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Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 33.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -31.1% across 3 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 8.8% across 3 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[4.68,5.105,5.12,5.06,4.512,4.456,4.562,5.035,5.145,4.594,4.134,2.858,2.826,2.986,3.084,3.202,3.154,3.182,3.07,2.822,2.916,3.092,3.016,2.938,3.094,3.202,3.028,2.846,2.29,2.3,2.498,2.468,2.816,2.734,2.596,2.644,2.54,2.518,2.614,3.118],"consensus":[-100.0,37.2294,63.0931,100.0,-35.1461,-36.514,-12.5532,41.8214,34.7286,-31.5662,-54.6979,-86.5962,-60.2273,-34.5115,-17.5782,0.0,0.0,-27.6395,-40.9886,-61.5203,-32.2062,0.0,-23.2007,-34.8682,9.4414,0.0,-14.5161,-28.7867,-74.9029,-46.2329,-25.3454,-31.1779,42.8347,0.0,-16.9815,-9.5027,-40.2977,-29.6753,-10.7203,60.923],"supportDates":["2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-38.6163,-1.1885,44.5111,31.1746,-47.8856,-62.3218,-85.5395,-63.0722,-31.2705,-0.2948,0.0,0.0,-46.2407,-49.9723,-62.056,-38.0091,0.0,-29.4689,-50.0143,9.5095,0.0,-3.1418,-35.3489,-77.3811,-52.9786,-22.4583,-29.1949,41.6276,0.0,-28.2794,-26.5415,-50.5406,-35.7775,-21.6137,64.14],"force":[-100.0,37.2294,63.0931,100.0,-34.2561,-24.9801,-2.4,67.8968,21.3514,-37.0024,-41.1678,-96.8068,-29.1003,-17.8796,-28.6386,0.0,0.0,-5.5083,-38.5777,-75.5601,-8.314,0.0,-10.0245,-33.9924,23.9574,0.0,-36.8755,-18.7411,-95.0728,-18.6573,-3.325,-12.0713,73.7534,0.0,-10.6527,-0.0151,-34.1697,-17.0337,-4.7678,55.777],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-35.7819,-42.35,-32.7936,20.1222,48.3454,-9.0324,-55.6492,-80.5107,-79.2097,-75.6378,-71.0165,0.0,0.0,-22.1892,-32.4435,-50.8795,-42.6402,0.0,-25.4486,-18.184,1.0051,0.0,-11.5444,-28.4625,-57.6637,-58.2204,-49.1239,-47.0916,22.1296,0.0,-8.5902,-3.1932,-32.9687,-31.7309,-2.5224,60.922],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,60.0,16.6667,85.7143,37.5,100.0,70.0,100.0,91.6667,30.7692,42.8571,46.6667,6.25,41.1765,16.6667,63.1579,15.0,42.8571,9.0909,13.0435,37.5,52.0,73.0769,48.1481,92.8571,82.7586,60.0,19.3548,71.875,9.0909,29.4118,25.7143,13.8889,13.5135,28.9474,87.1795],"confirmation":[54.6667,34.5801,42.8565,54.6667,56.5394,79.3009,26.5474,82.1365,78.7596,78.0182,84.9748,96.0381,86.2808,35.9774,10.6613,6.2532,4.0717,53.2201,80.906,88.1062,77.4894,30.0113,74.9272,78.9003,49.0103,49.4826,50.8332,76.8056,92.5459,81.8513,53.3234,77.4248,82.6678,3.0056,73.069,25.84,80.5524,77.0178,25.7497,87.2895],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,20.0,0.0,14.2857,0.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,4.9844,30.2636,41.6968,24.8418,31.2374,35.0538,14.7099,6.6895,19.8817,32.6599,40.4475,32.4782,34.9594,35.5229,18.8337,5.2641,11.2827,13.4873,4.4361,32.957,39.9505,31.3498,11.8732,15.1911,12.5267,26.8753,36.7855,32.068,27.7755,48.0993,30.0187,38.6083,22.7868,24.0826,9.7017,17.3681],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":60.9,"control":64.1,"force":55.8,"direction":60.9,"confirmation":87.3,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":17.4,"intensity":87.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+60.9","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+64.1","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+55.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+60.9","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"87/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"58.7","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"35.