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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":25.3,"averageExpectedMove":25.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.0,"medianReturn":-11.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-25.3,"medianReturn":-25.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-43.2,"medianReturn":-43.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-13.7,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-15.1,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-19.9,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-17.8,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-21.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-24.7,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-22.6,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-19.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-25.3,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-25.3,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-26.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-25.3,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-28.8,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-40.8,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-48.6,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-41.8,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-37.0,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-38.0,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-37.7,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-38.7,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-41.8,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-41.8,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-43.2,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":45.5,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":22},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 45.5% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.7% across 22 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.8% across 22 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-07-25","price":8.4},{"date":"2026-01-30","price":9.2}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-11-01","price":14.4},{"date":"2024-12-13","price":13.9}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-12-06","price":14.6}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[12.3,12.3,13.3,12.7,12.9,13.8,13.3,15.0,15.3,15.0,14.4,14.2,12.6,13.2,12.9,14.6,13.9,12.6,13.1,13.0,12.4,11.7,12.0,11.4,11.0,11.3,11.7,10.9,10.9,10.8,10.9,10.4,8.65,7.5,8.5,9.2,9.05,9.1,8.95,8.5,8.5,8.3,7.7,7.05,7.4,7.35,7.25,8.05,8.4,8.4,10.0,9.6,9.45,9.35,9.6,10.5,10.7,9.85,9.25,9.5,9.35,9.7,9.55,9.2,9.0,8.7,8.7,8.15,7.85,8.4,8.55,8.65,8.45,8.65,9.05,9.2,9.55,11.0,11.4,11.8,12.9,12.4,11.9,12.1,12.8,12.0,12.4,11.4,11.6,13.0,11.4,11.3,11.5,11.8,11.7,11.3,10.6,11.4,11.4,11.2,10.9,10.9,11.2,10.7],"consensus":[40.0986,0.0,70.4518,0.0,29.1582,61.1198,0.0,73.5468,43.0258,18.0666,0.0,0.0,-61.6047,0.0,-32.0366,51.0266,0.0,-50.8719,8.4887,-17.023,-42.4145,-53.4873,-17.9431,-56.6564,-44.2753,-8.6135,0.0,-48.1308,-25.0387,-29.4177,-21.9946,-49.7063,-77.4036,-64.7639,0.0,0.0,-26.486,0.0,-19.5992,-42.189,-16.8998,-38.4073,-57.175,-65.3341,-16.3899,-34.0634,-35.3171,32.5234,28.364,9.2998,70.3002,10.8006,21.7361,11.9116,21.8236,64.9234,45.0254,-10.4019,-29.2202,0.0,-18.3034,19.6903,0.0,-27.3226,-29.3497,-41.5495,-27.1699,-55.0221,-45.9247,0.0,-8.106,9.278,-19.8295,15.3238,32.9164,29.0724,49.6069,73.9532,56.9542,63.5234,74.3851,13.1102,0.0,31.045,49.2643,-17.9415,33.6213,-33.2305,0.0,58.9046,-43.0293,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-19.0255,-43.1905,0.0,0.0,-11.7429,-24.4383,-19.7918,11.2783,-40.3739],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[13.1812,1.8372,27.7077,58.9197,38.7752,-21.4117,-31.9362,0.0,-14.8692,24.491,0.0,-33.6921,-36.2851,-44.6533,-25.8966,-61.6606,-45.9609,0.0,-7.3486,7.2438,-35.2336,15.0742,21.0181,23.8945,40.7905,70.8042,46.4773,57.765,66.4006,6.7981,0.0,28.7532,50.3436,-13.3936,37.4175,-32.9717,0.0,55.6485,-39.089,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-25.1299,-47.9582,0.0,0.0,-10.6458,-34.422,-17.5796,17.9398,-42.3215],"force":[3.6092,10.7744,10.0735,82.2964,31.1834,-54.967,-56.1005,0.0,-26.0599,25.2458,0.0,-34.8307,-27.1545,-38.58,-13.5304,-49.9257,-32.7403,0.0,-3.9847,18.6293,-22.3204,32.4413,62.1467,34.005,68.7147,92.2222,61.0459,67.7061,93.9655,43.4113,0.0,23.9757,64.9592,-73.2937,24.1478,-65.3276,0.0,85.454,-80.8635,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-17.8053,-35.4484,0.0,0.0,-10.502,-23.474,-10.7525,32.1497,-47.6642],"direction":[49.6169,43.8289,23.4918,59.3756,62.0556,-34.0129,-6.916,0.0,-16.688,10.2354,0.0,-14.6801,-22.9915,-40.1232,-38.3676,-51.0756,-55.3008,0.0,-17.6077,4.9234,-0.4454,3.3821,25.6358,31.4668,46.0344,64.5029,66.0051,67.1167,69.5244,60.6967,0.0,38.7138,36.8202,-16.3982,36.0494,-10.5997,0.0,43.6619,-20.5081,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-12.9206,-43.2717,0.0,0.0,-13.8831,-13.717,-28.7767,11.2428,-32.9407],"intensity":[26.9231,23.0769,17.3077,78.8462,55.7692,71.1538,51.9231,25.0,7.6923,28.8462,21.1538,46.1538,30.7692,23.0769,36.5385,53.8462,71.1538,55.7692,71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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-40.4","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-42.3","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-47.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-32.9","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"81/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"16.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"17%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[12.3,12.3,13.3,12.7,12.9,13.8,13.3,15.0,15.3,15.0,14.4,14.2,12.6,13.2,12.9,14.6,13.9,12.6,13.1,13.0,12.4,11.7,12.0,11.4,11.0,11.3,11.7,10.9,10.9,10.8,10.9,10.4,8.65,7.5,8.5,9.2,9.05,9.1,8.95,8.5,8.5,8.3,7.7,7.05,7.4,7.35,7.25,8.05,8.4,8.4,10.0,9.6,9.45,9.35,9.6,10.5,10.7,9.85,9.25,9.5,9.35,9.7,9.55,9.2,9.0,8.7,8.7,8.15,7.85,8.4,8.55,8.65,8.45,8.65,9.05,9.2,9.55,11.0,11.4,11.8,12.9,12.4,11.9,12.1,12.8,12.0,12.4,11.4,11.6,13.0,11.4,11.3,11.5,11.8,11.7,11.3,10.6,11.4,11.4,11.2,10.9,10.9,11.2,10.7],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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