{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"KIOCL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"1bb752bb-0c26-4aef-9e45-6605afcbb98c","symbol":"KIOCL","name":"KIOCL Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Steel"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":14},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":14},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":14},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":14},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":14},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":13},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":13},{"week":10,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":13},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":13},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":13},{"week":13,"averageReturn":8.1,"sample":13},{"week":14,"averageReturn":16.1,"sample":12},{"week":15,"averageReturn":15.0,"sample":12},{"week":16,"averageReturn":15.2,"sample":12},{"week":17,"averageReturn":18.4,"sample":12},{"week":18,"averageReturn":13.0,"sample":12},{"week":19,"averageReturn":11.4,"sample":12},{"week":20,"averageReturn":10.5,"sample":12},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.8,"sample":12},{"week":22,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":12},{"week":23,"averageReturn":11.5,"sample":12},{"week":24,"averageReturn":18.2,"sample":12},{"week":25,"averageReturn":15.7,"sample":12},{"week":26,"averageReturn":18.9,"sample":12}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":58.3,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":24},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 58.3% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.3% across 24 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 11.7% across 24 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-16","price":275.899994}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-10-17","price":444.049988}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[417.85,410.7,398.65,405.3,382.6,386.75,372.0,372.2,365.25,317.65,335.15,368.5,363.25,343.3,372.35,382.3,373.15,361.2,355.65,397.6,385.8,368.8,338.85,334.15,320.8,261.05,255.6,231.85,258.95,229.54,252.08,236.77,232.46,228.73,245.73,261.87,247.85,235.55,275.9,283.15,304.55,315.7,300.95,287.3,299.5,291.25,288.05,290.7,340.35,362.05,345.45,328.7,431.75,407.4,451.65,466.55,430.55,438.2,528.8,508.0,444.05,449.4,430.75,402.9,382.0,353.25,355.35,339.65,344.9,335.85,393.65,402.8,366.3,373.85,339.9,360.85,352.5,350.75,340.85,337.35,316.15,301.0,351.75,326.95,342.7,357.95,411.65,399.65,406.1,401.7,387.45,384.3,396.7,405.45,398.65,405.45,391.75,387.6,380.95,370.4,348.75,365.55,391.75,389.55],"consensus":[-13.5088,-25.7764,-32.7701,0.0,-40.4414,-27.1597,-41.1,-21.0657,-29.6215,-62.9458,-17.1965,22.9891,-16.6365,-28.5092,32.5696,19.5889,-8.438,-18.2645,-22.7644,42.3237,-8.555,-14.2417,-42.1453,-20.386,-41.1891,-73.7749,-43.8274,-59.396,-9.1072,-57.7705,0.0,-40.7208,-35.9843,-10.9317,0.0,17.8159,-24.2096,-24.0953,49.1484,24.3984,51.3321,44.4434,0.0,0.0,28.9303,-11.3866,0.0,0.0,59.293,62.8464,0.0,0.0,69.2041,0.0,70.672,51.348,-9.4995,29.5781,77.0376,0.0,-14.6175,15.2082,-18.5312,-31.0033,-36.8178,-47.1965,-27.0582,-43.1743,-17.2625,-30.6985,41.6851,23.0931,-31.4386,8.0845,-49.1647,0.0,-16.6834,-22.1129,-26.0374,-22.4953,-36.4706,-47.0814,35.4294,-36.6962,19.7736,29.676,64.4512,11.0684,24.9727,13.5588,-8.9947,0.0,13.6899,19.1029,12.9512,17.6