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"79%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[4.68,5.105,5.12,5.06,4.512,4.456,4.562,5.035,5.145,4.594,4.134,2.858,2.826,2.986,3.084,3.202,3.154,3.182,3.07,2.822,2.916,3.092,3.016,2.938,3.094,3.202,3.028,2.846,2.29,2.3,2.498,2.468,2.816,2.734,2.596,2.644,2.54,2.518,2.614,3.118],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,4.8019,4.739,4.7068,4.7665,4.8353,4.7914,4.6719,4.3421,4.0664,3.87,3.7271,3.6316,3.5448,3.4788,3.4045,3.2986,3.229,3.2041,3.1699,3.1277,3.1216,3.1362,3.1165,3.0674,2.926,2.8122,2.7551,2.7029,2.7234,2.7254,2.7018,2.6913,2.6638,2.6373,2.6331,2.7212],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.442,4.3341,4.2415,4.1645,4.0896,4.0224,3.9519,3.8682,3.7976,3.7454,3.6913,3.6355,3.5954,3.5663,3.5264,3.476,3.3882,3.3076,3.2476,3.1898,3.1621,3.1304,3.0908,3.0577,3.0194,2.9823,2.955,2.9671],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.3727,5.4193,5.8313,5.9805,6.0075,5.9897,5.9479,5.9056,5.8588,5.8177,5.7913,5.7296,5.5717,5.3867,5.1865,5.0692,4.9489,4.7908,4.4733,4.0488,3.7183,3.4502,3.4659,3.4657,3.4561,3.4378,3.3954,3.3587,3.3104,3.2736,3.312],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.2811,4.1085,3.3788,2.956,2.7172,2.5646,2.472,2.3901,2.3296,2.2629,2.1674,2.0527,2.0093,1.9839,1.9719,1.9474,1.9423,1.947,2.0456,2.1846,2.2857,2.3902,2.3355,2.3347,2.3191,2.2886,2.2752,2.2505,2.2324,2.2236,2.2148],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.1719,-11.875,-12.9687,-10.8984,-1.6602,0.0,-10.7094,-19.6501,-44.4509,-45.0729,-41.9631,-40.0583,-37.7648,-38.6978,-38.1535,-40.3304,-45.1506,-43.3236,-39.9028,-41.38,-42.896,-39.8639,-37.7648,-41.1467,-44.6842,-55.4908,-55.2964,-51.448,-52.0311,-45.2672,-46.861,-49.5432,-48.6103,-50.6317,-51.0593,-49.1934,-39.3975],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.9937,15.4623,3.0969,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.6617,9.1295,13.305,11.6065,12.5973,8.6341,0.0,3.331,9.5677,6.8746,4.1106,9.6386,13.4656,7.2998,0.8505,0.0,0.4367,9.083,7.7729,22.9694,19.3886,13.3624,15.4585,10.917,9.9563,14.1485,36.1572],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,20.5128,0.0,0.0,0.0,735.6682,0.0,700.3818,497.9298,0.0,12.4647,88.8917,171.5289,26.7078,0.0,0.0,0.0,54.9618,0.0,157.5468,49.3895,0.0,547.4782,113.6115,0.0,0.0,31.5761,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0887,0.2719],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,94.1667,94.1667,94.1667,94.1667,65.0,65.0,121.9689,135.0,135.0,134.439,135.0,127.7227,126.6316,126.6316,126.6316,126.6316,124.5688,124.5688,130.9866,128.9237,128.9237,97.5246,104.4329,104.4329,104.4329,106.1565,106.1565,106.1565,106.1565,106.1565,106.1565,106.1588,106.1657],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical 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tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,66.2471,78.833,15.7895,0.0,1.5924,0.3185,6.6879,13.4823,18.0277,16.1787,17.2573,12.943,3.3898,7.0108,13.7904,10.8629,7.8582,13.8675,18.0277,11.6852,4.4962,1.6255,1.9641,8.6692,7.6532,19.4379,16.661,13.8606,17.5546,19.9732,24.8201,33.4532,78.777],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From high","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-5.5347,-3.4709,-13.8086,-22.439,-46.379,-46.9794,-43.9775,-42.1388,-39.925,-40.8255,-40.3002,-42.4015,-47.0544,-45.2908,-41.9887,-43.4146,-44.878,-41.9512,-39.925,-42.3238,-45.5311,-55.9192,-55.7267,-51.9153,-52.4928,-45.794,-47.3725,-45.8716,-41.6593,-31.9764,-24.9255,-22.0632,-7.0364],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.5},{"label":"From 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