{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ODFL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"1bec8503-d34e-463c-875c-06dd2fdc0907","symbol":"ODFL","name":"Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Trucking"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":33.3,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 33.3% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.2% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.1% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-12-05","price":2826.348633}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-06","price":4138.052734}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3827.7209,3773.7532,3864.4568,3864.4568,3777.0029,3827.9756,3838.9702,3838.9702,4042.8623,3930.9216,4117.8232,4454.6455,4454.6455,4422.6611,4422.6611,4138.0527,4128.1777,3823.4907,3663.2761,3663.2761,3663.2761,3965.1338,3903.1633,3754.2332,3941.2554,4207.6699,3696.2603,3627.293,3583.9888,3239.7246,3238.7246,3473.6326,3158.7561,3108.7761,3008.5254,3070.7908,2988.8232,2988.8232,3301.7002,3148.7603,3148.7603,3074.0696,3074.0696,3033.0823,3079.0681,3182.0371,3130.6128,3072.0703,3092.0344,2709.1802,2789.156,2840.1404,2845.8389,2921.7559,2793.4346,2689.4556,2590.5857,2619.47,2563.4812,2679.4578,2679.4578,2679.4578,2532.4873,2649.4639,2443.5056,2489.4961,2468.5005,2826.3486,2647.6145,2647.6145,2862.5454,2862.5454,3097.7246,3117.7227,2999.7332,2999.7332,3489.6897,3370.7002,3417.696,3259.7102,3484.0,3183.75,3262.0,3387.0,3425.8884,3638.9929,3613.7349,3820.7197,3691.729,3411.3499,3248.7617,3520.7417,3740.6055,4237.5,4237.3799,3805.5,3816.6799,3849.25,3949.95,3900.0,3900.0,3640.0,3713.0,3713.0],"consensus":[49.0296,0.0,60.4431,35.5295,-11.1207,47.194,33.4095,19.0299,71.1352,0.0,75.903,76.9294,42.7141,23.4345,41.147,-43.1271,-20.3974,-70.2234,-55.4932,-40.6578,-40.8045,46.3833,-25.9262,-53.633,39.2709,70.3271,-59.5829,-60.0225,-56.3188,-84.2599,-30.3416,0.0,-66.3348,-51.2914,-68.0588,-11.9785,-57.8019,-34.2462,46.7006,-43.7818,0.0,-34.9534,-26.6255,-48.432,0.0,40.2677,-17.9795,-28.4324,0.0,-74.1298,-9.1095,-11.8853,-17.5338,21.7253,-48.8602,-70.6953,-63.9186,-16.0179,-56.9062,13.2261,-10.0256,-9.8741,-59.0911,14.0619,-68.1174,0.0,-32.596,67.4267,-26.1444,10.2194,72.6063,29.3631,84.2119,59.8551,0.0,23.4197,84.2158,31.232,70.1882,0.0,71.0688,-38.7172,34.8598,58.2603,11.0394,79.8723,22.3533,69.1473,0.0,-31.8438,-56.6005,18.477,64.4342,57.3522,41.64,0.0,8.1046,8.9626,20.7949,0.0,19.3166,-53.985,9.659,-18.8234],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-3.2655,21.5309,-67.4247,-75.1289,-74.2488,-1.623,-60.5859,21.3749,-21.3569,-20.1455,-76.2089,26.2619,-76.4307,0.0,-34.106,58.8738,-39.4318,0.4479,66.7663,29.1316,85.0346,62.3983,0.0,6.2923,92.8457,20.0125,69.1903,0.0,83.2228,-35.9972,42.6905,54.7769,8.1729,82.2419,5.3548,77.0531,0.0,-19.1721,-60.436,36.3254,71.8482,58.7389,36.4882,0.0,3.2117,22.9762,38.0672,0.0,19.019,-56.2143,20.8872,-10.3364],"force":[-3.572,45.6617,-45.6135,-87.2218,-52.3697,-20.2625,-47.0992,57.2688,-7.0822,-5.6105,-56.8459,44.5337,-71.0497,0.0,-15.5826,98.584,-74.1651,9.0405,97.6092,3.1106,98.294,34.6734,0.0,2.7799,77.4028,11.4319,63.5297,0.0,79.0387,-94.9002,56.5526,74.0081,10.9474,95.7068,9.1017,56.2615,0.0,-67.8371,-62.6672,19.9512,87.0159,40.4997,10.4195,0.0,2.2785,4.6344,6.3553,0.0,5.2423,-61.7784,55.4391,-9.0491],"direction":[-48.916,4.85,-29.9625,-53.8237,-60.3619,-58.3838,-59.7059,27.5459,-9.2954,-9.1958,-41.1317,21.6464,-56.5219,0.0,-43.0228,54.9463,-23.3416,23.2528,61.4215,48.3794,73.2129,74.9354,0.0,61.7078,79.2195,74.5284,76.0847,0.0,51.4856,-1.695,10.4157,50.9929,30.0203,65.8538,64.2481,69.3164,0.0,-20.6162,-47.8837,2.9742,39.8312,67.8051,69.8281,0.0,28.4541,2.6592,11.3691,0.0,29.7098,-45.8704,35.8733,-35.5046],"intensity":[30.7692,26.9231,50.0,50.0,40.3846,42.3077,17.3077,46.1538,48.0769,5.7692,55.7692,50.0,67.3077,61.5385,51.9231,90.3846,63.4615,53.8462,73.0769,73.0769,73.0769,76.9231,44.2308,46.1538,98.0769,63.4615,9.6154,61.5385,76.9231,86.5385,76.9231,59.6154,55.7692,75.0,73.0769,84.6154,46.1538,98.0769,65.3846,88.4615,76.9231,100.0,3.8462,96.1538,7.6923,7.6923,23.0769,13.4615,13.4615,84.6154,63.4615,17.3077],"confirmation":[28.6137,53.0179,83.2534,91.0586,87.9446,8.5621,85.855,33.9936,49.3583,49.0615,86.5799,32.5272,89.7602,10.1265,77.8892,90.6564,37.2734,48.8257,92.085,53.933,95.3644,86.3474,38.8426,30.2165,94.6099,33.9704,90.2725,35.6806,90.7997,59.4765,79.6969,87.1763,27.9083,94.0056,8.3952,89.614,35.7376,79.48,86.2386,51.6534,89.1942,85.818,80.4518,7.0056,26.2874,25.8954,51.2844,29.8504,51.0903,85.4787,34.6346,73.8549],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[39.8183,36.4123,26.1867,6.6434,16.3941,41.232,19.5912,10.595,35.5085,27.2632,11.5962,23.7547,15.1217,44.9662,12.9177,9.1804,57.5872,35.3318,13.1487,2.855,7.5487,19.8059,35.6959,23.5503,6.0421,27.9133,13.7087,40.9719,37.0695,17.3743,50.1351,0.4033,20.0498,9.1863,36.2597,14.3322,41.4249,27.3732,20.1625,55.1185,19.7517,21.2623,29.175,37.835,11.239,50.6572,52.3402,18.3498,7.6666,8.2245,43.9215,25.2],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-18.8,"control":-10.3,"force":-9.0,"direction":-35.5,"confirmation":73.9,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":25.2,"intensity":17.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-18.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-10.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-9.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-35.5","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"74/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.8","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"23.8","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"52%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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