934,0.0,-15.3087,-20.999,-33.9379,-47.6981,0.0,35.2182,7.5583],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[59.5169,0.0,66.7974,42.0454,-10.8275,23.0623,76.1598,0.0,-27.7619,16.2633,-14.6362,-28.2812,-38.8373,-49.0492,-20.1295,-44.9055,-7.8688,-33.0937,38.2066,17.7021,-37.7135,3.2976,-48.6436,0.0,-14.6151,-22.5334,-32.3271,-21.971,-36.1456,-49.2357,33.9708,-33.1446,18.6586,26.438,59.8827,3.1885,12.0994,3.0464,-6.6109,0.0,13.1885,20.7909,12.7605,13.7454,0.0,-17.9686,-24.767,-34.8565,-50.1471,0.0,30.5107,3.2604],"force":[91.0456,0.0,83.903,45.4507,-69.8061,18.0443,96.3911,0.0,-41.45,8.503,-27.7545,-32.7495,-29.3602,-37.8797,-8.2373,-29.2763,-4.4986,-14.7166,84.7771,29.4288,-56.7815,20.5195,-60.5275,0.0,-14.0603,-19.1492,-26.5331,-14.4037,-29.5285,-41.0988,79.7734,-66.1288,37.7205,39.3987,91.4501,26.4036,14.6129,7.8278,-30.7634,0.0,15.6865,10.6067,2.3703,7.9703,0.0,-19.3257,-20.7122,-34.4192,-43.7719,0.0,68.7199,0.371],"direction":[64.6741,0.0,65.6493,66.192,-35.0942,45.2631,64.2169,0.0,-19.5707,18.7918,-16.3944,-32.867,-39.8368,-51.734,-48.4202,-51.123,-43.5417,-39.3768,14.8806,24.7289,-6.1652,4.673,-41.6441,0.0,-20.9208,-23.7494,-18.495,-28.8742,-41.8008,-48.8926,5.4221,-19.7317,8.2288,26.4318,50.3874,46.8397,47.0851,40.8493,-3.8301,0.0,12.8367,23.2425,20.7269,29.1506,0.0,-9.3997,-16.8977,-32.5442,-47.7037,0.0,16.6685,18.134],"intensity":[100.0,96.1538,80.7692,63.4615,69.2308,9.6154,98.0769,98.0769,100.0,71.1538,30.7692,65.3846,61.5385,61.5385,9.6154,26.9231,34.6154,5.7692,84.6154,69.2308,69.2308,44.2308,61.5385,36.5385,5.7692,17.3077,15.3846,42.3077,48.0769,25.0,86.5385,51.9231,25.0,48.0769,86.5385,82.6923,38.4615,38.4615,40.3846,42.3077,73.0769,9.6154,23.0769,17.3077,40.3846,3.8462,7.6923,17.3077,55.7692,28.8462,53.8462,1.9231],"confirmation":[90.9586,12.1499,91.0773,84.3934,35.011,77.2128,93.2552,11.1155,32.1368,72.6462,74.2704,78.0158,79.5237,82.7907,76.1906,81.3658,28.6303,77.3,82.7055,75.665,56.0704,25.7056,84.087,29.1008,73.2903,74.9794,76.2512,74.9599,79.464,82.8509,58.0444,80.6939,74.8915,77.842,89.5168,8.1527,75.8717,28.1838,27.0618,24.3298,72.4493,73.8283,49.1581,50.7591,24.898,72.9807,74.6535,78.8608,83.1064,7.1444,80.3626,17.9916],"persistence":[25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[15.0456,41.2698,14.4351,24.2945,3.0831,19.9113,9.1616,35.3897,21.187,4.3119,39.2885,33.3745,24.8956,25.7692,34.6723,25.7657,30.8341,8.3186,17.4451,37.5265,48.0253,42.1416,24.1941,46.8986,17.0455,26.0683,15.0756,27.2172,27.4941,25.0216,1.1337,2.9752,30.8988,34.6271,16.7583,44.2096,37.0162,40.7505,33.5338,31.2194,25.4325,1.4373,16.6407,31.8233,11.5558,31.0344,28.2123,33.0011,26.1367,48.7744,15.7986,41.4264],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":7.6,"control":3.3,"force":0.4,"direction":18.1,"confirmation":18.0,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":41.4,"intensity":1.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+7.6","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+3.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+0.4","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+18.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"18/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"53.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.4%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"20.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"65%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend 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