{"ticker": {"uuid": "1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a", "symbol": "MTN", "name": "MTN Group Limited", "exchange": "JNB", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-24", "summary": "MTN closed the latest completed week at 227.2 ZAC. The 4-week return is 0.5% and the 12-week return is -98.9%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at -1.03.", "description": "MTN Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile telecommunications services in South Africa, Nigeria, South and East Africa, West and Central Africa, and the Middle East and North Africa. The company offers data, voice and SMS, interconnect, and roaming services; and sells mobile devices. It also provides digital and fintech services, such as value-added services, rich media services, insurance, airtime lending, in-store payments, remittances, prepaid services, and e-commerce services; and MTN Mobile Money fintech platform. In addition, the company offers managed network services, cloud, unified communications, internet of things, and security as a service; network as a services, including subsea cables, terrestrial and metro fibre, data centre and cable landing stations, and towers and radio access network assets; and marketplace solutions for government agencies, insurance firms, banking institutions, and SMEs. MTN Group Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "25", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "227.2 ZAC", "hint": "2026-07-24"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "-2.5%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "0.5%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-98.9%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "84.6%", "hint": "44 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.0x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "JNB", "country": "ZA", "sector": "Communication Services", "industry": "Telecom Services", "currency": "ZAC", "market_cap": "392.1B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "14,328 ZAC", "fair_value": "11,803 ZAC", "vs_trend": "-98.4%", "vs_fair_value": "-98.1%", "high_52": "22,024 ZAC", "low_52": "209.0 ZAC", "drawdown": "-99.0%", "range_position": "0.1%", "markers": [{"label": "Close", "value": 227.19, "value_label": "227.2", "position": 0.08324558777756741, "left": "0.1%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend", "value": 14327.91537, "value_label": "14,328", "position": 64.72108542895086, "left": "64.7%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair", "value": 11803.313465, "value_label": "11,803", "position": 53.148289752403954, "left": "53.1%", "tone": "neutral"}], "insights": [{"label": "Range location", "value": "0.1%", "detail": "Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend distance", "value": "-98.4%", "detail": "Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Fair-value gap", "value": "-98.1%", "detail": "Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "High-water gap", "value": "-99.0%", "detail": "Distance from the latest 52-week 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"negative", "volume_height": 5.426685104665935, "volume": "3.1M"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": 6.286011145744783, "return_label": "6.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 6.6902381307990835, "volume": "3.8M"}, {"week": "19 Jun", "return": 2.5016662963785805, "return_label": "2.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 32.18236142168951, "volume": "18.5M"}, {"week": "26 Jun", "return": -2.041789491936886, "return_label": "-2.0%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 34.13046346710283, "volume": "19.6M"}, {"week": "3 Jul", "return": 3.2791963534982504, "return_label": "3.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 42.19997604731213, "volume": "24.2M"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": -2.052446653526434, "return_label": "-2.1%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 44.38410606862932, "volume": "25.5M"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": 1.9248436064569778, "return_label": "1.9%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 27.965327091708502, "volume": "16.1M"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": -2.489377226490412, "return_label": "-2.5%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 30.257249430688475, "volume": "17.4M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "1.0x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "16.6M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "25.1M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "26.8%", "volatility_52": "14.3%", "downside_weeks": 17, "upside_weeks": 34, "downside_breadth": "32.7%", "average_gain": "3.3%", "average_loss": "-9.3%", "distribution_scale": "100%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "16 of 26", "detail": "9 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+6.3%", "detail": "Week of 12 Jun.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-99.0%", "detail": "Week of 5 Jun.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "-2.5%", "detail": "Week of 24 Jul.", "tone": "negative"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "26.8%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "14.3%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "34/17", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.3% / -9.3%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-98.4%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.0x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.42% based on similar historical setup states."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "227.2 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14,328 ZAC", "fair_value": "11,803 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.03", "relative_leadership": "-98.43", "volume": "17.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "233.0 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "14,875 ZAC", "fair_value": "11,892 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.07", "relative_leadership": "-98.42", "volume": "16.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "228.6 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "15,397 ZAC", "fair_value": "11,976 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.09", "relative_leadership": "-98.49", "volume": "25.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "233.4 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "15,910 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,061 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.21", "relative_leadership": "-98.51", "volume": "24.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "226.0 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "16,429 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,145 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.30", "relative_leadership": "-98.57", "volume": "19.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "230.7 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "16,948 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,232 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.95", "relative_leadership": "-98.60", "volume": "18.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "225.1 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17,505 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,318 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.71", "relative_leadership": "-98.65", "volume": "3.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "211.7 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "18,059 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,407 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.37", "relative_leadership": "-98.74", "volume": "3.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "21,680 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "18,601 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,493 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.04", "relative_leadership": "23.17", "volume": "21.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "20,810 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "18,454 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,434 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.05", "relative_leadership": "20.57", "volume": "16.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "20,810 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "18,316 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,374 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.19", "relative_leadership": "19.98", "volume": "18.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "21,020 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "18,175 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,313 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.26", "relative_leadership": "18.52", "volume": "17.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "20,900 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17,990 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,253 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.34", "relative_leadership": "21.38", "volume": "13.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "20,655 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17,782 ZAC", "fair_value": "12,195 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.35", "relative_leadership": "19.29", "volume": "22.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Caution", "rating_tone": "negative", "overall_score": "37", "primary_driver": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.", "detail": "MTN Group Limited Revenue Breakdown \u2013 JSE:MTN", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 28.2885, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.42% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 43.42%", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 30.333468715856505, "score_label": "30", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "30/100", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 33.36111111111111, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 4/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.40; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "33/100", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 28.2885, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.42% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 43.42%", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.", "detail": "MTN Group Limited Revenue Breakdown \u2013 JSE:MTN", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 28.2885, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.42% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 43.42%", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 30.333468715856505, "score_label": "30", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "30/100", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 33.36111111111111, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 4/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.40; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "33/100", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is sentiment: Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.", "The main constraint is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.42% historical one-week setup read.", "The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-2.5%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "47/33", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 43.42%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "25", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.5%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.5%, after a 0.5% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, -98.9% over 12 weeks, and -98.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-2.5%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "47/33", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 43.42%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/"}], "strengths": ["No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 30.333468715856505, "score_label": "30", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "30/100", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 33.36111111111111, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 4/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.40; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "33/100", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 28.2885, "score_label": "28", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.42% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 43.42%", "url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.", "detail": "MTN Group Limited Revenue Breakdown \u2013 JSE:MTN", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/", "api_path": "/terminal/1c90fad7-d8b1-494c-99a0-2e93196ac27a/report/api/"}