.1078,5.12],"closes":[5.0932,5.0957,5.098,5.0937,5.0946,5.0958,5.1084,5.1047,5.1132,5.1063,5.1196,5.1207,5.1232],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"5.09","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.09","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.09","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"1.15","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"1.51","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Positioning recovery","className":"is-positive","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Positioning recovery","className":"is-positive","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.37","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.15","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.07","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.23","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.30","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.44","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.11","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.71","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"5.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.75","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[5.0914,5.125],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":0.751985,"state":"Price ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"26 Jun 2026","detail":"The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Not confirming","detail":"Market Dynamics has strengthened over four weeks, but it still lags the elevated price.","tone":"caution"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":13,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":5.0957},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":5.0946}],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[5.0313,5.0335,5.0357,5.0377,5.0398,5.0423,5.0437,5.0486,5.0605,5.0621,5.053,5.0636,5.0647,5.0659,5.0626,5.0649,5.0671,5.0693,5.0716,5.0737,5.0758,5.0785,5.0807,5.0929,5.0852,5.0874,5.0986,5.1012,5.0932,5.0957,5.098,5.0937,5.0946,5.0958,5.1084,5.1047,5.1132,5.1063,5.1196,5.1207,5.1232],"consensus":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,91.2059,81.9829,58.2897,78.599,95.5103,74.611,17.3838,89.8549,63.2679,58.1837,21.8701,59.4705,52.493,33.5861,33.3841,43.3402,49.5104,49.4302,63.6188,83.6647,11.9435,47.6696,72.7799,54.8702,0.0,47.5043,34.1945,-15.7745,0.0,0.0,39.7823,0.0,50.6717,0.0,58.83,52.1004,53.2618],"supportDates":["2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,82.1085,46.807,72.0628,95.7536,81.093,7.482,89.8667,71.3399,56.2921,19.1909,67.3474,53.1041,31.1508,15.8821,33.2643,55.4413,53.7037,66.5793,87.8127,10.0113,46.0955,85.1446,51.3394,0.0,57.3019,44.9199,-17.2008,0.0,0.0,34.1137,0.0,37.3742,0.0,53.6447,55.0369,61.4235],"force":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,79.3401,78.3506,39.7927,76.7233,99.9461,44.6524,21.2495,99.0771,36.7399,46.7328,41.9865,54.3548,57.3969,14.8497,28.5065,42.3591,29.6592,29.1637,64.0293,98.3415,46.8641,38.8046,63.5112,54.2962,0.0,29.0784,18.4548,-45.3399,0.0,0.0,30.0462,0.0,63.8182,0.0,73.8272,43.1038,40.0457],"direction":[null,null,null,null,99.6814,84.4337,84.625,87.4088,92.0637,88.6021,73.3971,83.2541,72.9914,68.5248,70.5438,54.1224,48.292,49.7525,56.8703,55.5561,56.9116,59.0222,59.9422,68.4408,56.157,55.8008,65.2694,59.3155,0.0,49.4685,33.1794,-6.9738,0.0,0.0,53.2149,0.0,56.4786,0.0,54.0438,55.1704,53.3743],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,100.0,50.0,100.0,100.0,77.7778,90.0,90.9091,8.3333,69.2308,64.2857,33.3333,56.25,94.1176,50.0,5.2632,75.0,57.1429,18.1818,100.0,79.1667,76.0,88.4615,85.1852,75.0,65.5172,40.0,54.8387,28.125,3.0303,100.0,48.5714,83.3333,72.973,100.0,69.2308,95.0],"confirmation":[54.6667,54.6667,54.6667,54.6667,73.9768,94.1219,86.264,93.1941,98.6948,90.8637,10.8937,97.0344,87.3143,86.2986,36.7169,86.7546,84.9379,78.2137,78.801,81.9925,83.148,83.1349,88.3254,95.1568,34.7235,83.0081,90.8187,85.5948,12.5921,82.4905,78.2991,52.7482,4.8231,4.4156,80.52,31.3411,84.8182,34.9489,87.3617,84.3532,92.5166],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,4.3971,9.0086,20.8551,10.7005,2.2445,12.6942,39.2782,4.7692,2.7347,3.85,36.8605,17.1714,4.1715,12.5103,30.5322,25.3441,22.2554,24.1253,16.9673,8.1629,42.9286,24.7739,13.546,19.9833,46.0867,21.7519,22.5977,35.3953,10.812,0.2654,26.3345,42.917,24.4081,49.6409,16.8488,23.2699,19.1221],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":53.3,"control":61.4,"force":40.0,"direction":53.4,"confirmation":92.5,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":19.1,"intensity":95.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+53.3","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+61.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+40.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+53.4","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"93/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"74.7","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"0.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"79.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"98%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.0435,5.0452,5.0464,5.0478,5.0492,5.0507,5.0523,5.0539,5.0555,5.0572,5.0589,5.0614,5.0632,5.065,5.0675,5.07,5.0717,5.0735,5.0753,5.0767,5.078,5.0793,5.0815,5.0832,5.0854,5.087,5.0894,5.0917,5.094],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.0637,5.0644,5.0679,5.0707,5.0731,5.0742,5.0755,5.0769,5.0785,5.0802,5.082,5.0835,5.0851,5.0867,5.0905,5.0919,5.0932,5.0964,5.1,5.1021,5.1044,5.1057,5.1068,5.1078,5.1088,5.1112,5.1123,5.1149,5.1156,5.1188,5.1216,5.1244],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}